GEORGIA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 9/29-10/1 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/6). Party ID Breakdown: 41%R, 38%D, 21%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
McCain/Palin 50% 53% 47% 15% 85% 46% 73% 5%
Obama/Biden 43 40 46 80 9 42 21 91
Other 3 4 2 2 3 5 4 --
Undec 4 3 5 3 3 7 2 4
INDIANA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/3-6; surveyed 903 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 677 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/7).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- All LVs 9/16
McCain/Palin 48% 51% 51%
Obama/Biden 48 46 45
Neither 3 2 3
Other * * *
Undec 1 * 1
- All LVs 9/16
B. Obama 47% 46% 43%
J. McCain 45 48 48
B. Barr 6 5 2
None 1 1 2
Other * -- 7
Undec 1 * *
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 9/30
McCain/Palin 46% 51% 41% 7% 83% 40% 51% 4% 46%
Obama/Biden 46 43 49 88 7 51 41 88 45
Other 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 -- 3
Undec 5 3 7 3 7 6 5 8 6
MICHIGAN
A Denno-Noor/Rossman Group poll; conducted 10/1-4 for MIRS Newsletter; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/7).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama 44%
J. McCain 39
Undec 13
NEVADA
A Reno Gazette-Journal/KTVN-TV poll; conducted 10/3-6 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/7).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 8/20
B. Obama 50% 44%
J. McCain 43 43
Other 3 5
Undec 4 6
NEW HAMPSHIRE
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/3-6; surveyed 912 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 813 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 10/7).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- All LVs 9/9
Obama/Biden 52% 53% 51%
McCain/Palin 44 45 45
Neither 3 2 2
Other * * 1
Undec * * 1
- All LVs 9/9
B. Obama 51% 51% 48%
J. McCain 42 43 43
B. Barr 2 3 2
R. Nader 2 1 4
None 2 1 1
Other * * 1
Undec * * 1
NEW JERSEY
A Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. PublicMind poll; conducted 9/29-10/5; surveyed 790 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/7).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom Wht NonWht 9/7 6/22
B. Obama 50% 84% 32% 9% 47% 54% 45% 69% 47% 49%
J. McCain 37 9 24 82 41 33 43 14 41 33
Neither/other 3 1 9 1 2 2 2 1 2 3
Undec 11 6 36 8 10 11 9 16 11 15
NORTH CAROLINA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/3-6; surveyed 912 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 813 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 10/7).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- All LVs 9/9
Obama/Biden 52% 53% 51%
McCain/Palin 44 45 45
Neither 3 2 2
Other * * 1
Undec * * 1
- All LVs 9/9
B. Obama 51% 51% 48%
J. McCain 42 43 43
B. Barr 2 3 2
R. Nader 2 1 4
None 2 1 1
Other * * 1
Undec * * 1
OHIO
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/3-6; surveyed 933 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 749 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/7).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- All LVs 9/16 9/2
Obama/Biden 50% 50% 49% 47%
McCain/Palin 46 47 47 45
Neither 3 2 2 5
Other * * * 1
Undec 1 1 2 2
- All LVs 9/16 9/2
B. Obama 47% 48% 46% 45%
J. McCain 44 45 44 44
R. Nader 3 3 4 5
B. Barr 2 2 2 2
C. McKinney 1 * * 1
None 2 1 1 3
Other * -- 1 *
Undec 1 1 1 1
OHIO
An ABC News/Washington Post poll; conducted 10/3-5 by TNS; surveyed 891 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 772 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/6).
WH '08 General Election Matchup (Subgroups Among LVs)
- All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk WhtWom
Obama/Biden 51% 51% 91% 7% 46% 45% 56% 44% 98% 47%
McCain/Palin 43 45 8 90 45 48 42 51 1 50
Other 1 1 na na na na na na na na
Neither 2 1 na na na na na na na na
Wouldn't vote 1 na na na na na na na na na
Undec 2 2 na na na na na na na na
WISCONSIN
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 10/3-6; surveyed 959 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 859 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 10/7).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- All LVs 9/16
Obama/Biden 51% 51% 50%
McCain/Palin 45 46 47
Neither 3 2 2
Other * * *
Undec * * 1
- All LVs 9/16
B. Obama 50% 50% 49%
J. McCain 41 42 45
R. Nader 5 4 3
B. Barr 2 1 1
C. McKinney 1 * *
None 2 1 1
Other -- -- *
Undec 1 1 1
SENATE
GEORGIA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 9/29-10/1 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/6). Tested: Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R) and '06 LG nominee/atty/ex-state Rep. Jim Martin (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
S. Chambliss 45% 48% 42% 13% 77% 42% 63% 8
J. Martin 44 41 47 78 11 46 26 83
Other 4 5 3 3 4 5 6 --
Undec 7 6 8 6 8 7 5 9
Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
S. Chambliss 54%/42% 58%/39% 50%/45% 39%/58% 71%/24% 51%/45%
J. Martin 51 /34 48 /38 54 /30 75 /15 27 /54 53 /29
HOUSE
FL-18
A Carlos McDonald poll; conducted 9/27-10/1 for WSCV-TV; surveyed 300 RVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (Clark, Miami Herald, 10/7). Tested: Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R) and LanguageSpeak CEO Annette Taddeo (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Ind
I. Ros-Lehtinen 48% 36%
A. Taddeo 35 39
Undec 17 25
FL-21
A Carlos McDonald poll; conducted 9/27-10/1 for WSCV-TV; surveyed 300 RVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (Clark, Miami Herald, 10/7). Tested: Rep. Lincoln Diaz-Balart (R) and ex-Hialeah Mayor Raul Martinez (D).
