Act Green BlogLCV.org Twitter YouTube Flickr Facebook

Monday, September 15, 2008

Monday, 9/15

PRESIDENTIAL
IOWA
A Des Moines Register poll; conducted 9/8-10 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 616 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 9/13).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          All Ind Wom
B. Obama 52% 49% 53%
J. McCain 40 36 39
B. Barr 2 na na
R. Nader 1 na na
Undec 5 na na


MINNESOTA
A Minneapolis Star Tribune poll; conducted 9/10-12 by Princeton Survey Research Assoc. Int'l; surveyed 1,106 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 9/14).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
Now 5/08
Obama/Biden 45% 51%
McCain/Palin 45 38
Undec 10 11


Is Palin/Biden Qualified To Become POTUS?
-              Palin   Biden
Yes, is 43% 66%
No, is not 45 20


NEW JERSEY
A Bergen Record poll; conducted 9/9-11 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/14).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              Now 4/29
Obama/Biden 50% 48%
McCain/Palin 41 40
Undec 7 12
Fav/Unfav
S. Palin 47%/28%


A Marist College poll; conducted 9/5-8; surveyed 805 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 584 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 9/12).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              All LVs Dem GOP Ind
Obama/Biden 47% 48% 83% 9% 51%
McCain/Palin 40 45 10 87 41
Other 1 * * * 1
Undec 12 7 7 4 7


How Strongly Do You Support That Ticket?
-                      All McCainVoters ObamaVoters
Strongly support 80% 80% 80%
Somewhat support 14 15 13
Might vote differently 5 5 6


Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem    GOP     Ind    Men     Wom
B. Obama 62%/32% na na na na na
J. McCain 61 /32 na na na na na
J. Biden 58 /27 76%/13% 39%/48% 57%/25% 54%/33% 61%/23%
S. Palin 55 /29 38 /45 85 / 6 48 /36 55 /31 55 /27


Bush As POTUS
-              All Dem GOP Ind
Excellent/good 22% 6% 48% 18%
Fair/poor 77 94 52 82


NEW YORK
A Siena College poll; conducted 9/8-10; surveyed 626 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 9/15).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-         Now 8/14 7/10 6/11 5/08 4/08 2/08 1/08 6/07 5/07
B. Obama 46% 47% 50% 51% 49% 45% 47% 44% 49% 50%
J. McCain 41 39 37 33 38 40 40 42 35 33
Undec 13 14 13 17 14 15 13 15 16 18


Fav/Unfav
-          Now     8/14    7/10   6/11    5/08    4/08
B. Obama 56%/32% 54%/34% 57%/32% 58%/30% 55%/34% 54%/34%
H. Clinton 56 /39 51 /43 55 /38 56 /38 52 /43 48 /46
J. McCain 50 /37 49 /41 45 /42 42 /47 49 /39 54 /35
G. Bush 29 /65 na na na 23 /73 29 /65


Direction Of U.S.
-          Now 9/07
Right dir. 28% 23%
Wrong dir. 56 64


OHIO
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 9/10-13; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/15).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
McCain/Palin   46%
Obama/Biden 42
B. Barr 1
C. McKinney 1
R. Nader 1
Undec 7


OREGON
A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted 9/10-11; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 9/15). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 33%R, 23%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
Obama/Biden    43%
McCain/Palin 37
Neither 6
Undec 14


UTAH
A Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 9/8-11 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 601 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/14).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain       62%
B. Obama 24
Other 3
Undec 9

Does Biden As VP Help/Hurt Obama's Chances?
Helps          29%
Hurts 19
No difference 47

Does Palin As VP Help/Hurt McCain's Chances?
Helps          73%
Hurts 12
No difference 11


WASHINGTON
An Elway Poll; conducted 9/6-8; surveyed 225 RVs; margin of error +/- 6.5% (Pollster.com, 9/12).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-         Now 7/31 5/29 3/20
B. Obama 46% 47% 44% 45%
J. McCain 38 35 38 39


SENATE
MN-SENATE
A Minneapolis Star Tribune poll; conducted 9/10-12 by Princeton Survey Research Assoc. Int'l; surveyed 1,106 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 9/14). Tested: Sen. Norm Coleman (R), entertainer Al Franken (D) and ex-Sen. Dean Barkley (i).

