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Tuesday, December 2, 2008

Georgia update, plus a look ahead

SENATE 2008
GEORGIA
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 11/23-25 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/26). Tested: Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R) and '06 LG nominee/ex-state Rep. Jim Martin (D). Party ID: 40%R, 37%D, 23%I.
Runoff Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
S. Chambliss 52% 56% 48% 11% 89% 52% 70% 8%
J. Martin 46 42 50 88 8 45 29 89
Fav/Unfav
- Now
S. Chambliss 54%/45%
J. Martin 51 /47

SENATE 2010
NEVADA
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 11/23-25 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4%. Subsample 400 Dem RVs (release, 11/26). Tested: Sen. Harry Reid (D) and Rep. Jon Porter (R-03). Party ID: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I. Clk: Clark Co.; Wsh: Washoe Co.; Oth: rest of state.

General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Clk Wsh Oth
H. Reid 46% 43% 49% 80% 7% 45% 49% 43% 36%
J. Porter 40 44 36 9 77 38 37 44 50
Fav/Unfav
J. Porter 40%/39%
H. Reid 38 /54

PENNSYLVANIA
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 11/19-24; surveyed 1,487 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 11/26). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (R) and MSNBC host Chris Matthews (D).

General Election Matchup
- Now 8/08
A. Specter 45% 41%
C. Matthews 33 36
Fav/Unfav
- Now 8/08
A. Specter 56 /23 55 /26
C. Matthews 21 /17 28 /15

HOUSE RACE Updates:

CA-04
CD Candidates Vote % Difference
-----------------------------------------------------------
CA 04 McClintock (R) 184,543 50.2% +1,576
Brown (D) 182,967 49.8
-----------------------------------------------------------

OH-15
CD Candidates Vote % Difference
-----------------------------------------------------------
OH 15 Stivers (R) 129,852 45.6% +149
Kilroy (D) 129,703 45.6
-----------------------------------------------------------

VA-05

CD Candidates Vote % Difference
-----------------------------------------------------------
VA 05 Perriello (D) 158,712 50.1 +745
GOODE (R) 157,967 49.9
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