General Election Matchup
L. Diaz-Balart 48%
R. Martinez 43
Undec 9
FL-25
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 10/2-5 for Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/6). Tested: Diaz-Balart and ex-Cuban American National Foundation dir./Miami-Dade Co. Dem Chair Joe Garcia (D).
General Election Matchup
- Now 7/08
M. Diaz-Balart 49% 44%
J. Garcia 36 38
Undec 15 18
FL-25
A Carlos McDonald poll; conducted 9/27-10/1 for WSCV-TV; surveyed 300 RVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (Clark, Miami Herald, 10/7). Tested: Diaz-Balart and Garcia.
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Cub NonCubHisp
M. Diaz-Balart 43% 7% 83% 38% 59% 39%
J. Garcia 41 81 3 44 30 46
Undec 16 na na na na na
MI-07
A Myers Research & Strategic Services (D) poll; conducted 10/5-6 for state Senate Min. Leader Mark Schauer (D); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/7). Tested: Schauer and Rep. Tim Walberg (R).
General Election Matchups
- All Ind 9/25
M. Schauer 46% 39% 42%
T. Walberg 36 27 36
Generic Dem 44%
Generic GOPer 36
NH-01
A St. Anselm College poll; conducted 9/25-30 by SRBI Research; surveyed 411 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (Landrigan, Nashua Telegraph, 10/7). Tested: Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D), ex-Rep. Jeb Bradley (R) and frequent candidate/businessman Bob Kingsbury (L).
General Election Matchup
C. Shea-Porter 42%
J. Bradley 35
B. Kingsbury 2
Undec 21
NH-02
A St. Anselm College poll; conducted 9/25-30 by SRBI Research; surveyed 421 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (Landrigan, Nashua Telegraph, 10/7). Tested: Rep. Paul Hodes (D), radio host Jennifer Horn (R) and gun-rights activist/ex-state Rep. Chester Lapointe (L).
General Election Matchup
P. Hodes 35%
J. Horn 18
C. LaPointe 2
Undec 45
NJ-03
A Monmouth Univ./Gannett New Jersey Poll; conducted 9/30-10/2; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsample of 430 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 10/6). Tested: Medford Mayor Chris Myers (R) and state Sen. John Adler (D).
General Election Matchup
- All LVs Dem Ind GOP
C. Myers 41% 44% 4% 40% 79%
J. Adler 40 41 79 37 9
Other -- -- 1 -- --
Undec 19 15 16 23 12
Fav/Unfav
- All LVs Dem Ind GOP
C. Myers 28%/ 8% 32%/ 8% 5%/16% 33%/ 5% 48%/ 3%
J. Adler 26 / 8 30 / 8 36 /-- 30 / 8 13 /17
NM-01
A Albuquerque Journal poll; conducted 9/29-10/2 by Research & Polling, Inc.; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/7). Tested: ex-Albuquerque Councilor Martin Heinrich (D) and Bernalillo Co. Sheriff Darren White (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Ind
M. Heinrich 43% 47%
D. White 41 31
Undec 16 22
NY-29
A Beneson Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 10/2-4 for the DCCC; surveyed 403 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/6). Tested: Rep. Randy Kuhl (R) and '06 nominee Eric Massa (D).
General Election Matchup
E. Massa 47%
R. Kuhl 42
Undec 13
PA-11
A Susquehanna Polling & Research poll; conducted 10/2 for Hazleton Mayor Lou Barletta (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/6). Tested: Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D) and Barletta.
General Election Matchup
- Now 9/22 7/08 3/08
L. Barletta 47% 45% 45% 47%
P. Kanjorski 39 41 41 42
Undec 11 14 12 12
None/other 2 1 1 1
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/22 7/08 3/08
P. Kanjorski 41%/39% 45%/33% 52%/32% 50%/25%
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