COLORADO
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/14 8/20 7/21 6/17
Obama/Biden 47% 81% 13% 32% 43% 50% 46% 46% 45% 59%
McCain/Palin 46 11 81 59 51 41 46 47 47 44
KENTUCKY
A Louisville Courier-Journal poll; conducted 9/22-25 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 717 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 9/28). HRC column denotes responses among Dem primary supporters of Hillary Clinton.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk HRC
McCain/Palin 53% 59% 47% 35% 81% 46% 55% 12% 40%
Obama/Biden 41 36 45 58 13 46 39 79 55
Other * * -- -- * -- * -- --
Undec 6 5 8 7 5 8 6 9 5
Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
J. McCain 52%/26% 58%/23% 47%/29% 37%/38% 79%/ 8% 40%/31%
S. Palin 49 /27 52 /24 46 /29 34 /40 72 / 6 42 /29
B. Obama 38 /38 37 /44 39 /32 52 /24 16 /62 44 /25
J. Biden 35 /33 32 /39 38 /26 49 /20 13 /53 37 /29
MICHIGAN
A Democracy Corps (D) poll; conducted 9/21-24 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D); surveyed 760 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 9/26).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama 49%
J. McCain 42
B. Barr 1
R. Nader 4
Other 1
Undec 5
MONTANA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 9/22-24 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/26). Party ID Breakdown: 38%R, 30%D, 32%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
McCain/Palin 52% 56% 48% 13% 85% 51% 48% 54% 52% 53%
Obama/Biden 39 37 41 81 7 38 43 37 40 37
Other 4 5 3 3 3 5 4 5 4 3
Undec 5 2 8 3 5 6 5 4 4 7
SOUTH CAROLINA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 9/22-24 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/26). Party ID Breakdown: 42%R, 36%D, 22%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
McCain/Palin 54% 59% 49% 14% 88% 55% 71% 4%
Obama/Biden 39 36 42 79 5 38 23 86
Other 2 3 1 3 1 3 2 --
Undec 5 2 8 4 6 4 4 10
TENNESSEE
A Chattanooga Times Free Press poll; conducted 9/22-24 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 9/28).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
McCain/Palin 55% 59% 51% 16% 89% 59% 64% 4%
Obama/Biden 39 36 52 78 9 32 30 91
Undec 6 5 7 6 2 9 6 5
Fav/Unfav
S. Palin 59%/20%
J. McCain 58 /26
B. Obama 38 /44
J. Biden 34 /38
WYOMING
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 9/22-24 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/26). Party ID Breakdown: 48%R, 24%D, 28%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 5/21
McCain/Palin 57% 61% 53% 9% 84% 53% 53%
Obama/Biden 36 32 40 85 9 40 40
Other 4 5 3 3 3 6 na
Undec 3 2 4 3 4 1 7
SENATE
KENTUCKY
A Louisville Courier-Journal poll; conducted 9/22-25 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 717 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 9/28). Tested: Senate Min. Leader Mitch McConnell (R) and '03/'07 GOV candidate/businessman Bruce Lunsford (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
M. McConnell 45% 53% 37% 27% 74% 33% 47% 6%
B. Lunsford 44 38 49 65 13 37 42 79
Other 1 1 1 * 2 4 1 --
Undec 11 9 13 8 11 27 10 15
Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
M. McConnell 40%/31% 48%/30% 33%/32% 29%/42% 60%/14% 29%/31%
B. Lunsford 26 /29 24 /35 29 /22 38 /17 10 /47 19 /23
SOUTH CAROLINA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 9/22-24 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/26). Tested: Sen. Lindsey Graham (R) and engineer/pilot/flight trainer Bob Conley (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
L. Graham 51% 55% 47% 12% 85% 50% 67% 4%
B. Conley 42 39 45 83 7 42 29 80
Other 1 1 1 -- 1 2 1 --
Undec 6 5 7 5 7 6 3 16
Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
L. Graham 53%/39% 60%/36% 46%/42% 28%/65% 77%/19% 50%/35%
B. Conley 45 /34 40 /40 50 /28 67 /14 29 /54 40 /30
SOUTH DAKOTA
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 9/24-25 for Sen. Tim Johnson (D); surveyed 605 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/26). Tested: Johnson and state Rep. Joel Dykstra (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 8/14
T. Johnson 61% 61%
J. Dykstra 34 34
WYOMING
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 9/22-24 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/26). Tested: Sen. John Barrasso (R), atty Nick Carter (D), Sen. Mike Enzi (R) and Univ. of WY prof. Chris Rothfuss (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
J. Barrasso 58% 61% 55% 8% 85% 55% 53% 61% 59% 58%
N. Carter 34 32 36 82 7 39 37 32 32 34
Unec 8 7 9 10 8 6 10 7 9 8
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
M. Enzi 59% 61% 57% 10% 86% 55% 55% 62% 60% 59%
C. Rothfuss 35 34 36 83 8 39 38 33 34 35
Undec 6 5 7 7 6 6 7 5 6 6
HOUSE
CA-04
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 9/23-25 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 9/26). Tested: state Sen. Tom McClintock (R) and '06 nominee/USAF vet Charlie Brown.
