Happy Holidays!

SENATE

NEW YORK

A Marist College poll; conducted 12/8; surveyed 503 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 12/9).

If HRC Is Confirmed As Sec/State, Who Should Paterson Choose To Fill Her Sen. Seat?

- All Dem GOP Ind NYC Suburbs Upstate

C. Kennedy 25% 31% 21% 24% 29% 27% 22%

A. Cuomo 25 21 34 22 19 33 25

B. Brown 6 5 10 2 3 * 10

N. Velazquez 4 6 2 2 8 4 1

K. Gillibrand 4 4 1 5 1 * 9

C. Maloney 3 5 3 2 5 6 1

T. Suozzi 3 1 5 7 4 5 2

A. Carrion 2 * 1 6 4 1 *

S. Israel 2 2 2 1 2 4 *

Undec 26 25 21 29 25 20 30



MISSOURI

A Daily Kos poll; conducted 12/2-4 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 12/9). Party ID Breakdown: 39%D, 37%R, 24%I. Tested: Sen. Kit Bond (R) and Sec/State Robin Carnahan (D).

General Election Matchup

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk

K. Bond 47% 51% 43% 13% 85% 45% 55% 7%

R. Carnahan 43 41 45 78 7 42 36 76

Undec 10 8 12 9 8 13 9 17



Fav/Unfav

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind

K. Bond 49%/43% 52%/41% 46%/45% 25%/68% 77%/17% 45%/43%

R. Carnahan 48 /26 45 /30 51 /22 69 /11 28 /44 46 /23



OHIO

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 12/4-8; surveyed 1,468 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 12/10). Tested: Sen. George Voinovich (R).

General Election Matchup

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom

G. Voinovich 36% 68% 15% 33% 43% 30%

Generic Dem 35 7 64 26 29 40

Undec 29 25 20 42 29 30



Re-Elect Voinovich?

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom

Yes, deserves 44% 54% 37% 45% 48% 40%

No, doesn't 34 27 40 33 33 35

Undec 22 19 23 22 19 24



Fav/Unfav

- All GOP Dem Ind

G. Voinovich 39%/25% 51%/15% 30%/30% 41%/26%

L. Fisher 23 /10 14 /15 34 / 3 19 /13



Voinovich As Sen.

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 8/14 6/4 2/25 11/07

Approve 51% 60% 46% 52% 54% 49% 51% 45% 46% 50%

Disapprove 31 22 34 35 32 31 32 31 27 29



Brown As Sen.

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 8/14 6/4 2/25 11/07

Approve 48% 34% 59% 49% 51% 46% 51% 44% 44% 47%

Disapprove 26 36 16 28 30 23 23 23 15 21



IOWA

A Daily Kos poll; conducted 12/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 12/11). Party ID Breakdown: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R) and ex-Gov. Tom Vilsack (D).

General Election Matchup

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+

C. Grassley 48% 51% 45% 14% 83% 51% 42% 52% 47% 49%

T. Vilsack 44 42 46 81 7 41 48 41 46 42

Undec 8 7 9 5 10 8 10 7 7 9



Fav/Unfav

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind

C. Grassley 57%/36% 61%/33% 53%/39% 41%/56% 74%/17% 58%/34%

T. Vilsack 55 /36 52 /40 58 /32 68 /22 39 /54 56 /35



PENNSYLVANIA

A Daily Kos poll; conducted 12/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary voters and 400 GOP primary voters; margin of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 12/11). Tested: MSNBC host Chris Matthews (D), Rep. Patrick Murphy (D-08), Rep. Allyson Schwartz (D-13), Sen. Arlen Specter (R) and '04 candidate/ex-Rep./Club for Growth pres. Pat Toomey (R).

