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Thursday, March 18, 2010

Governor 2010

Connecticut
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/9-15; surveyed 549 Dem RVs and 387 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.2% and 5.0%, respectively (release, 3/18). Tested: Puerto Rican Legal Defense and Education Fund head/ex-state Rep. Juan Figueroa (D), '06 LG nominee/Simsbury first selectwoman Mary Glassman (D), '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), Ridgefield First Selectman Rudy Marconi (D), Danbury Mayor Mark Boughton (R), ex-Rep./ex-state Sen./ex-Univ. of New Haven pres. Larry DeNardis (R), LG Mike Fedele (R), ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R), businessman Oz Griebel (R), First Selectman Tom Marsh (R) and Newington mayor Jeff Wright (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            All Men Wom
N. Lamont 28% 33% 24%
D. Malloy 18 15 20
M. Glassman 4 3 5
R. Marconi 2 3 2
J. Figueroa 1 -- 2
Other 1 1 --
Not vote 2 4 1
Undec 44 41 46

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom 1/19
T. Foley 30% 33% 27% 17%
M. Boughton 4 4 4 6
M. Fedele 4 4 3 8
L. DeNardis 2 3 2 4
J. Wright 2 3 -- n/a
O. Griebel 2 2 1 2
T. Marsh -- -- 1 n/a
Other 2 2 2 2
Not vote 3 2 5 2
Undec 50 47 54 59

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
-            All     Men     Wom
N. Lamont 43%/13% 47%/17% 41%/10%
D. Malloy 35 / 9 33 /14 36 / 6
M. Glassman 12 / 5 11 / 3 12 / 6
R. Marconi 6 / 3 7 / 5 6 / 1
J. Figueroa 5 / 1 4 / 2 6 /--

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-            All     Men     Wom
T. Foley 37%/ 6% 42%/ 7% 31%/ 3%
M. Fedele 11 / 8 11 / 9 12 / 6
M. Boughton 9 / 5 13 / 7 4 / 4
L. DeNardis 6 / 9 6 / 9 6 / 9
J. Wright 5 / 2 8 / 2 2 / 1
O. Griebel 5 / 3 5 / 3 4 / 4
T. Marsh 5 / 4 5 / 3 5 / 6

Michigan
An Inside Michigan Politics poll; conducted 3/10-15 by Marketing Resource Group; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 175 Dem primary LVs and 245 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 7.4% and 6.3%, respectively (release, 3/18). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
A. Dillon         21%
V. Bernero 9
A. Wheeler Smith 6
Undec 64

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
M. Cox            21%
P. Hoekstra 21
R. Synder 20
M. Bouchard 10
T. George 1
Undec 27

General Election Matchups
M. Bouchard       45%         M. Bouchard       41%
V. Bernero 23 A. Dillon 26
Undec 30 Undec 31

M. Cox            45%         M. Cox            44%
V. Bernero 26 A. Dillon 27
Undec 27 Undec 27

P. Hoekstra       43%         P. Hoekstra       43%
V. Bernero 27 A. Dillon 27
Undec 28 Undec 28

R. Snyder         44%         R. Snyder         42%
V. Bernero 24 A. Dillon 26
Undec 31 Undec 30

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