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Monday, October 20, 2008

Monday 10/20

PRESIDENTIAL
ALASKA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Party ID Breakdown: 31%R, 22%D, 47%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/17 7/16 5/14
McCain/Palin 57% 61% 53% 13% 88% 55% 55% 51% 49%
Obama/Biden 38 34 42 84 7 38 38 41 42
Other 2 3 1 1 1 3 2 na na
Undec 3 2 4 2 4 4 5 8 9

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Men    Wom     Dem    GOP     Ind
S. Palin 63%/34% 66%/32% 60%/36% 30%/68% 92%/ 6% 59%/37%


KENTUCKY
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/15-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/19). Party ID Breakdown: 46%D, 38%R, 16%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 9/17 7/30 5/9
McCain/Palin 53% 58% 48% 23% 86% 62% 60% 4% 55% 56% 58%
Obama/Biden 39 36 42 70 5 31 32 89 37 35 33
Other 3 3 3 2 3 5 3 -- 2 na na
Undec 5 3 7 5 6 2 5 7 6 9 9


MAINE
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/18). Party ID Breakdown: 34%D, 27%R, 39%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind CD1 CD2 9/10
Obama/Biden 55% 51% 59% 87% 11% 58% 58% 52% 52%
McCain/Palin 38 42 34 6 84 34 35 41 38
Other 3 4 2 2 3 4 2 4 4
Undec 4 3 5 5 2 4 5 3 6


MINNESOTA
A Minneapolis Star Tribune poll; conducted 10/16-17 by Princeton Survey Research Assoc. Int'l; surveyed 1,049 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 10/19).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              Now 10/2 9/12 5/08
Obama/Biden 52% 55% 45% 51%
McCain/Palin 41 37 45 38
Undec 7 8 10 11


MINNESOTA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/15-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/19). Party ID Breakdown: 40%D, 31%R, 29%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-             All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
Obama/Biden 52% 49% 55% 84% 9% 54% 55% 53% 48% 52%
McCain/Palin 39 41 37 7 82 38 36 38 43 39
Other 4 5 3 3 3 5 4 5 4 3
Undec 5 5 5 6 6 3 5 4 5 6


MISSISSIPPI
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Party ID Breakdown: 45%R, 40%D, 15%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 9/10 7/23 5/21
McCain/Palin 50% 53% 47% 10% 87% 48% 78% 4% 52% 51% 54%
Obama/Biden 40 38 42 80 4 41 15 82 39 42 39
Other 3 4 2 2 3 4 3 2 3 na na
Undec 7 5 9 8 6 7 4 12 6 7 7


MISSOURI
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 10/17-19; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/20).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
McCain/Palin        45%
Obama/Biden 44


MONTANA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/15-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/19). Party ID Breakdown: 38%R, 30%D, 32%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/24
McCain/Palin 49% 53% 45% 10% 83% 47% 52%
Obama/Biden 45 41 49 86 9 48 39
Other 3 4 2 1 3 4 4
Undec 3 2 4 3 5 1 5


NEW HAMPSHIRE
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/17-19 for the Concord Monitor; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/20). Party ID Breakdown: 31%D, 30%R, 39%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               Now 9/24
Obama/Biden 50% 48%
McCain/Palin 43 44


NORTH CAROLINA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/18). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 35%R, 21%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 9/10 7/30 4/30
Obama/Biden 46% 42% 50% 76% 8% 47% 27% 91% 38% 43% 41%
McCain/Palin 44 49 39 14 84 40 62 3 55 47 50
Other 3 3 3 2 3 5 4 -- 3 na na
Undec 7 6 8 8 5 8 7 6 4 10 9


NORTH DAKOTA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/17). Party ID Breakdown: 39%R, 31%D, 30%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/17 7/23
McCain/Palin 45% 48% 42% 6% 79% 42% 53% 45%
Obama/Biden 45 43 47 88 7 49 40 42
Other 3 4 2 2 3 4 3 na
Undec 7 5 9 4 11 5 4 13


OHIO
An NBC News poll; conducted 10/16-17 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/19).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
McCain/Palin 46% 9% 83% 42% 51% 41% 51% 2%
Obama/Biden 45 83 13 38 38 52 40 91
Other 2 2 1 3 3 1 2 --
Undec 7 6 4 17 8 6 7 7

Fav/Unfav
J. McCain       49%/37%
B. Obama 45 /41
S. Palin 43 /35
J. Biden 43 /35


OHIO
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 10/16-19; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/20).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-                   Now 9/13
Obama/Biden 51% 42%
McCain/Palin 42 46


OREGON
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 36%R, 21%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/24
Obama/Biden 53% 51% 55% 85% 15% 53% 53%
McCain/Palin 38 42 34 7 78 35 39
Other 4 5 3 3 4 5 5
Undec 5 2 8 5 3 7 3


