Wednesday, 10/22

PRESIDENTIAL
ALASKA
An Ivan Moore Research (D) poll; conducted 10/17-19 for the Anchorage Press/Mat-Su Valley Frontiersman/KTUU-TV/KENI-AM; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/21).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               Now 10/6 9/2
McCain/Palin    53% 55%  54%
Obama/Biden     42  38   35
Undec/other      5   7   11

MAINE
A Pan Atlantic SMS Group poll; conducted 10/13-16; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Bradbury, Portland Press Herald, 10/22).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               Now 6/18
B. Obama        51% 46%
J. McCain       39  32
Other/undec     10  na

NORTH CAROLINA
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 10/18-20 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/21).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 10/8 9/20 9/10
B. Obama   48% 75% 11% 49% 40% 55% 38% 93% 48%  45%  44%
J. McCain  45  19  81  40  51  38 54   1  43   45   47
B. Barr     1  --   2   2  2   1   1  --   1   1    *
Undec      7   6   6   9   7  6   7   6   7   8    8

PENNSYLVANIA
An Allentown Morning Call/Muhlenberg College tracking poll; conducted 10/17-21; surveyed 594 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/22). Party ID Breakdown: 52%D, 40%R, 7%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          Now 10/20 10/19 10/18 10/17 10/16 10/15 10/14
B. Obama    52% 52%   53%   52%  52%   53%   53%   52%
J. McCain   41  42    41   40    39    39   37    38
Other       2   2     2    3     3     2    3     3
Undec       6   5     5    6     7     7    7     7

Fav/Unfav

J. Biden    51%/28%
B. Obama    51 /34
J. McCain   43 /40
S. Palin    40 /45

SOUTH DAKOTA
A Sioux Falls Argus Leader/KELO-TV poll; conducted 10/13-15 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 800 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/22).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          All Dem GOP Ind
J. McCain   48% 14% 80% 37%
B. Obama    41  76   9  47
Other       3   2   3   5
Undec       8   8   8  11

Fav/Unfav

J. McCain   51%/30%
S. Palin    50 /34
B. Obama    42 /39
J. Biden    37 /33

WASHINGTON
An Elway Poll; conducted 10/16-19; surveyed 405 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (RealClearPolitics.com, 10/22).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-           Now 9/8 7/31 5/29 3/20
B. Obama    55% 45% 47%  44%  45%
J. McCain   36  38  35   38   39

WEST VIRGINIA
A Rainmaker Media Group (D) poll; conducted 10/14-15; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/22).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

J. McCain       42%
B. Obama        41
Other            2
Undec           13

WISCONSIN
A St. Norbert College poll; conducted 10/9-17; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (AP, 10/22).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               Now 4/5
B. Obama        51% 46%
J. McCain       38  42

SENATE
ALASKA
An Ivan Moore Research (D) poll; conducted 10/17-19 for the Anchorage Press/Mat-Su Valley Frontiersman/KTUU-TV/KENI-AM; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/21). Tested: Sen. Ted Stevens (R) and Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D).

General Election Matchup

-               Now 10/6 9/22 9/2 8/12 7/22
M. Begich       46% 49%  48%  49% 56%  51%
T. Stevens      45  45   46   46  39   43

LOUSIANA
A Mellman Group (D) poll; conducted 10/16-18 for Sen. Mary Landrieu (D); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/21). Tested: Landrieu, '04 Dem candidate/Treas. John Kennedy (R) and '04 candidate/'06 LA-06 candidate/computer programmer Richard Fontanesi (L).

General Election Matchup

M. Landrieu     54%
J. Kennedy      34
R. Fontanesi     3

MAINE
A Pan Atlantic SMS Group poll; conducted 10/13-16; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Bradbury, Portland Press Herald, 10/22). Tested: Sen. Susan Collins (R) and Rep. Tom Allen (D-01).

General Election Matchup

-               Now 6/18
S. Collins      57% 56%
T. Allen        36  31
Undec            7  na

NORTH CAROLINA
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 10/18-20 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/21). Tested: state Sen. Kay Hagan (D), Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R) and contract postal worker Christopher Cole (L).

General Election Matchup

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 10/8 9/20 8/17
K. Hagan   44% 70% 11% 39% 39% 48% 37% 74% 45%  41%  41%
E. Dole    41  17  76  36  47  35  48   8  42   43   44
C. Cole     4   3   3   4   4   2   3   3   3    5    4
Undec      12  10  11  21  10  14  11  15  10   10   11

WYOMING
A Casper Star Tribune poll; conducted 10/13-14 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/21). Tested: Sen. John Barrasso (R), atty Nick Carter (D), Sen. Mike Enzi (R) and Univ. of WY prof. Chris Rothfuss (D).
General Election Matchup

J. Barrasso     69%
N. Carter       22
Undec           9

General Election Matchup

M. Enzi         72%
C. Rothfuss     20
Undec           8

HOUSE
AK-AL
An Ivan Moore Research (D) poll; conducted 10/17-19 for the Anchorage Press/Mat-Su Valley Frontiersman/KTUU-TV/KENI-AM; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/21). Tested: Rep. Don Young (R) and '06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D).
General Election Matchup

-              Now 10/6 9/22 9/2 8/12 7/22
E. Berkowtiz    51% 51%  49%  54% 51%  52%
D. Young        43  42  44   37  41   37

FL-18
A Lake Research Partners (D) poll; conducted 10/21 for LanguageSpeak CEO Annette Taddeo (D); surveyed 457 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 10/21). Tested: Taddeo and Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R).
General Election Matchup

-                  Now 6/08
I. Ros-Lehtinen     48% 58%
A. Taddeo           41  27