PRESIDENTIAL
ALABAMA
A Capital Survey Research Center poll; conducted 9/3-4 and 9/8-9; surveyed 606 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Kitchen, Montgomery Advertiser, 9/10).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 8/4
J. McCain 55% 47%
B. Obama 35 34
R. Nader * 2
B. Barr * 1
Undec 9 16
FLORIDA
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 9/5-9; surveyed 1,032 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 9/11). "Cli" and "Oba" columns represent responses among Dem primary supporters of Hillary Clinton andBarack Obama, respectively.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Cli Oba 8/24 7/29 6/16
J. McCain 50% 91% 10% 50% 54% 47% 24% 2% 47% 44% 43%
B. Obama 43 7 83 43 41 45 69 96 43 46 47
Other 1 -- -- 1 -- 1 1 -- 2 2 2
Undec 6 3 7 6 5 7 6 2 8 7 8
Is Your Mind Made Up, Or Do You Think You Might Change Your Mind Before The Election?
- ObamaVoters McCainVoters
- Now 8/24 7/29 6/16 Now 8/24 7/29 6/16
Mind made up 83% 83% 78% 79% 86% 84% 83% 79%
Might change 17 14 20 19 12 15 16 19
Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 8/24 7/29
J. McCain 58%/29% 88%/ 4% 24%/60% 61%/29% 55%/32% 51%/30%
B. Obama 49 /35 21 /65 79 / 8 51 /31 51 /36 50 /33
S. Palin 47 /23 79 / 5 15 /46 47 /18 na na
J. Biden 38 /28 14 /53 63 / 5 40 /26 na na
Bush As POTUS
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 8/24 7/29 6/16
Approve 33% 67% 5% 24% 37% 28% 32% 28% 27%
Disapprove 63 25 94 71 58 67 64 66 66
Which Issue Is The Single Most Important To Your WH '08 Choice?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
The economy 49% 39% 55 57% 47% 52%
The war in Iraq 12 7 19 10 12 11
Terrorism 11 21 2 11 13 9
Health care 9 3 16 8 8 10
Energy policy 8 14 4 6 9 6
Illegal immigration 3 4 -- 3 3 2
Other 4 5 2 3 4 4
MISSOURI
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 9/7-9; surveyed 940 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 9/10).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
McCain/Palin 50%
Obama/Biden 45
Neither 3
Other 1
Undec 1
MICHIGAN
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 9/7-9; surveyed 966 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 9/10).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
Obama/Biden 49%
McCain/Palin 45
Neither 4
Other *
Undec 2
NEW HAMPSHIRE
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 9/7-9; surveyed 899 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 9/10).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
Obama/Biden 51%
McCain/Palin 45
Neither 2
Other 1
Undec 1
NORTH CAROLINA
A Garin Hart Yang (D) poll; conducted 9/5-7 for LG Bev Perdue (D); surveyed 605 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Wilson, Politico, 9/10). Party ID Breakdown: 46%D, 35%R, 19%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain 49%
B. Obama 46
OHIO
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 9/5-9; surveyed 1,367 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.7% (release, 9/11). "Cli" and "Oba" columns represent responses among Dem primary supporters of Hillary Clinton andBarack Obama, respectively.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Cli Oba 8/24 7/29 6/16
B. Obama 49% 10% 87% 43% 47% 52% 65% 90% 44% 46% 48%
J. McCain 44 86 10 47 47 42 28 8 43 44 42
Other 1 -- 1 1 1 1 1 -- 2 1 2
Undec 5 4 3 8 5 6 7 2 11 8 7
Is Your Mind Made Up, Or Do You Think You Might Change Your Mind Before The Election?
- ObamaVoters McCainVoters
- Now 8/24 7/29 6/16 Now 8/24 7/29 6/16
Mind made up 81% 81% 77% 81% 85% 79% 80% 73%
Might change 16 18 22 18 13 18 19 24
Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 8/24 7/29
B. Obama 53%/33% 24%/65% 80%/ 9% 49%/31% 49%/32% 50%/34%
J. McCain 53 /34 87 / 9 22/ 61 58 /26 50 /34 52 /32
S. Palin 41 /22 77 / 5 12 /35 41 /23 na na
J. Biden 36 /22 16 /45 53 / 4 35 /20 na na
Bush As POTUS
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 8/24 7/29 6/16
Approve 30% 66% 5% 25% 32% 28% 33% 8% 30% 30% 22%
Disapprove 65 28 92 68 63 67 63 89 65 65 71
Which Issue Is The Single Most Important To Your WH '08 Choice?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
The economy 52% 41% 61% 52% 48% 55% 50% 64%
Health care 11 6 17 8 7 14 10 19
The war in Iraq 10 10 12 10 12 8 11 4
Energy policy 9 13 6 9 13 6 9 7
Terrorism 8 16 2 9 9 8 9 1
Illegal immigration 4 5 1 6 4 3 4 3
Other 3 5 2 3 4 3 3 1
PENNSYLVANIA
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 9/5-9; surveyed 1,001 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 9/11). "Cli" and "Oba" columns represent responses among Dem primary supporters of Hillary Clinton andBarack Obama, respectively.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Cli Oba 8/24 7/29 6/16
B. Obama 48% 9% 82% 44% 45% 51% 72% 88% 49% 49% 52%
J. McCain 45 87 15 45 51 41 22 6 42 42 40
Other 1 -- 1 1 -- 1 1 -- 1 1 2
Undec 6 4 3 10 4 7 5 5 9 8 7
Is Your Mind Made Up, Or Do You Think You Might Change Your Mind Before The Election?
