FLORIDA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/6-8; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 10/10).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/22 8/24 6/29
Obama/Biden 52% 45% 42% 41%
McCain/Palin 44 48 49 49
Other 1 2 1 1
Undec 3 5 8 9
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/22
S. Palin 52%/36% 54%/33%
B. Obama 52 /37 50 /38
J. McCain 48 /41 50 /39
J. Biden 47 /37 45 /36
MINNESOTA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/4-7; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/9). Party ID Breakdown: 38%D, 32%R, 30%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 9/20
Obama/Biden 47% 85% 7% 42% 46% 48% 47% 47% 48%
McCain/Palin 46 8 89 47 48 44 48 43 47
Other 1 -- -- 4 1 1 1 1 --
Undec 6 7 4 7 5 7 4 9 5
MISSOURI
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/4-6; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/9). Party ID Breakdown: 36%D, 36%R, 28%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 9/15
McCain/Palin 49% 12% 92% 41% 52% 47% 55% 7% 50%
Obama/Biden 46 81 7 50 43 48 40 87 45
Other 1 -- -- 3 1 1 1 -- --
Undec 4 7 1 6 4 4 4 6 5
MONTANA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/6-8; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/9). Party ID Breakdown: 37%D, 35%R, 28%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 9/9
McCain/Palin 50% 15% 93% 41% 52% 48% 50% 49% 49%
Obama/Biden 45 80 3 52 43 47 45 45 47
Other -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 1
Undec 5 5 4 7 5 5 5 6 4
NEW HAMPSHIRE
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/6-8; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/9). Party ID Breakdown: 32%R, 31%D, 37%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/15 8/20 7/21 6/17
Obama/Biden 52% 88% 2% 65% 43% 61% 45% 46% 47% 51%
McCain/Palin 43 6 95 29 52 34 48 45 45 39
Other 1 -- -- 2 -- 1 1 na na na
Undec 4 6 3 4 5 4 6 9 8 10
NORTH CAROLINA
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 10/6-8 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/9). Party ID Breakdown: 48%D, 38%R, 12%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 9/20 9/10 8/17 7/16 6/13
B. Obama 48% 89% 4% 35% 37% 90% 45% 44% 40% 40% 41%
J. McCain 43 7 91 35 56 3 45 47 46 43 45
B. Barr 1 1 2 2 2 -- 1 * 2 2 2
Undec 7 4 4 28 5 6 8 8 12 15 12
OHIO
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/6-8; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 10/10).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/9
Obama/Biden 48% 44%
McCain/Palin 46 48
Other 2 2
Undec 4 6
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/9
S. Palin 51%/36% 53%/33%
B. Obama 51 /38 48 /39
J. Biden 47 /39 46 /34
J. McCain 47 /41 49 /36
OHIO
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/4-7; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/9). Party ID Breakdown: 38%D, 38%R, 24%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 9/13
Obama/Biden 48% 84% 10% 53% 45% 51% 49% 48% 44%
McCain/Palin 45 6 86 41 50 40 45 45 50
Other 1 3 -- -- -- 2 -- 3 --
Undec 6 7 4 6 5 7 6 4 6
TEXAS
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/5-8; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/9). Party ID Breakdown: 40%R, 35%D, 25%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 9/16
McCain/Palin 57% 11% 95% 60% 60% 54% 53% 62% 57%
Obama/Biden 38 85 3 27 35 40 42 32 36
Other 1 1 -- 2 1 1 1 1 1
Undec 4 3 2 11 4 5 4 4 6
WEST VIRGINIA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/4-8; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/9). Party ID Breakdown: 55%D, 35%R, 10%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-49 50+ 9/16
Obama/Biden 50% 76% 10% 50% 46% 54% 51% 50% 45%
McCain/Palin 42 20 79 38 49 36 40 45 49
Other 3 2 2 7 3 3 4 1 --
Undec 5 2 9 5 2 7 5 4 7
SENATE
ALASKA
An Ivan Moore Research (D) poll; conducted 10/3-6 for the Anchorage Press/KTUU-TV/KENI-AM; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/10). Tested: Sen. Ted Stevens (R) and Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D).
General Election Matchup
- Now 9/22 9/2 8/12 7/22
M. Begich 49% 48% 49% 56% 51%
T. Stevens 45 46 46 39 43
KENTUCKY
A Garin Hart Yang (D) poll; conducted 10/6-7 for '03/'07 GOV candidate/businessman Bruce Lunsford (D); surveyed 501 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/9). Tested: Lunsford and Senate Min. Leader Mitch McConnell (R).
General Election Matchup
M. McConnell 48%
B. Lunsford 45
Undec 7
NEW HAMPSHIRE
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 10/6-8; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/9). Tested: Sen. John Sununu (R) and ex-Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D).