PENNSYLVANIA
An Allentown Morning Call/Muhlenberg College tracking poll; conducted 10/15-19; surveyed 607 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/20). Party ID Breakdown: 53%D, 40%R, 6%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-           Now 10/18 10/17 10/16 10/15 10/14 10/13 10/12
B. Obama 53% 52% 52% 53% 53% 52% 51% 51%
J. McCain 41 40 39 39 37 38 38 38
Other 2 3 3 2 3 3 4 4
Undec 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7

Fav/Unfav
J. Biden    54%/24%
B. Obama 54 /32
J. McCain 40 /41
S. Palin 38 /46


TEXAS
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Party ID Breakdown: 40%R, 33%D, 27%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 5/7
McCain/Palin 52% 56% 48% 14% 84% 51% 68% 4% 33% 52%
Obama/Biden 40 36 44 80 7 41 25 89 57 39
Other 4 5 3 1 5 6 6 -- -- na
Undec 4 3 5 5 4 2 1 7 10 9


VERMONT
A Macro Int'l Inc. poll; conducted 10/9-12; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/17).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama        51%
J. McCain 29
Other 3
Undec 14


WEST VIRGINIA
An NBC News poll; conducted 10/16-17 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/19).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
McCain/Palin 47% 28% 82% 46% 51% 43%
Obama/Biden 41 59 9 38 40 42
Other 2 1 2 3 3 1
Undec 10 12 7 13 6 14

Fav/Unfav
J. McCain       48%/30%
J. Biden 45 /30
S. Palin 43 /35
B. Obama 39 /39


WISCONSIN
An NBC News poll; conducted 10/16-17 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/19).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Obama/Biden 51% 90% 8% 48% 48% 54%
McCain/Palin 39 4 84 35 42 36
Other 1 -- -- 3 1 1
Undec 9 6 8 14 9 9

Fav/Unfav
B. Obama        54%/33%
J. Biden 48 /25
J. McCain 41 /38
S. Palin 41 /39


WISCONSIN
A Univ. of WI-Milwaukee poll; conducted 10/8-15; surveyed 434 adults; margin of error +/- 4.7% (AP, 10/20).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama        51%
J. McCain 36


WYOMING
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/17). Party ID Breakdown: 48%R, 24%D, 28%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/24 5/21
McCain/Palin 58% 62% 54% 9% 86% 53% 57% 53%
Obama/Biden 35 31 39 85 8 39 36 40
Other 4 5 3 3 3 6 4 na
Undec 3 2 4 3 3 2 3 7


WYOMING
A Casper Star Tribune poll; conducted 10/13-14 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/20).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-                  Now 8/15
McCain/Palin 58% 62%
Obama/Biden 32 25
Other 2 na
Undec 8 13

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     8/15
S. Palin 59%/29% na
J. McCain 57 /32 55%/19%
J. Biden 38 /38 na
B. Obama 37 /48 21 /47


SENATE
ALASKA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Tested: Sen. Ted Stevens (R) and Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/17 7/16 5/14
M. Begich 48% 44% 52% 86% 11% 55% 50% 47% 48%
T. Stevens 46 51 41 7 85 39 44 45 43
Undec 6 5 7 7 4 6 6 8 9

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     9/17   7/16
M. Begich 53%/37% 79%/13% 28%/66% 57%/29% 56%/32% 52%/27%
T. Stevens 44 /51 15 /81 71 /26 41 /53 40 /56 36 /61


COLORADO
A Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) poll; conducted 10/13-14 for the DSCC; surveyed 608 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/18). Tested: Rep. Mark Udall (D-02) and '04 candidate/CO Bd. of Ed. member/ex-Rep. Bob Schaffer (R).
General Election Matchup
-              Now 6/17
M. Udall 52% 46%
B. Schaffer 40 37

Pos/Neg
M. Udall        42%/33%
B. Schaffer 27 /38


COLORADO
A Hill Research Consultants (R) tracking poll; conducted 10/14-16 for Schaffer; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Tested: Schaffer, Udall, '04 CO-04 nominee/peace activist Bob Kinsey (G), consultant Douglas Campbell (AC) and Buddy Moore (I).

