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Wednesday, October 8, 2008

Wednesday, 10/8

PRESIDENTIAL
FLORIDA
A Mason-Dixon poll; conducted 10/4-6; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/7). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 39%R, 18%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 9/18 8/08
Obama/Biden 48% 79% 13% 50% 44% 52% 42% 92% 44% 47% 45%
McCain/Palin 46 15 82 41 52 40 52 3 49 45 44
Other 1 -- 2 3 1 1 1 -- -- 1 na
Undec 5 6 3 6 3 7 5 5 7 7 11

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     9/18    8/08    11/07
J. McCain 47%/34% 46%/35% 44%/34% 33%/32%
S. Palin 46 /38 45 /31 3 / 2 na
B. Obama 46 /40 47 /37 46 /37 40 /33
J. Biden 43 /29 39 /21 37 /21 na


MINNESOTA
A MN Public Radio News/Univ. of MN; conducted 10/3-5 by the Univ. of CT; surveyed 418 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 10/7).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-           All Men Wom 17-29 30-44 45-59 60+ 10/1 8/17
B. Obama 54% 44% 55% 58% 47% 47% 52% 47% 48%
J. McCain 40 47 37 40 43 43 40 43 38
Other 2 na na na na na na 2 5
Undec 4 na na na na na na 9 10


PENNSYLVANIA
An Allentown Morning Call/Muhlenberg College tracking poll; conducted 10/3-7; surveyed 602 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/8). Party ID Breakdown: 54%D, 39%R, 6%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-          Now 10/6 10/5 10/4 10/3 10/2 10/1 9/30 9/29 9/28
B. Obama 50% 48% 49% 50% 51% 50% 50% 48% 49% 49%
J. McCain 38 38 38 40 39 40 41 41 41 42
Other 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 2
Undec 9 11 9 7 8 8 7 8 7 7

Fav/Unfav
J. Biden        51%/28%
B. Obama 50 /35
S. Palin 41 /43
J. McCain 40 /42


SENATE
MINNESOTA
A MN Public Radio News/Univ. of MN; conducted 10/3-5 by the Univ. of CT; surveyed 418 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 10/8). Tested: Sen. Norm Coleman (R), entertainer Al Franken (D) and ex-Sen. Dean Barkley (i).

General Election Matchup
-               All GOP Ind Dem Men Wom 10/1 8/17
A. Franken 41% 4% 24% 63% 34% 38% 31% 41%
N. Coleman 37 80 31 8 42 35 40 40
D. Barkley 14 9 24 16 14 14 14 8
Undec 8 7 21 13 na na 15 11


NEW JERSEY
A Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. PublicMind poll; conducted 9/29-10/5; surveyed 760 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/8). Tested: Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D) and '96 nominee/ex-Rep. Dick Zimmer (R).
General Election Matchup
-              All Dem Ind GOP 9/7 6/22
F. Lautenberg 50% 78% 33% 15% 46% 45%
D. Zimmer 34 11 28 70 35 28
Neither/other 2 1 5 2 na na
Undec 14 10 34 13 20 28

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem    Ind     GOP     9/7
F. Lautenberg 39%/29% 52%/14% 32%/33% 24%/52% 41%/29%
D. Zimmer 17 /12 11 /13 14 /12 28 / 9 16 / 9


HOUSE
CT-04
A Sacred Heart Univ./WSHU-FM poll; conducted 9/22-25; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/7). Tested: Rep. Chris Shays (R) and Greenwich Dem Chair Jim Himes (D).

General Election Matchup
C. Shays 41%
J. Himes 31

OH-01
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 9/30-10/1 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/7). Tested: Rep. Steve Chabot (R) and state Rep. Steve Driehaus (D).
General Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
S. Driehaus 46% 42% 50% 77% 5% 48% 35% 69%
S. Chabot 44 49 39 13 84 43 55 20
Other 4 5 3 3 4 5 6 --
Undec 6 4 8 7 7 4 4 11

Fav/Unfav
S. Driehaus     45%/31%
S. Chabot 42 /44


OH-16
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 9/30-10/1 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/7). Tested: state Sen. Kirk Schuring (R) and state Sen. John Boccieri (D).
General Election Matchup
-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
J. Boccieri 48% 46% 50% 82% 7% 50% 49% 45% 50% 49%
K. Schuring 38 41 35 6 76 37 36 42 37 37
Other 3 5 3 3 5 6 3 5 5 3
Undec 10 8 12 9 12 7 12 8 8 11

Fav/Unfav
J. Boccieri     44%/25%
K. Schuring 41 /31

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