COLORADO
A Denver Post poll; conducted 9/29-10/1 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/5).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now Ind 8/08
B. Obama 44% 49% 45%
J. McCain 44 31 42
Other 4 9 na
Undec 8 11 na
FLORIDA
A FL Chamber of Commerce poll; conducted 9/30-10/1; surveyed 619 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/3).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 8/21
McCain/Palin 45% 42%
Obama/Biden 42 39
Other 3 6
Undec 10 13
MAINE
A Mellman Group (D) poll; conducted 9/30-10/2 for the DSCC; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/6).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama 52%
J. McCain 35
Undec 13
MINNESOTA
A Minneapolis Star Tribune poll; conducted 9/30-10/2 by Princeton Survey Research Assoc. Int'l; surveyed 1,084 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/5).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/12 5/08
Obama/Biden 55% 45% 51%
McCain/Palin 37 45 38
Undec 8 10 11
NEW MEXICO
A Albuquerque Journal poll; conducted 9/29-10/2 by Research & Polling, Inc.; surveyed 659 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/6).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Ind His
B. Obama 45% 44% 62%
J. McCain 40 29 17
R. Nader 1 na 21
Undec 14 22 na
OHIO
A Columbus Dispatch poll; conducted 9/24-10/3; surveyed 2,262 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.1% (release, 10/5).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His HRC 8/21
Obama/Biden 49% 84% 5% 43% 43% 52% 44% 94% 65% 66% 41%
McCain/Palin 42 7 90 41 48 39 47 2 29 18 42
Other 1 na na na na na na na na na 2
Undec 8 8 5 15 8 9 8 3 6 14 15
PENNSYLVANIA
An Allentown Morning Call/Muhlenberg College tracking poll; conducted 10/1-5; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/6). Party ID Breakdown: 53%D, 38%R, 8%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/4 10/3 10/2 10/1 9/30 9/29 9/28 9/27 9/26
B. Obama 49% 50% 51% 50% 50% 48% 49% 49% 48% 47%
J. McCain 38 40 39 40 41 41 41 42 42 42
Other 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2
Undec 9 7 8 8 7 8 7 7 8 9
Fav/Unfav
J. Biden 54%/29%
B. Obama 54 /34
S. Palin 42 /44
J. McCain 41 /42
RHODE ISLAND
An Opinion Factor Worldwide poll; conducted 9/30-10/1; surveyed 1,140 adults; margin of error +/- 2.9% (Peoples/Neeedham, Providence Journal, 10/6).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama 48%
J. McCain 26
VIRGINIA
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 10/3-5; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/6).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama 51%
J. McCain 39
Other 1
Undec 6
SENATE
COLORADO
A Denver Post poll; conducted 9/29-10/1 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/5). Tested: Rep. Mark Udall (D-02) and '04 candidate/CO Bd. of Ed. member/ex-Rep. Bob Schaffer (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 8/15
M. Udall 43% 47%
B. Schaffer 38 37
Undec 14 na
MAINE
A Mellman Group (D) poll; conducted 9/30-10/2 for the DSCC; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/6). Tested: Sen. Susan Collins (R) and Rep. Tom Allen (D-01).
General Election Matchup
S. Collins 49%
T. Allen 41
Undec 10
MINNESOTA
A Minneapolis Star Tribune poll; conducted 9/30-10/2 by Princeton Survey Research Assoc. Int'l; surveyed 1,084 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/5). Tested: Sen. Norm Coleman (R), entertainer Al Franken (D) and ex-Sen. Dean Barkley (i).
General Election Matchup
- Now 9/12 5/08
A. Franken 43% 37% 44%
N. Coleman 34 41 51
D. Barkley 18 13 na
NEW HAMPSHIRE
A St. Anselm College poll; conducted 9/25-30 by SRBI Research; surveyed 823 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (AP, 10/4). Tested: ex-Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D), Sen. John Sununu (R) and '96/'02 candidate/'98 GOV candidate/'06 NH-02 candidate/realtor Ken Blevins (L).