- ObamaVoters McCainVoters
- Now 8/24 7/29 6/16 Now 8/24 7/29 6/16
Mind made up 81% 82% 78% 75% 77% 75% 75% 74%
Might change 17 17 19 24 22 23 24 24
Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 8/24 7/29
B. Obama 56%/29% 26%/58% 81%/ 8% 54%/26% 54%/27% 54%/25%
J. McCain 54 /34 87 / 7 30 /58 52 /28 50 /35 54 /28
J. Biden 53 /22 24 /44 74 / 5 54 /21 na na
S. Palin 39 /26 71 / 5 17 /40 32 /28 na na
Bush As POTUS
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 8/24 7/29 6/16
Approve 26% 58% 3% 23% 28% 24% 25% 24% 24%
Disapprove 70 37 96 69 69 71 70 70 72
Which Issue Is The Single Most Important To Your WH '08 Choice?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
The economy 51% 44% 59% 48% 49% 53%
The war in Iraq 12 11 14 11 12 12
Health care 11 5 15 10 8 14
Energy policy 10 15 5 13 16 5
Terrorism 8 16 1 8 9 6
Illegal immigration 3 4 2 6 3 3
Other 2 3 1 2 2 2
PA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 9/5-7; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 9/11).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 7/27 4/20 4/13 4/6 3/30 3/9
Obama/Biden 47% 49% 40% 39% 41% 42% 44%
McCain/Palin 45 40 48 49 48 47 47
Other 3 na na na na na na
Undec 5 11 12 12 11 11 9
Fav/Unfav
S. Palin 51%/32%
J. McCain 49 /33
J. Biden 49 /36
B. Obama 48 /38
VIRGINIA
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll; conducted 9/7-9; surveyed 920 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 9/10).
WH '08 General Election Matchups
McCain/Palin 50%
Obama/Biden 46
Neither 3
Other 1
Undec 1
WEST VIRGINIA
A Mark Blankenship Enterprises poll; conducted 9/5-8; surveyed 432 RVs; marign of error +/- 4.7% (Stump, Charleston Daily Mail, 9/10).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Ind
McCain/Palin 44% 51%
Obama/Biden 39 22
Undec 17 27
SENATE
KENTUCKY
A Voter/Consumer Research (R) poll; conducted 9/7-9 for Senate Min. Leader Mitch McConnell (R); surveyed 900 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 9/10). Tested: McConnell and '03/'07 GOV candidate/businessman Bruce Lunsford (D).
General Election Matchup
- Now 6/17 5/23 1/9
M. McConnell 52% 50% 50% 52%
B. Lunsford 35 39 39 37
Fav/Unfav
- Now 6/17 5/23 1/9 10/23
M. McConnell 52%/33% 54%/35% 55%/32% 56%/31% 55%/32%
B. Lunsford 30 /36 27 /22 34 /20 23 /12 na
Direction Of KY
Right dir. 28%
Wrong dir. 53
NORTH CAROLINA
A Garin Hart Yang (D) poll; conducted 9/5-7 for LG Bev Perdue (D); surveyed 605 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Wilson, Politico, 9/10). Party ID Breakdown: 46%D, 35%R, 19%I. Tested: Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R) and state Sen. Kay Hagan (D).
General Election Matchup
E. Dole 48%
K. Hagan 46
HOUSE
NJ-07
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 8/20-25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/11). Tested: state Sen. Leonard Lance (R), '06 nominee/Assemb. Linda Stender (D), Bridgewater Councilor/'08 GOP candidate Michael Hsing (I) and activist/frequent candidate Tom Abrams (I).
General Election Matchups
L. Stender 36%
L. Lance 33
M. Hsing 9
T. Abrams 2
Undec 20
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 4/08
J. McCain 45% 48%
B. Obama 43 40
Fav/Unfav
G. Bush 34%/64%
MN-02
An Alliance For A Better MN poll; conducted 8/18-20; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 9/11). Tested: Rep. John Kline (R) and ex-Watertown mayor/Iraq vet Steve Sarvi (D).
General Election Matchup
J. Kline 37%
S. Sarvi 33
Undec 30
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