A Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) poll; conducted 5/12-13 for '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D); surveyed 336 Dem RVs; margin of error +/- 5.3% (McArdle, Roll Call, 5/28).
Tested: Mongiardo and AG Jack Conway (D).
Primary Election Matchup
D. Mongiardo 43%
J. Conway 28
Undec 29
Pennsylvania Senate 2010
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/20-26; surveyed 1,191 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsamples of 517 GOPers and 561 Dems; margins of error +/- 4.3% and +/- 4.1%, respectively (release, 5/28). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07), '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R), Rep. Jim Gerlach (R-06) and '90 GOV candidate/'94/'98 Const. Party GOV nominee Margaret "Peg" Luksik (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom
A. Specter 50% 51% 48%
J. Sestak 21 20 21
Other 1 -- 1
Not vote 2 3 1
Undec 27 26 28
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
P. Toomey 38% 47% 30%
J. Gerlach 10 10 10
P. Luksik 3 4 2
Other -- -- --
Not vote 2 3 1
Undec 47 36 56
General Election Matchups
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/3
A. Specter 46% 16% 73% 43% 47% 45% 53%
P. Toomey 37 73 10 33 39 35 33
Other 1 1 1 1 2 -- 2
Not vote 3 1 3 4 1 4 1
Undec 14 10 13 19 12 15 10
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
A. Specter 45% 12% 75% 43% 46% 45%
J. Gerlach 36 73 9 31 36 35
Other 1 -- -- 2 1 --
Not vote 3 1 3 5 2 4
Undec 15 13 13 18 15 16
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
J. Sestak 37% 5% 68% 32% 37% 38%
P. Toomey 35 72 8 34 40 32
Other 1 1 2 1 1 1
Not vote 3 2 3 4 2 3
Undec 23 20 20 28 20 26
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
J. Sestak 36% 6% 65% 30% 36% 36%
J. Gerlach 30 61 8 25 31 29
Other 1 -- 1 1 1 1
Not vote 3 2 3 6 3 4
Undec 30 30 23 38 29 31
Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 5/3 3/23
A. Specter 46%/39% 18%/69% 70%/14% 46%/42% 52%/34% 45%/31%
P. Toomey 27 /11 45 / 3 14 /17 24 /12 20 /13 14 / 6
J. Sestak 18 / 5 10 / 7 27 / 3 17 / 5 na na
J. Gerlach 15 / 5 22 / 2 11 / 8 15 / 7 na na
P. Luksik 6 / 4 7 / 4 5 / 4 8 / 3 na na
Specter As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/3 3/23 2/9 11/26 8/5
Approve 51% 23% 74% 49% 49% 53% 56% 52% 56% 62% 59%
Disapprove 39 70 16 41 43 37 36 33 30 25 29
Casey As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/3 3/23 2/9 11/26 8/5
Approve 56% 41% 68% 59% 56% 57% 55% 52% 54% 55% 47%
Disapprove 21 34 12 20 23 19 21 23 23 20 25
Does Specter Deserve To Be Reelected?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/3 3/23 2/9
Yes, deserves 42% 18% 64% 38% 42% 42% 49% 38% 40%
No, does not 43 73 18 46 45 41 41 41 43
Undec 15 10 18 16 12 18 10 20 17
At Age 79, Do You Think Specter Is Too Old To Effectively Serve Another 6-Year Term As Sen.?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/3 3/23
Yes 43% 51% 36% 46% 43% 43% 37% 41%
No 52 45 59 48 53 50 60 54
Do You Think Specter/Toomey Is Too Liberal/Too Conservative/About Right?
- Specter Toomey
- All GOP Dem Ind 6/04 All GOP Dem Ind
Too liberal 30% 59% 8% 25% 22% 4% 4% 5% 3%
Too conserv. 9 5 12 9 17 15 5 22 16
About right 45 19 66 45 45 32 53 19 27
Michigan Governor 2010
A WXYZ-TV/Detroit News poll; conducted 5/18-21 by EPIC-MRA; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dems and 400 GOPers; margin of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 5/27). Tested: Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D), LG John Cherry (D), Wayne Co. Exec. Bob Ficano (D), '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), ex-MSU head football coach George Perles (D), ex-Flint Mayor Don Williamson (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), ex-state Rep. John Freeman (D), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02), AG Mike Cox (R), Sec/State Terri Lynn Land (R), Domino's CEO David Brandon (R), state Sen. Tom George (R) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
D. Stabenow 49%
J. Cherry 14
B. Ficano 5
A. W. Smith 2
G. Perles 2
D. Williamson 1
A. Dillon 1
J. Freeman --
Undec 26
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
P. Hoekstra 27%
M. Cox 26
T. L. Land 19
D. Brandon 2
T. Geoge 1
R. Snyder --
Undec 25
General Election Matchups
D. Stabenow 44%
P. Hoekstra 35
Undec 21
D. Stabenow 43%
M. Cox 35
Undec 22
D. Stabenow 44%
T. L. Land 35
Undec 21
J. Cherry 36%
P. Hoekstra 33
Undec 31
J. Cherry 36%
M. Cox 35
Undec 29
T. L. Land 35%
J. Cherry 34
Undec 31
P. Hoekstra 35%
B. Ficano 34
Undec 31
M. Cox 37%
B. Ficano 30
Undec 33
T. L. Land 37%
B. Ficano 30
Undec 33
Rhode Island
A Brown Univ. poll; conducted 5/18-20; surveyed 593 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/27).
Roberts As LG
- Now 2/10
Excellent/good 22% 21%
Only fair/poor 36 35
Lynch As AG
- Now 2/10
Excellent/good 47% 48%
Only fair/poor 39 40
Caprio As Treas.
- Now 2/10
Excellent/good 41% 35%
Only fair/poor 24 33
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