Polling Update: Gov. 2009 (NJ), Gov. 2010: (CA, CT), Senate 2010: (CT, FL, KS, NH) Senate 2012: (CT)

GOVERNOR 2009

NEW JERSEY
A Monmouth Univ./Gannett New Jersey poll; conducted 2/2-8; surveyed 803 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 2/12).
Corzine As Gov.
- All RVs Dem Ind GOP 9/14 7/21 4/08 3/08 1/08
Approve 34% 34% 49% 27% 19% 40% 39% 34% 37% 40%
Disapprove 48 51 32 55 69 46 46 52 52 44

Direction Of NJ
- All RVs Dem Ind GOP 9/14 7/07 4/07 2/07 9/06
Right dir. 21% 18% 28% 12% 14% 26% 39% 33% 34% 29%
Wrong dir. 72 74 63 81 83 64 50 51 55 58

NJ Legislature Job Approval
- All RVs Dem Ind GOP 7/21 4/08 3/08 10/07 2/07
Approve 25% 23% 33% 19% 18% 27% 29% 28% 33% 35%
Disapprove 52 55 40 59 69 45 53 50 41 40

Governor 2010
CALIFORNIA POLL
A Capitol Weekly poll; conducted 1/22-25 by Probolsky Research LLC; surveyed 752 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Subsamples of 384 Dem primary voters and 278 GOP primary voters; margins of error +/- 5.0% and +/- 5.9%, respectively (release, 2/6). Tested: Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D), AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), S.F. Mayor Gavin Newsom (D), L.A. Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa (D), LG John Garamendi (D), Supt. of Public Instruction Jack O'Connell (D), '06 candidate/ex-Cont. Steve Westly (D), '00 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), ex-eBay exec. Meg Whitman (R), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and Ventura Co. Supervisor Peter Foy (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
D. Feinstein 36%
J. Brown 14
G. Newsom 9
A. Villaraigosa 9
J. Garamendi 4
J. O'Connell 3
S. Westly 1
Undec 22

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
T. Campbell 15%
M. Whitman 14
S. Poizner 4
P. Foy 1
Undec 62

Direction Of CA
Right dir. 25%
Wrong dir. 61

Schwarzenegger As Gov.
Excellent/good 29%
Fair/poor 68

CONNECTICUT POLL
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 2/4-8; surveyed 1,603 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.4%. Subsample of 634 Dems; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 2/10). Tested: Gov. Jodi Rell (R), Sec/State Susan Bysiewicz (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D) and ex-State House Speaker James Amann (D).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
S. Bysiewicz 44%
D. Malloy 12
J. Amann 4
Other 3
Not vote 2
Undec 36

General Election Matchups
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
J. Rell 53% 84% 30% 55% 54% 51%
S. Bysiewicz 32 6 56 26 31 32
Other 1 1 -- 1 1 --
Not vote 1 2 1 1 1 1
Undec 14 7 13 17 12 16

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
J. Rell 58% 87% 36% 61% 57% 58%
D. Malloy 26 6 46 20 28 24
Other 1 1 -- 2 2 1
Not vote 1 1 2 1 1 1
Undec 14 5 16 16 11 17

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
J. Rell 61% 87% 41% 65% 61% 61%
J. Amann 21 6 38 14 21 20
Other 1 2 1 2 3 1
Not vote 1 1 2 1 1 1
Undec 16 4 17 19 14 17

Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind
J. Rell 70%/17% 84%/ 9% 60%/24% 73%/15%
S. Bysiewicz 40 /12 29 /22 51 / 4 37 /14
D. Malloy 19 /11 12 /19 27 / 6 16 /10
J. Amann 7 /13 6 /21 10 / 9 7 /12

Rell As Gov.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 12/17 7/1 3/27 11/07
Approve 75% 85% 67% 75% 70% 79% 68% 65% 76% 77%
Disapprove 19 11 26 18 25 14 20 23 13 14

Bysiewicz As Sec/State
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 4/05 11/04
Approve 59% 51% 69% 56% 59% 60% 51% 53%
Disapprove 10 19 3 12 13 8 9 7

The Way Things Are Going In CT Today
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 12/17 7/1 3/27 11/07
Satisfied 41% 47% 42% 36% 38% 42% 43% 41% 54% 63%
Dissatisfied 59 52 58 62 60 56 55 59 44 34


SENATE 2010
CONNECTICUT POLL
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 2/4-8; surveyed 1,603 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.4% (release, 2/10).
Re-Elect Dodd?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 12/17 7/1
Definitely 11% 4% 22% 5% 12% 10% 13% 14%
Probably 31 10 43 31 27 34 31 37
Probably not 19 16 16 24 18 20 20 20
Definitely not 32 65 11 33 39 26 27 19

Dodd As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 12/17 7/1 3/27 11/07
Approve 41% 15% 62% 36% 37% 44% 47% 51% 51% 55%
Disapprove 48 80 25 51 55 42 41 34 28 31

How Much Have You Heard/Read About Allegations Dodd May Have Received Special Treatment From Countrywide Financial On Mortgages?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 7/1
A lot 42% 57% 38% 40% 47% 39% 26%
Some 31 27 31 33 31 32 36
Not much 12 7 12 15 12 13 15
Nothing at all 13 8 18 11 10 16 22

Are You Satisfied/Not Satisfied With Dodd's Explanation Of This Matter?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
Satisfied 24% 11% 37% 19% 23% 24%
Not satisfied 54 78 34 59 59 50

Does Controversy Surrounding Dodd's Mortgages Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him In '10?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
More likely 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1%
Less likely 56 73 43 60 57 55
No difference 36 21 47 33 35 37