Primary Election Matchups (Dems)

- All Men Wom Wht Blk

C. Matthews 24% 21% 27% 26% 17%

P. Murphy 19 23 16 21 11

A. Schwartz 15 10 19 17 8

Undec 42 46 38 36 64



- All Men Wom Wht Blk

C. Matthews 28% 24% 31% 30% 21%

P. Murphy 21 25 18 23 12

Undec 51 51 51 47 67



- All Men Wom Wht Blk

C. Matthews 30% 26% 33% 32% 24%

A. Schwartz 18 11 24 20 11

Undec 52 63 43 48 65



- All Men Wom Wht Blk

P. Murphy 23% 27% 20% 25% 12%

A. Schwartz 20 12 26 22 12

Undec 57 61 54 53 76



Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

- All Men Wom

A. Specter 43% 40% 47%

P. Toomey 28 32 23

Undec 29 28 30



General Election Matchups

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk

A. Specter 45% 49% 41% 16% 81% 48% 54% 7%

C. Matthews 44 42 46 76 5 41 39 68

Undec 11 9 13 8 14 11 7 25



- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk

A. Specter 48% 52% 44% 18% 85% 51% 58% 6%

P. Murphy 36 35 37 61 5 35 30 62

Undec 16 13 19 21 10 14 12 32



- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk

A. Specter 49% 53% 45% 18% 87% 53% 59% 6%

A. Schwartz 35 34 36 60 5 33 29 61

Undec 16 13 19 22 8 14 12 33



- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk

C. Matthews 46% 43% 49% 79% 6% 43% 40% 71%

P. Toomey 35 39 31 5 73 36 42 4

Undec 19 18 20 16 21 21 18 25



- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk

P. Murphy 44% 41% 47% 76% 5% 41% 38% 70%

P. Toomey 36 40 32 5 75 37 43 4

Undec 20 19 21 19 20 22 19 26



- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk

A. Schwartz 42% 39% 45% 72% 5% 39% 36% 69%

P. Toomey 36 40 32 5 75 37 43 4

Undec 22 21 23 23 20 24 21 27



TEXAS

A Voter/Consumer Research (R) poll; conducted 12/7-9 for Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R); surveyed 466 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 12/12). Tested: Hutchison and Gov. Rick Perry (R).

Primary Election Matchup

K. Hutchison 55%

R. Perry 31

Neither/other 2

Undec 12



CONNECTICUT

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 12/11-15; surveyed 1,445 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 12/17).

How Likely Are You To Vote To Re-Elect Dodd In '10?

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 7/1

Definitely 13% 5% 26% 6% 14% 12% 14%

Probably 31 14 41 31 28 34 37

Probably not 20 22 19 20 20 20 20

Definitely not 27 55 8 28 31 23 19



Dodd As Sen.

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 7/1 3/27 11/07 5/07

Approve 47% 22% 69% 41% 43% 51% 51% 51% 55% 60%

Disapprove 41 68 22 44 48 35 34 28 31 26



Lieberman As Sen.

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 7/1 3/27 11/07 5/07

Approve 38% 68% 21% 40% 39% 37% 45% 52% 52% 53%

Disapprove 54 25 75 50 55 54 43 35 38 39



GUBERNATORIAL

OHIO

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 12/4-8; surveyed 1,468 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 12/10). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D).

General Election Matchup

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom

T. Strickland 46% 11% 81% 38% 42% 50%

Generic GOPer 26 63 5 20 29 24

Undec 27 26 14 42 29 27



Re-Elect Strickland?

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom

Yes, deserves 45% 25% 62% 44% 45% 46%

No, doesn't 34 53 20 35 37 32

Undec 20 22 18 21 18 22



Fav/Unfav

T. Strickland 47%/25% 28%/38% 64%/15% 44%/26%

M. DeWine 43 /24 56 /14 31 /28 45 /27

J. Kasich 18 / 8 30 / 6 8 / 7 19 /10

R. Portman 12 / 7 20 / 4 5 / 8 13 / 7



Strickland As Gov.

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 8/14 6/4 2/25 11/07

Approve 54% 35% 68% 53% 56% 52% 60% 55% 56% 61%

Disapprove 25 37 15 25 26 23 25 23 19 15