Friday, 10/17

PRESIDENTIAL
FLORIDA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/13-15; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/16). Party ID Breakdown: 45%D, 38%R, 17%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 10/8 9/18
Obama/Biden  49% 44% 54% 86%  7% 46% 42% 90% 44% 49%  45%
McCain/Palin 45  51  39  10  87  45  52   3 49  44   46
Other         3   3   3   3   2  4   4  --  --   3    3
Undec         3   2   4   1   4  5   2   7   7   4    6

FLORIDA
A Hamilton Campaigns (D) poll; conducted 10/10-15; surveyed 700 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 10/17).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

B. Obama        47%
J. McCain       43
B. Barr          1
R. Nader         1
C. McKinney      *
Other           1

Undec 7
Fav/Unfav

J. McCain       58%/40%
B. Obama        55 /43
S. Palin        51 /45

GEORGIA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/16). Party ID Breakdown: 41%R, 38%D, 21%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/1
McCain/Palin    49% 53% 45% 14% 84% 45% 72%  5% 50%
Obama/Biden     43  40  46  80   9  42  21  91  43
Other            3   4   2   2   3   5   4  --   3
Undec            5   3   7   4   4   8   3   4   4

NEBRASKA
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 10/13-15; surveyed 400 NE-02 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/16).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-              Now 8/2
J. McCain       48% 46%
B. Obama        44  42
Undec           8  12

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     8/2
H. Clinton      50%/46%   na
G. Bush         39 /58  41%/57%

NORTH DAKOTA
A DFM Research poll; conducted 10/13-14 for the ND United Transportation Union; surveyed 500 adults; margin of error +/- 4.4% (Daily Kos, 10/16).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-           Now 8/27
B. Obama    44% 43%
J. McCain   41  40

PENNSYLVANIA
An Allentown Morning Call/Muhlenberg College tracking poll; conducted 10/11-15; surveyed 595 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/16). Party ID Breakdown: 53%D, 39%R, 6%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          Now 10/14 10/13 10/12 10/11 10/10 10/9 10/8 10/7
B. Obama   53% 52%   51%   51%   51%   52%   50%  51%  50%
J. McCain  37  38    38    38    39    40    39   38   38
Other       3   3     4     4     3     2     3    3    3

Undec       7   7     7     7     6     6     8    8    9

Fav/Unfav

J. Biden        54%/25%
B. Obama        53 /32
S. Palin        39 /44
J. McCain       35 /44

SENATE
GEORGIA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/16). Tested: Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R), '06 LG nominee/atty/ex-state Rep. Jim Martin (D) and atty Allen Buckley (L).
General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/1
S. Chambliss    47% 51% 43% 12% 81% 45% 66%  8% 45%
J. Martin       45  41  49  80 11  47  26  86  44
A. Buckley       5   7  3   4   5   6   7  --  na

Undec           3   1   5   4   3  2   1   6   7

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem    GOP     Ind     10/1
S. Chambliss    57%/40% 39%/58% 76%/22% 54%/43% 54%/42%
J. Martin       56 /37  77 /16  36 /58  56 /35  51 /34

KANSAS
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/12-13 for Sen. Pat Roberts (R); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/16). Tested: Roberts and '94 GOV nominee/ex-Rep. Jim Slattery (D).
General Election Matchup

-              Now 10/6
P. Roberts      56% 57%
J. Slattery     28  28

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     10/6
J. Slattery     27%/35% 27%/34%

SOUTH DAKOTA
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 10/14-15 for Sen. Tim Johnson (D); surveyed 618 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/16). Tested: Johnson and state Rep. Joel Dykstra (R).
General Election Matchup

-              Now 10/8 9/25 8/14
T. Johnson      59% 60%  61%  61%
J. Dykstra      35  35   34   34

Name ID

-              Now 10/8
T. Johnson      96% 96%
J. Dykstra      55  53

HOUSE
FL-16
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 10/15-16 for Steelers heir/atty Tom Rooney (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/17). Tested: Rooney and Rep. Tim Mahoney (D).
General Election Matchup

-                  Now 9/8
T. Rooney           55% 41%
T. Mahoney          29  48

Undec              16  na

Fav/Unfav

T. Mahoney          28%/53%

FL-24
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 10/14-15 for the DCCC; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/17). Tested: Rep. Tom Feeney (R) and ex-state Rep. Suzanne Kosmas (D).
General Election Matchup

S. Kosmas       58%
T. Feeney       35

Fav/Unfav

S. Kosmas      37%/11%
T. Feeney       28 /51

NE-02
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 10/13-15; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/16). Tested: Rep. Lee Terry (R) and '06 nominee Jim Esch (D).
General Election Matchups

-              Now 8/2
L. Terry       47% 50%
J. Esch         46  40
Undec           7   9

-              Now 8/2
Generic GOPer   43% 42%
Generic Dem     39  37
Neither         3   4
Undec          15  17

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     8/2
L. Terry       54%/39% 60%/33%
J. Esch         51 /30  35 /13

NY-29
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 10/10 for Rep. Randy Kuhl (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/17). Tested: Kuhl and '06 nominee Eric Massa (D).
General Election Matchup

R. Kuhl         40%
E. Massa       30
Undec          31

WI-08
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/8-9 for '06 nominee John Gard (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/16). Tested: Gard and Rep. Steve Kagen (D).
General Election Matchup

-          Now 9/18 7/08
S. Kagen    46% 46%  46%
J. Gard     44 45   42