General Election Matchup
-              Now Ind 5/08
N. Coleman 41% 36% 51%
A. Franken 37 30 44
D. Barkley 13 24 na
Undec/other na na 5


Coleman As Sen.
-          Now 5/15 9/07 1/05 1/04 2/03
Approve 42% 45% 45% 47% 54% 46%
Disapprove 44 31 37 27 22 11


NEW JERSEY
A Bergen Record poll; conducted 9/9-11 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/14). Tested: Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D) and '96 nominee/ex-Rep. Dick Zimmer (R).
General Election Matchup
-              All Wom
F. Lautenberg 49% 52%
D. Zimmer 41 37
Other 1 na
Undec 9 na

Or Perhaps Not So Much

A Marist College poll; conducted 9/5-8; surveyed 805 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 584 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 9/12). Tested: Lautenberg and Zimmer.
General Election Matchup
-              All LVs Dem GOP Ind
F. Lautenberg 47% 51% 84% 11% 60%
D. Zimmer 36 40 9 80 33
Other 1 1 1 * *
Undec 16 8 6 9 7


How Strongly Do You Support That Candidate?
-                      All ZimmerVoters LautenbergVoters
Strongly support 45% 45% 45%
Somewhat support 37 39 36
Might vote differently 17 15 18


NEW JERSEY
A Bergen Record poll; conducted 9/9-11 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/14). Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D) and U.S. atty Christopher Christie (R).
Gov. '09 General Election Matchup
-              All Ind
J. Corzine 43% 40%
C. Christie 41 45
Undec 16 na


Corzine As Gov.
-              Now 4/08
Excellent/good 46% 38%
Fair/poor 50 58


NEW YORK
A Siena College poll; conducted 9/8-10; surveyed 626 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 9/15). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), NYC Mayor Mike Bloomberg (I) and ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R).
Gov. '10 General Election Matchups
-              Now 8/14 7/10 6/11 5/08 4/08
M. Bloomberg 45% 44% 45% 45% 45% 48%
D. Paterson 40 36 37 34 36 34
Undec 15 19 18 21 20 18


-              Now 8/14 7/10
D. Paterson 50% 48% 47%
R. Giuliani 40 38 40
Undec 10 15 13


If Paterson Runs For Gov. In '10, Would You Elect Him Or Would You Prefer Someone Else?
-              Now 8/14 7/10 6/11 5/08
Elect him 35% 35% 34% 30% 29%
Prefer another 25 26 27 30 25
Undec 39 40 40 40 47

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     8/14    7/10   6/11    5/08    4/08
M. Bloomberg 63%/16% 64%/18% 64%/20% 64%/21% 65%/19% 63%/21%
D. Paterson 59 /13 59 /16 57 /15 57 /17 48 /17 48 /18
H. Clinton 56 /39 51 /43 55 /38 56 /38 52 /43 48 /46
A. Cuomo 54 /24 54 /25 57 /23 57 /22 56 /25 55 /24

Paterson As Gov.
-              Now 8/14 7/10 6/11 5/08 4/08
Excellent/good 51% 52% 48% 44% 40% 34%
Fair/poor 37 35 39 37 32 34

Direction Of NY
-          Now 8/14 7/10 6/11 5/08 4/08 3/08 2/08 1/08
Right dir. 35% 34% 36% 30% 32% 33% 34% 33% 39%
Wrong dir. 37 44 39 46 43 48 41 43 38


UTAH
A Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 9/8-11 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 601 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/14). Tested: Gov. Jon Huntsman Jr. (R) and management consultant Bob Springmeyer (D).
General Election Matchup
-              Now 6/19 5/19
J. Huntsman 77% 78% 77%
B. Springmeyer 13 11 13
Other 1 2 1
Undec 9 8 8


WASHINGTON
An Elway Poll; conducted 9/6-8; surveyed 225 RVs; margin of error +/- 6.5% (Pollster.com, 9/12). Tested: Gov. Chris Gregoire (D) and '04 nominee Dino Rossi (R).
General Election Matchup
-           Now 7/31 6/22 4/22
C. Gregoire 48% 52% 47% 43%
D. Rossi 44 36 39 38