General Election Matchup
J. Shaheen 49%
J. Sununu 35
K. Blevins 1
Undec 15
NEW MEXICO
A Albuquerque Journal poll; conducted 9/29-10/2 by Research & Polling, Inc.; surveyed 659 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/6). Tested: Rep. Tom Udall (D-03) and Rep. Steve Pearce (R-02).
General Election Matchup
- All Ind His
T. Udall 51% 54% 66%
S. Pearce 36 28 14
Undec 13 18 19
VIRGINIA
A Mason-Dixon poll; conducted 9/29-10/1; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (Sluss, Roanoke Times, 10/2). Tested: ex-Gov. Mark Warner (D) and ex-Gov. Jim Gilmore (R).
General Election Matchup
M. Warner 57%
J. Gilmore 31
Undec 11
HOUSE
ID-01
A Greg Smith & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 9/25-30 for the ID GOP; surveyed 200 RVs; margin of error +/- 6.9% (Idaho Statesman, 10/4). Tested: businessman/'96 SEN nominee Walter Minnick (D) and Rep. Bill Sali (R).
General Election Matchup
B. Sali 51%
W. Minnick 39
IL-10
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 9/30-10/1 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/5). Tested: Rep. Mark Kirk (R) and '06 nominee Dan Seals (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
M. Kirk 44% 47% 41% 12% 81% 45% 41% 43% 46% 46%
D. Seals 38 36 40 70 5 34 41 38 37 35
Other 2 2 2 2 1 3 2 3 3 3
Undec 16 15 17 16 13 18 16 16 14 16
Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
M. Kirk 45%/40% 49%/37% 41%/43% 32%/55% 65%/20% 42%/42%
D. Seals 43 /28 38 /35 48 /21 60 /15 26 /46 41 /27
MN-03
A Bennett Petts & Normington (D) poll; conducted 9/29-30 for the DCCC; surveyed 400 LV;s margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/6). Tested: Iraq war vet/atty Ashwin Madia (D), state Rep. Erik Paulsen (R) and businessman David Dillon (I)
General Election Matchup
A. Madia 44%
E. Paulsen 39
D. Dillon 8
Undec 9
NJ-07
A Monmouth Univ./Gannett New Jersey Poll; conducted 9/30-10/2; surveyed 503 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsample of 410 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 10/3). Tested: state Sen. Leonard Lance (R), '06 nominee/Assemb. Linda Stender (D) and Bridgewater Councilor/'08 GOP candidate Michael Hsing (I).
General Election Matchup
- All LVs Dem Ind GOP
L. Lance 41% 43% 11% 34% 76%
L. Stender 37 39 74 31 6
M. Hsing 2 2 1 3 2
Other 2 2 1 5 1
Undec 18 14 12 27 15
Fav/Unfav
- All LVs Dem Ind GOP
L. Lance 25%/16% 27%/18% 15%/26% 19%/18% 40%/ 6%
L. Stender 24 /20 27 /22 50 / 5 18 /17 6 /38
NM-02
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 9/30-10/1 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/3). Tested: businessman Harry Teague (D) and '02 candidate/K-Bob's steakhouse owner Ed Tinsley (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
H. Teague 47% 44% 50% 84% 13% 51% 50% 45% 48% 44%
E. Tinsley 43 48 38 8 77 39 40 46 42 45
Other 3 3 3 2 3 3 2 3 3 3
Undec 7 5 9 6 7 7 8 6 7 8
Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
H. Teague 46%/33% 41%/39% 51%/27% 63%/19% 27%/49% 48%/31%
E. Tinsley 40 /37 44 /34 36 /40 24 /54 57 /19 39 /38
OH-02
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 9/30-10/1 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/4). Tested: Rep. Jean Schmidt (R) and '06 nominee Victoria Wulsin (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
J. Schmidt 46% 50% 42% 6% 77% 44% 42% 49% 43% 50%
V. Wulsin 39 37 41 82 5 42 42 37 40 37
Other 7 8 6 5 7 9 6 8 7 7
Undec 8 5 11 7 11 5 10 6 10 6
Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
V. Wulsin 41%/42% 39%/45% 43%/39% 56%/23% 25%/62% 43%/40%
J. Schmidt 41 /43 45 /40 37 /46 23 /62 61 /23 39 /44
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