PRESIDENTIAL
ALASKA
A Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. PublicMind poll; conducted 9/17-21; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
J. McCain 55% 11% 51% 89% 57% 53%
B. Obama 37 83 31 6 34 39
Other 3 2 5 3 4 2
Undec 5 4 13 2 5 5
COLORADO
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 9/21-23; surveyed 932 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 794 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 9/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- All LVs 8/26
Obama/Biden 51% 51% 44%
McCain/Palin 45 47 49
Neither 3 1 5
Other * * 1
Undec 1 1 1
- All LVs 8/26
B. Obama 49% 49% 40%
J. McCain 43 45 45
R. Nader 4 3 7
B. Barr 1 1 3
C. McKinney 1 * 2
None 1 * 2
Other * * 1
Undec 1 1 1
DELAWARE
A Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. PublicMind poll; conducted 9/17-21; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
B. Obama 56% 89% 38% 9% 52% 59%
J. McCain 36 7 26 85 40 31
Other 1 -- 5 2 1 1
Undec 7 4 31 4 7 8
FLORIDA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 9/20-22; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 9/25).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/24 6/29
McCain/Palin 48% 49% 49%
Obama/Biden 45 42 41
Other 2 1 1
Undec 5 8 9
Fav/Unfav
S. Palin 54%/33%
B. Obama 50 /38
J. McCain 50 /39
J. Biden 45 /36
MICHIGAN
A Today Show/NBC News poll; conducted 9/18-23 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 9/25).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
Obama/Biden 45%
McCain/Palin 45
MICHIGAN
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 9/21-23; surveyed 966 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 755 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 9/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- All LVs 9/9
Obama/Biden 51% 51% 49%
McCain/Palin 44 46 45
Neither 3 2 4
Other * * *
Undec 1 1 2
- All LVs 9/9
B. Obama 48% 49% 45%
J. McCain 40 43 42
R. Nader 5 3 6
B. Barr 2 2 2
C. McKinney 1 1 1
None 2 1 2
Other 1 * *
Undec 2 1 2
MICHIGAN
A Detroit News/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WILX-TV/
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/17 8/21 7/15 5/22
B. Obama 48% 43% 43% 43% 40%
J. McCain 38 42 41 41 44
R. Nader 2 2 3 3 na
B. Barr 1 2 1 2 na
Undec 12 10 13 12 16
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/17 8/21 7/15 5/22 4/9
B. Obama 56%/34% 54%/36% 49%/36% 51%/37% 45%/41% 55%/38%
J. Biden 52 /31 47 /30 na na na na
J. McCain 48 /44 51 /42 52 /36 58 /32 48 /36 59 /34
S. Palin 46 /40 48 /35 na na na na
MONTANA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 9/21-23; surveyed 903 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 737 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 9/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- All LVs
McCain/Palin 53% 54%
Obama/Biden 42 43
Neither 3 2
Other * --
Undec 1 1
- All LVs
J. McCain 49% 49%
B. Obama 38 40
R. Paul 9 7
B. Barr 1 1
R. Nader 1 1
None 1 1
Other * --
Undec 1 1
PENNSYLVANIA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 9/21-23; surveyed 920 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 730 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 9/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- All LVs 8/26
Obama/Biden 52% 53% 47%
McCain/Palin 43 44 43
Neither 3 2 5
Other 1 * 1
Undec 1 1 3
- All LVs 8/26
B. Obama 51% 51% 46%
J. McCain 42 43 38
R. Nader 3 3 7
B. Barr 1 1 1
None 1 1 5
Other * * 1
Undec 1 1 2
PENNSYLVANIA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 9/20-22; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 9/25).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/7 7/27 4/20 4/13 4/6 3/30 3/9
Obama/Biden 47% 47% 49% 40% 39% 41% 42% 44%
McCain/Palin 46 45 40 48 49 48 47 47
Other 2 3 na na na na na na
Undec 5 5 11 12 12 11 11 9
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/7
S. Palin 52%/34% 51%/32%
J. McCain 47 /36 49 /33
B. Obama 47 /36 48 /38
J. Biden 47 /38 49 /36
WEST VIRGINIA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 9/21-23; surveyed 876 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 694 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 9/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
- All LVs
McCain/Palin 50% 50%