General Election Matchup
- All GOP Dem Ind 9/15 8/20 7/21 6/17 3/08
J. Shaheen 51% 5% 91% 57% 52% 52% 58% 54% 47%
J. Sununu 42 87 2 37 40 41 36 40 33
Undec 7 8 7 6 8 7 6 6 20
SOUTH DAKOTA
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 10/6-8 for Sen. Tim Johnson (D); surveyed 627 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/9). Tested: Johnson and state Rep. Joel Dykstra (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 9/25 8/14
T. Johnson 60% 61% 61%
J. Dykstra 35 34 34
SOUTH DAKOTA
A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted 9/24-25 for Dykstra; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/9). Tested: Dykstra and Johnson.
General Election Matchup
- Now 7/31
T. Johnson 54% 56%
J. Dykstra 36 27
Neither 3 2
Undec 8 14
Fav/Unfav
T. Johnson 70%/21%
J. Dykstra 33 /19
HOUSE
AK-AL
An Ivan Moore Research (D) poll; conducted 10/3-6 for the Anchorage Press/KTUU-TV/KENI-AM; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/10). Tested: Rep. Don Young (R) and '06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D).
General Election Matchup
- Now 9/22 9/2 8/12 7/22
E. Berkowtiz 51% 49% 54% 51% 52%
D. Young 42 44 37 41 37
CA-03
A Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin & Assoc. poll; conducted 10/4-6 for physician Bill Durston (D); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (Nichols, Stockton Record, 10/10). Tested: Durston and Rep. Dan Lungren (R).
General Election Matchup
D. Lungren 33%
B. Durston 30
Undec 30
MO-09
A Global Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 10/5-7 for the DCCC; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/10). Tested: state Rep. Judy Baker (D) and ex-state Rep. Blaine Luetkemeyer (R).
General Election Matchup
J. Baker 40%
B. Luetkemeyer 36
OH-15
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 9/30-10/1 for the DCCC; surveyed 401 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Isenstadt, PolitickerOH.com, 10/10). Tested: '06 nominee Mary Jo Kilroy (D), state Sen. Steve Stivers (R) and pro-life activist Don Elijah Eckhart (I).
General Election Matchup
M. Kilroy 44%
S. Stivers 36
D. Eckhart 7
IN-09
A Research 2000 poll; Conducted 9/29-10/3 for WISC-TV; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/9). Party ID Breakdown: 39%R, 36%D, 25%I. Tested: Rep. Baron Hill (D) and ex-Rep. Mike Sodrel (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Hill 49% 86% 14% 52% 47% 52%
M. Sodrel 37 6 69 32 40 34
Other 4 3 4 5 5 3
Undec 10 5 13 11 8 12
MI-07
A Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 10/6-7 for the DCCC; surveyed 402 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/10). Tested: Rep. Tim Walberg (R) and state Sen. Mark Schauer (D).
General Election Matchup
M. Schauer 43%
T. Walberg 35
MI-09
A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 10/4-5 for DCCC; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/10). Tested: ex-MI lottery commissioner/state Sen. Gary Peters (D), Rep. Joe Knollenberg (R) and assisted suicide advocate Jack Kevorkian (I).
General Election Matchup
G. Peters 46%
J. Knollenberg 37
J. Kevorkian 2
Undec 15
MI-09
A Mitchell Research & Communications poll; conducted 9/30-10/2; surveyed LVs; margin of error +/- 6.0% (Price, Detroit News, 10/10).
General Election Matchup
J. Knollenberg 43%
G. Peters 43
NC-10
A Tel Opinion Research (R) poll; conducted 10/6-8 for Rep. Patrick McHenry (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/10). Tested: McHenry and ex-prosecutor Daniel Johnson (D).
General Election Matchup
- Now 8/14
P. McHenry 54% 51%
D. Johnson 21 31
Undec 25 18
NY-29
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/7-8 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/9). Tested: Rep. Randy Kuhl (R) and '06 nominee Eric Massa (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
E. Massa 49% 46% 52% 87% 12% 52% 52% 46% 50% 48%
R. Kuhl 42 46 38 5 78 40 39 45 41 43
Other 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 --
Undec 8 7 9 7 9 7 8 8 8 9
Fav/Unfav
E. Massa 45%/27%
R. Kuhl 33 /44
TX-07
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/7-8 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/9). Tested: Rep. John Culberson (R) and wind power exec. Michael Skelly (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
J. Culberson 48% 51% 45% 10% 82% 46% 44% 52% 49% 48%
M. Skelly 40 39 41 79 6 41 43 37 39 40
Undec 12 10 14 11 12 13 13 11 12 12
Fav/Unfav
J. Culberson 43%/38%
M. Skelly 40 /31
WA-08
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/5-7 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/10). Tested: Rep. Dave Reichert (R) and '06 nominee Darcy Burner (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
D. Reichert 49% 53% 45% 12% 84% 51% 47% 51% 48% 50%
D. Burner 41 39 43 76 7 40 43 38 42 40
Other 2 2 2 2 1 3 2 3 2 1
Undec 8 6 10 10 8 6 8 8 8 9
Fav/Unfav
D. Reichert 46%/41%
D. Burner 43 /37
No comments:
Post a Comment