General Election Matchup
M. Udall        43%
B. Schaffer 38
B. Kinsey 2
D. Campbell 2
B. Moore 2
Undec 13


KENTUCKY
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/15-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/19). Tested: Senate Min. Leader Mitch McConnell (R) and '03/'07 GOV candidate/businessman Bruce Lunsford (D).
General Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 9/17 7/30 5/9
M. McConnell 46% 50% 42% 15% 85% 45% 52% 5% 50% 49% 48%
B. Lunsford 42 39 45 73 6 39 38 71 37 38 36
Undec 12 11 13 12 9 16 10 24 13 13 16

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem    GOP     Ind     9/17   7/30
B. Lunsford 48%/45% 68%/24% 26%/71% 44%/43% 47%/44% 44%/42%
M. McConnell 47 /46 26 /69 75 /18 45 /47 51 /43 49 /41


LOUISIANA
An OnMessage Inc. (R) poll; conducted 10/14-16 for '04 Dem candidate/Treas. John Kennedy (R); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/17). Tested: Kennedy and Sen. Mary Landrieu (D).

General Election Matchup
M. Landrieu     47%
J. Kennedy 42
Undec 11


MAINE
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/18). Tested: Sen. Susan Collins (R) and Rep. Tom Allen (D-01).
General Election Matchup
-      All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind CD1 CD2 9/10 10/07
Collins 53% 55% 51% 32% 81% 52% 48% 58% 57% 56%
Allen 40 36 44 62 16 37 44 36 38 33
Undec 7 9 5 6 3 11 8 6 5 11

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     9/10   10/07
S. Collins 59%/36% 46%/51% 75%/19% 59%/35% 65%/29% 58%/33%
T. Allen 53 /42 80 /17 22 /73 51 /42 58 /35 na


MINNESOTA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/15-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/19). Tested: Sen. Norm Coleman (R), entertainer Al Franken (D) and ex-Sen. Dean Barkley (IP).
General Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
A. Franken 41% 37% 45% 75% 5% 32% 44% 41% 39% 40%
N. Coleman 39 43 35 8 85 33 36 39 43 39
D. Barkley 18 19 17 15 8 32 19 18 16 18
Undec 2 1 3 2 2 3 1 2 2 3

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Men    Wom     Dem    GOP     Ind
A. Franken 48%/48% 45%/52% 51%/44% 74%/22% 19%/78% 43%/52%
N. Coleman 42 /56 45 /54 39 /58 22 /77 73 /25 38 /59


MISSISSIPPI
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Tested: Sen. Roger Wicker (R) and ex-Gov. Ronnie Musgrove (D).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 9/10 7/23 5/21
R. Wicker 47% 51% 43% 6% 85% 45% 72% 5% 48% 45% 46%
R. Musgrove 46 42 50 88 7 49 24 83 43 44 42
Undec 7 7 7 6 8 6 4 12 9 11 12

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     9/10   7/23
R. Wicker 54%/42% 28%/67% 79%/18% 50%/45% 54%/41% 51%/39%
R. Musgrove 52 /43 76 /19 31 /67 52 /35 50 /43 48 /41


NORTH CAROLINA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/18). Tested: Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R) and state Sen. Kay Hagan (D).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 9/10 7/30 4/30
K. Hagan 49% 46% 52% 82% 10% 46% 32% 88% 42% 42% 41%
E. Dole 45 49 41 12 85 45 63 6 48 50 48
Other 3 4 2 2 3 4 4 -- 4 na na
Undec 3 1 5 4 2 5 1 6 6 8 11

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     9/10   7/30
K. Hagan 55%/35% 76%/20% 27%/54% 58%/34% 56%/33% 51%/32%
E. Dole 50 /43 31 /65 76 /19 48 /38 59 /36 53 /38


OREGON
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Tested: Sen. Gordon Smith (R) and state House Speaker Jeff Merkley (D).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/24
J. Merkley 47% 44% 50% 81% 6% 45% 45%
G. Smith 41 44 38 6 83 41 40
Other 6 7 5 4 5 12 6
Undec 6 5 7 9 6 2 9

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/24
J. Merkley 47%/43% 68%/25% 23%/68% 45%/38% 43%/40%
G. Smith 40 /47 25 /64 62 /26 34 /48 41 /45


TEXAS
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Tested: Sen. John Cornyn (R), state Rep. Rick Noriega (D) and activist Yvonne Adams (L).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 5/7
J. Cornyn 50% 53% 47% 8% 87% 47% 65% 7% 31% 48%
R. Noriega 44 43 45 85 9 46 31 78 63 44
Y. Adams 2 2 2 1 1 5 3 -- -- na
Undec 4 2 6 6 3 2 1 15 6 8

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     5/7
J. Cornyn 52%/38% 25%/65% 75%/17% 51%/36% 50%/41%
R. Noriega 47 /37 78 /18 24 /53 44 /36 42 /31


WYOMING
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/17). Tested: Sen. John Barrasso (R), atty Nick Carter (D), Sen. Mike Enzi (R) and Univ. of WY prof. Chris Rothfuss (D).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/24
J. Barrasso 57% 60% 54% 7% 84% 54% 58%
N. Carter 36 34 38 87 7 43 34
Unec 7 6 8 6 9 3 8