Obama/Biden 44 46
Neither 4 3
Other 1 1
Undec 1 *
- All LVs
J. McCain 47% 49%
B. Obama 41 44
R. Nader 6 5
C. McKinney 1 1
None 3 2
Other * *
Undec 1 *
WISCONSIN
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 9/22-23 for WISC-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/25). Party ID Breakdown: 37%D, 32%R, 31%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
Obama/Biden 49% 45% 53% 82% 10% 50%
McCain/Palin 43 49 37 8 84 43
Other 3 4 2 2 3 3
Undec 5 2 8 8 3 4
SENATE
ALASKA
A Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. PublicMind poll; conducted 9/17-21; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/24). Tested: Sen. Ted Stevens (R) and Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
M. Begich 47% 83% 46% 23% 41% 53%
T. Stevens 43 13 38 67 51 36
Other 4 3 4 5 4 4
Undec 5 2 12 6 4 6
DELAWARE
A Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. PublicMind poll; conducted 9/17-21; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/24). Tested: Sen. Joe Biden (D) and '06 candidate/activist/pol. commentator Christine O'Donnell (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
J. Biden 69% 93% 66% 31% 66% 71%
C. Donnell 26 5 15 62 29 23
Other 1 1 3 -- 1 1
Undec 5 2 16 6 4 6
HOUSE
AK-AL
A Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. PublicMind poll; conducted 9/17-21; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/24). Tested: Rep. Don Young (R) and '06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
E. Berkowitz 47% 81% 42% 25% 41% 53%
D. Young 41 13 36 61 51 31
Other 2 1 6 3 2 2
Undec 9 4 16 11 5 14
DE-AL
A Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. PublicMind poll; conducted 9/17-21; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/24). Tested: Rep. Mike Castle (R) and Children's Rights Advocate/'06 candidate Karen Hartley-Nagel (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
M. Castle 62% 47% 66% 86% 66% 59%
K. Hartley-Nagel 28 44 18 7 26 31
Other 1 1 2 -- 2 --
Undec 8 8 14 6 6 10
LA-01
A Kitchens Group (D) poll; conducted 9/18-21 for businessman Jim Harlan (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 9/25). Tested: Harlan and Rep. Steve Scalise (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 6/08
S. Scalise 42% 68%
J. Harlan 31 15
Undec 26 17
Fav/Unfav
- Now 6/08
S. Scalise 44%/24% 61%/13%
LA-04
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 9/22-23 for trucking co. exec. Chris Gorman (R); surveyed 300 GOP LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 9/24). Tested: Gorman, physician/businessman John Fleming (R) and ex-Bossier Chamber of Commerce Pres./atty Jeff Thompson (R).
Primary Election Matchup
- Now 9/11
C. Gorman 31% 30%
J. Fleming 29 32
J. Thompson 17 1
5
Undec 23 23
NH-01
A WMUR-TV/Granite State Poll; conducted 9/14-21 by UNH; surveyed 252 LVs; margin of error +/- 6.2% (release, 9/24). Tested: Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D) and ex-Rep. Jeb Bradley (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 7/20 4/30
J. Bradley 45% 8% 40% 84% 52% 39% 46% 45%
C. Shea-Porter 42 84 32 3 33 50 40 39
Other 1 -- -- 2 3 -- 1 2
Undec 12 8 29 10 12 11 14 13
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem Ind GOP 7/20
C. Shea-Porter 44%/31% 73%/ 5% 36%/20% 16%/63% 35%/32%
J. Bradley 36 /29 11 /50 27 /25 65 /12 48 /27
NH-02
A WMUR-TV/Granite State Poll; conducted 9/14-21 by UNH; surveyed 271 LVs; margin of error +/- 6.0% (release, 9/24). Tested: Rep. Paul Hodes (D) and radio host Jennifer Horn (R).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 7/20 4/30
P. Hodes 38% 72% 32% 2% 36% 40% 43% 52%
J. Horn 26 5 24 52 30 23 23 25
Other 2 1 5 2 3 2 2 2
Undec 33 22 39 44 31 35 32 22
Fav/Unfav
- Now Dem Ind GOP 7/20 4/30
P. Hodes 28%/22% 46%/ 9% 25%/20% 9%/38% 42%/16% 38%/18%
J. Horn 16 /12 4 /17 12 /17 31 / 5 9 / 4 7 / 2
VA-02
A Bennett, Petts & Normington (D) poll; conducted 9/21-22 for diplomat Glenn Nye (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 9/25). Tested: Nye and Rep. Thelma Drake (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 5/08
T. Drake 45% 48%
G. Nye 40 32
Undec 15 20
Drake As Rep.
Excellent/good 45%
Only fair/poor 47
Fav/Unfav
- Now 5/08
T. Drake 42%/35% 48%/29%
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