FLORIDA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 2/6-8; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsamples of 500 Dem/Dem-leaning Indies and 480 GOP/GOP-leaning Indies; margins of error +/- 4.4% and +/- 4.5%, respectively (release, 2/11). Tested: Rep. Ron Klein (D-22), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17), Tampa Mayor Pam Iorio (D), state Sen. Dan Gelber (D), Gov. Charlie Crist (R), Rep. Connie Mack IV (R-14), Rep. Vern Buchanan (R-13), ex-state House Speaker Allan Bense (R) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
R. Klein 12%
K. Meek 10
P. Iorio 8
D. Gelber 4
Undec 66

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)
C. Crist 54%
C. Mack IV 16
V. Buchanan 10
A. Bense 7
M. Rubio 4
Undec 9

C. Mack IV 21%
V. Buchanan 11
A. Bense 8
M. Rubio 5
Undec 55

General Election Matchups
C. Crist 55%
R. Klein 24
Undec 18

C. Crist 60%
K. Meek 26
Undec 14

C. Crist 57%
P. Iorio 29
Undec 14

C. Crist 58%
D. Gelber 27
Undec 15

C. Mack IV 32%
R. Klein 27
Undec 41

C. Mack IV 35%
K. Meek 25
Undec 40

C. Mack IV 32%
P. Iorio 30
Undec 38

C. Mack IV 33%
D. Gelber 27
Undec 30

R. Klein 28%
V. Buchanan 24
Undec 48

V. Buchanan 29%
K. Meek 23
Undec 48

P. Iorio 30%
V. Buchanan 26
Undec 44

V. Buchanan 23%
D. Gelber 20
Undec 57

R. Klein 27%
A. Bense 22
Undec 51

A. Bense 28%
K. Meek 21
Undec 51

P. Iorio 30%
A. Bense 24
Undec 46

A. Bense 27%
D. Gelber 25
Undec 48

R. Klein 29%
M. Rubio 18
Undec 53

M. Rubio 26%
K. Meek 24
Undec 50

P. Iorio 32%
M. Rubio 19
Undec 49

M. Rubio 22%
D. Gelber 17
Undec 61

KANSAS POLL
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 2/2-4 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 2/6). Party ID Breakdown: 49%R, 28%D, 23%I. Tested: Gov. Kathleen Sebelius (D), Rep. Todd Tiahrt (R-04) and Rep. Jerry Moran (R-01).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
T. Tiahrt 24% 27% 21%
J. Moran 19 17 21
Undec 57 56 58

General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind CD1 CD2 CD3 CD4
K. Sebelius 47% 42% 52% 74% 30% 50% 40% 55% 56% 38%
T. Tiahrt 37 43 31 6 60 27 47 28 26 47
Undec 16 15 17 20 10 23 13 17 18 15

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind CD1 CD2 CD3 CD4
K. Sebelius 48% 43% 53% 74% 32% 51% 40% 56% 57% 39%
J. Moran 36 42 30 6 57 28 46 28 27 43
Undec 16 15 17 20 11 21 14 16 16 18

Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
K. Sebelius 56%/37% 52%/42% 60%/32% 75%/16% 42%/54% 63%/27%
T. Tiahrt 44 /25 47 /23 41 /27 21 /45 59 /13 41 /27
J. Moran 42 /22 41 /24 43 /20 23 /35 55 /14 38 /23


NEW HAMPSHIRE
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 2/6-8; surveyed 1,326 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.7% (release, 2/11). Party ID Breakdown: 35%D, 32%R, 33%I. Tested: Rep. Paul Hodes (D-02), Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D-01), ex-Sen. John Sununu (R) and ex-Rep. Charles Bass (R).
General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
P. Hodes 46% 41% 50% 79% 14% 43%
J. Sununu 44 49 40 12 82 41
Undec 10 11 9 9 4 16

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
P. Hodes 40% 38% 41% 71% 10% 35%
C. Bass 37 41 34 10 72 32
Undec 23 21 24 19 17 32

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
J. Sununu 46% 53% 40% 11% 85% 44%
C. Shea-Porter 45 40 50 80 11 41
Undec 9 8 10 9 4 14

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
C. Bass 43% 48% 39% 12% 79% 41%
C. Shea-Porter 42 36 46 76 9 38
Undec 15 15 15 12 12 21

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind
J. Sununu 46%/43% 20%/69% 81%/15% 41%/44%
C. Shea-Porter 43 /40 74 /11 15 /72 38 /38
P. Hodes 42 /34 70 / 9 13 /64 40 /32
C. Bass 33 /37 17 /57 54 /17 29 /37

Senate 2012
CONNECTICUT POLL
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 2/4-8; surveyed 1,603 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.4% (release, 2/10). Tested: Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-CT) and AG Richard Blumenthal (D).
SEN '12 General Election Matchup
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
R. Blumenthal 58% 23% 83% 55% 56% 59%
J. Lieberman 30 67 9 29 35 27
Other 2 1 2 2 2 1
Not vote 2 3 1 2 2 2
Undec 8 5 5 12 6 10

Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind
R. Blumental 71%/13% 57%/28% 81%/ 6% 71%/10%
J. Lieberman 43 /49 78 /17 18 /73 46 /47

Lieberman As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 12/17 7/1 3/27 11/07
Approve 45% 75% 21% 48% 47% 43% 38% 45% 52% 52%
Disapprove 48 20 70 46 49 48 54 43 35 38

Blumenthal As AG
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 7/05 4/05 11/04 4/01
Approve 79% 66% 85% 81% 79% 79% 73% 76% 71% 72%
Disapprove 12 25 6 10 16 8 14 15 15 11