General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/24
M. Enzi 61% 63% 59% 12% 88% 56% 59%
C. Rothfuss 34 33 35 83 7 39 35
Undec 5 4 6 5 5 5 6


HOUSE
AK-AL
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/17). Tested: Rep. Don Young (R) and '06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D).
General Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/17 7/16 5/14
E. Berkowitz 50% 46% 54% 85% 14% 58% 53% 51% 50%
D. Young 44 50 38 8 79 38 39 40 40
Undec 6 4 8 7 7 4 8 9 10

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem    GOP     Ind     9/17   7/16
E. Berkowitz 54%/40% 78%/16% 29%/61% 58%/38% 56%/34% 52%/29%
D. Young 43 /56 11 /87 71 /28 40 /59 41 /58 37 /61


CA-50
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 10/13-14 for atty/ex-San Diego City prosecutor Nick Leibham (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/17). Tested: Leibham, Rep. Brian Bilbray (R) and businessman/economist Wayne Dunlap (L).

General Election Matchup
-               All Dem GOP Ind 8/08 4/27
B. Bilbray 44% 13% 75% 32% 54% 52%
N. Leibham 42 79 11 48 35 34
W. Dunlap 5 na na na na na
Other/undec 9 na na na na na


CA-50
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 10/12-13 for Bilbray; surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/19). Tested: Bilbray, Leibham and Dunlap.

General Election Matchup
B. Bilbray      48%
N. Leibham 35
W. Dunlap 8
Undec 9


IL-11
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 10/10-13 for state Sen. Maj. Leader Debbie Halvorson (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/17). Tested: Halvorson, concrete co. owner Martin Ozinga (R) and Iraq war vet./college student Jason Wallace (G).
General Election Matchups
-              Now 9/08 5/22
D. Halvorson 48% 43% 43%
M. Ozinga 29 35 32
J. Wallace 5 na 6

-              Now 9/08
Generic Dem 38% 38%
Generic GOPer 36 40

Fav/Unfav
D. Halvorson    40%/22%
M. Ozinga 27 /32


KY-02
A Garin Hart Yang Research Group (D) poll; conducted 10/8-9 for state Sen. David Boswell (D); surveyed 402 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/19). Tested: Boswell and state Sen. Brett Guthrie (R).

General Election Matchups
-               Now 8/25
D. Boswell 41% 41%
B. Guthrie 40 33
Undec 19 26


MN-06
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/12-13 for Rep. Michele Bachmann (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/16). Tested: Bachmann, '06 candidate/ex-MN Trans. Commis. Elwyn Tinklenberg (D) and dental technician Bob Anderson (I).

General Election Matchup
M. Bachmann         44%
E. Tinklenberg 33
B. Anderson 8


MT-AL
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/15-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/19). Tested: Rep. Denny Rehberg (R) and ex-state Rep./ex-PSC commis. John Driscoll (D).
General Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
D. Rehberg 52% 55% 49% 18% 82% 51%
J. Driscoll 38 36 40 73 8 40
Other 2 2 2 2 1 3
Undec 8 7 9 7 9 6

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Men    Wom     Dem    GOP     Ind
D. Rehberg 48%/37% 51%/36% 45%/38% 31%/56% 65%/21% 45%/37%
J. Driscoll 37 /27 35 /30 39 /24 55 /13 21 /41 39 /25


VA-02
A Bennett, Petts & Normington (D) poll; conducted 10/14-15 for diplomat Glenn Nye (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/16). Tested: Nye and Rep. Thelma Drake (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 9/22 5/08
T. Drake 47% 45% 48%
G. Nye 42 40 32
Undec 11 15 20

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     9/22    5/08
T. Drake 42%/35% 42%/35% 48%/29%


WY-AL
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/17). Tested: '06 nominee Gary Trauner (D) and ex-state Treas. Cynthia Lummis (R).
General Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/24 5/21
G. Trauner 44% 41% 47% 87% 14% 58% 42% 44%
C. Lummis 43 47 39 11 65 33 42 41
Undec 13 12 14 2 21 9 16 15

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind     9/24   5/21
C. Lummis 57%/34% 31%/65% 72%/18% 54%/35% 54%/32% 49%/29%
G. Trauner 55 /37 82 /13 40 /52 57 /32 53 /36 52 /31


WY-AL
A Casper Star Tribune poll; conducted 10/13-14 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/20). Tested: Trauner, Lummis, '96 SEN nominee/atty/podiatrist David Herbert (L).

General Election Matchup
G. Trauner      44%
C. Lummis 43
D. Herbert 4
Undec 9

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