HOUSE
FL-08
A Kitchens Group (D) poll; conducted 9/3-6 for atty Alan Grayson (D); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/15). Tested: Grayson and Rep. Rick Keller (R).
General Election Matchup
A. Grayson      44%
R. Keller 40
Undec 16
Fav/Unfav
R. Keller 43%/35%
Direction Of U.S.
Right dir. 26%
Wrong dir. 65


WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain       44%
B. Obama 44
Undec 10


IL-10
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 9/10-11 for Rep. Mark Kirk (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 6/10). Party ID Breakdown: 35%D, 33%R, 29%I. Tested: Kirk and '06 nominee Dan Seals (D).
General Election Matchup
-          Now 6/9 3/16
M. Kirk 51% 53% 50%
D. Seals 29 32 29
Undec 21 15 21

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     6/9     3/16
M. Kirk 63%/20% 67%/16% 61%/21%
D. Seals 36 /15 39 /16 36 /15


IN-03
A Cooper & Secrest (D) poll; conducted 9/9-10 for atty Mike Montagano (D); surveyed 504 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/12). Tested: Montagano and Rep. Mark Souder (R).
General Election Matchup
M. Souder       50%
M. Montagano 37
Undec 13


MN-06
An Alliance For A Better MN poll; conducted 8/19-21; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Wilson, Politico, 9/12). Tested: Rep. Michele Bachmann (R) and '06 candidate/ex-MN Trans. Commis. Elwyn Tinklenberg (D).
General Election Matchups
M. Bachmann     40%
E. Tinklenberg 27


Generic Dem     45%
Generic GOPer 38

WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama        41%
J. McCain 38
R. Nader 2
B. Barr 1
Sen. '08 General Election Matchup
N. Coleman 37%
A. Franken 35
D. Barkley 8


NJ-03
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 9/8-9 for Medford Mayor Chris Myers (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 9/15). Tested: Myers and state Sen. John Adler (D).
General Election Matchups
C. Myers        33%
J. Adler 29
Undec 37


Generic GOPer   38%
Generic Dem 35
Undec 28

Dem Congress Job Approval
Approve        29%
Disapprove 62

Fav/Unfav
J. Saxton       53%/16%
J. Corzine 32 /51
NJ Legislature 18 /45

WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain       45%
B. Obama 42
Undec 14


PA-06
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 8/19-21 for Rep. Jim Gerlach (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 9/12). Tested: Gerlach and ret. businessman Robert Roggio (D).
General Election Matchup
-          Now 5/21
J. Gerlach 57% 56%
R. Roggio 28 30


Fav/Unfav
-          Now     5/21
J. Gerlach 61%/18% 58%/20%
R. Roggio 5 / 5 4 / 1

Name ID
-          Now 5/21
R. Roggio 10% 5%


UT-01
A Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 9/8-11 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 197 RVs; margin of error +/- 7.0% (release, 9/13). Tested: Rep. Rob Bishop (R) and Cache Co. LDS seminary teacher Morgan Bowen (D).
General Election Matchup
-          Now 5/19
R. Bishop 62% 58%
M. Bowen 21 19
Other 3 3
Undec 13 19


UT-02
A Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 9/8-11 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 213 RVs; margin of error +/- 6.7% (release, 9/13). Tested: Rep. Jim Matheson (D) and millionaire homebuilder Bill Dew (R).
General Election Matchup
-              Now 5/19
J. Matheson 62% 67%
B. Dew 27 20
Other 2 2
Undec 8 11


UT-03
A Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 9/8-11 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 191 RVs; margin of error +/- 7.1% (release, 9/13). Tested: Gov. Huntsman ex-CoS Jason Chaffetz (R) and Neumont Univ. prof. Bennion Spencer (D).
General Election Matchup
-              Now 5/19
J. Chaffetz 60% 46%
B. Spencer 18 18
Other 2 na
Undec 20 na

No comments:

 
PRIVACY POLICY | SEARCH LCV | FEEDBACK | CONTACT | JOBS | CONTRIBUTE League of Conservation Voters

1920 L Street, Suite 800

Washington, DC 20036