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Wednesday, May 27, 2009

Polling Update: 2010 CT Governor & Senate

Connecticut Senate 2010

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/20-25; surveyed 1,575 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsamples of 614 Dems and 385 GOPers; margins of error +/- 4.0% and +/- 5.0%, respectively (release, 5/27). Tested: Sen. Chris Dodd (D), businessman/ex-USAF officer Merrick Alpert (D), ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R) and state Sen. Sam Caligiuri (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom
C. Dodd 44% 50% 40%
M. Alpert 24 23 24
Other 1 1 1
Not vote 2 3 1
Undec 30 23 34

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
R. Simmons 48% 57% 39%
S. Caligiuri 10 9 10
Other 1 1 1
Not vote 2 2 2
Undec 39 30 49

General Election Matchups
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 3/31 3/8
R. Simmons 45% 86% 16% 53% 49% 41% 50% 43%
C. Dodd 39 5 67 30 38 40 34 42
Other 2 -- 1 3 2 1 2 1
Not vote 1 -- 2 2 1 2 2 1
Undec 13 8 14 13 10 16 12 12

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 3/31 3/8
C. Dodd 41% 7% 68% 32% 42% 40% 37% 47%
S. Caligiuri 39 83 11 45 42 36 41 34
Other 1 1 1 2 2 1 3 2
Not vote 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 2
Undec 17 9 19 19 13 20 17 16

Favorable/Unfavorable
- All GOP Dem Ind 3/31 3/8
C. Dodd 37%/51% 8%/83% 57%/29% 31%/58% 30%/58% 46%/45%
R. Simmons 34 /12 52 / 3 20 /19 39 /10 39 /12 36 /10
S. Caligiuri 9 / 3 16 /-- 5 / 4 10 / 2 8 / 3 9 / 3
M. Alpert 4 / 2 1 /-- 7 / 2 4 / 2 na na

Dodd As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 3/31 3/8 2/8 12/17 7/1
Approve 38% 12% 58% 31% 37% 39% 33% 49% 41% 47% 51%
Disapprove 53 82 32 59 57 49 58 44 48 41 34

Lieberman As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 3/31 3/8 2/8 12/17 7/1
Approve 46% 68% 37% 45% 50% 44% 46% 46% 45% 38% 45%
Disapprove 44 24 53 44 42 46 47 46 48 54 43

Do You Think Dodd Should Run For Reelection?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
Should 39% 18% 54% 35% 40% 38%
Should not 50 72 33 57 53 48

Would You Say Dodd ___?
- Now 3/31
- Yes No Yes No
Has strong leadership qualities 56% 35% 50% 43%
Pays attention to the needs of CT 50 41 na na
Cares abt needs/problems of people like you 42 47 39 52
Shares your views on issues you care about 37 48 na na
Is honest and trustworthy 35 49 32 54

Connecticut Governor 2010

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/20-25; surveyed 1,575 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 5/27).

Rell As Gov.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 3/31 3/8 2/8 12/17 7/1
Approve 73% 83% 68% 74% 69% 76% 72% 75% 75% 68% 65%
Disapprove 20 13 23 20 23 17 22 19 19 20 23

The Way Things Are Going In CT Today
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 3/8 2/8 12/17 7/1 3/08
Satisfied 56% 48% 66% 52% 53% 58% 42% 41% 43% 41% 54%
Dissatisfied 42 49 34 45 44 40 57 59 55 59 44

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