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
C. Brown 46% 42% 50% 86% 13% 49% 49% 45% 47% 43%
T. McClintock 41 46 36 7 72 33 38 43 40 44
Other 5 7 3 2 6 8 3 7 6 4
Undec 8 5 11 5 9 10 10 5 7 9
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind
C. Brown 44%/25% 67%/10% 26%/40% 42%/21%
T. McClintock 41 /35 27 /56 54 /21 38 /30
FL-13
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 9/23-25 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 9/28). Tested: Rep. Vern Buchanan (R) and '04 candidate/'06 nominee Christine Jennings (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht His Blk
V. Buchanan 43% 47% 39% 11% 68% 40% 45% 36% 6%
C. Jennings 31 30 32 65 7 30 30 28 67
Other 6 5 7 8 3 9 6 6 --
Undec 20 18 22 16 22 21 19 19 27
Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
V. Buchanan 37%/42% 40%/41% 34%/43% 15%/65% 54%/28% 34%/40%
C. Jennings 32 /38 29 /44 35 /32 53 /19 17 /53 31 /37
FL-13
A Feldman Group (D) poll; conducted 9/22-23 for Jennings; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 9/26). Tested: Jennings and Buchanan.
General Election Matchup
V. Buchanan 44%
C. Jennings 40
Undec 16
FL-18
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 9/23-25 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 9/28). Tested: Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R) and LanguageSpeak CEO Annette Taddeo (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht His Blk
I. Ros-Lehtinen 53% 57% 49% 18% 84% 54% 55% 57% 7%
A. Taddeo 36 33 39 71 6 35 33 39 61
Other 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 --
Undec 10 9 11 10 9 10 10 3 32
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind
I. Ros-Lehtinen 49%/37% 29%/59% 69%/20% 47%/33%
A. Taddeo 38 /32 52 /21 29 /43 35 /31
NJ-02
A Press Of Atlantic City/Richard Stockton College poll; conducted 9/18-20 by Zogby; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 9/28). Tested: Rep. Frank LoBiondo (R) and Cape May Councilor David Kurkowski (D).
General Election Matchup
F. LoBiondo 62%
D. Kurkowski 26
Undec 12
NJ-03
A Press Of Atlantic City/Richard Stockton College poll; conducted 9/18-20 by Zogby; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 9/28). Tested: Medford Mayor Chris Myers (R) and state Sen. John Adler (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom
C. Myers 39% 46% 32%
J. Adler 37 36 38
Undec 22 na na
WY-AL
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 9/22-24 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/26). Tested: '06 nominee Gary Trauner (D) and ex-state Treas. Cynthia Lummis (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 5/21
G. Trauner 42% 39% 45% 85% 13% 56% 44%
C. Lummis 42 46 38 12 62 33 41
Undec 16 15 17 3 25 11 15
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 5/21
C. Lummis 54%/32% 30%/62% 71%/13% 48%/37% 49%/29%
G. Trauner 53 /36 85 /12 35 /56 58 /23 52 /31
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