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Tuesday, June 22, 2010

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 707 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 6/21). Tested: Sen. John McCain, businessman/USN vet Jim Deakin and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup
-              Now 5/17 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18
J. McCain 47% 52% 47% 48% 53% 45%
J.D. Hayworth 36 40 42 41 31 43
J. Deakin 7 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Other 1 2 2 3 7 6
Undec 8 6 8 8 8 7

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     5/17    4/13    3/16    1/20
J. McCain 69%/30% 70%/28% 67%/33% 60%/36% 74%/23%
J.D. Hayworth 51 /45 67 /31 58 /34 47 /43 58 /25
J. Deakin 22 /33 n/a n/a n/a n/a

Obama As POTUS
-              Now 5/17 4/13
Approve 10% 10% 14%
Disapprove 90 88 86

Georgia
A WMAZ-TV/WXIA-TV/WVEE-FM poll; conducted 6/14-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 501 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Ex-Rockdale Co. CoS R.J. Hadley and Labor Commis. Mike Thurmond.

Primary Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom Wht Blk
M. Thurmond 68% 72% 64% 61% 72%
R.J. Hadley 11 12 10 13 10
Undec 22 14 28 26 18

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/15-20; surveyed 1,592 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 485 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/22). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R) and ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-              All Men Wom
B. Blakeman 14% 15% 14%
D. Malpass 11 11 11
Other 4 6 2
Not vote 3 5 2
Undec 67 64 71

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1
K. Gillibrand 46% 73% 13% 37% 46% 46% 47% 44%
B. Blakeman 26 4 67 26 27 25 25 27
Other 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 2 2 1 3 2
Undec 26 20 18 33 24 28 24 26

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand 47% 74% 16% 38% 46% 47%
D. Malpass 25 3 63 27 26 24
Other 2 1 3 2 2 1
Not vote 1 2 -- 2 2 1
Undec 25 21 18 31 24 27

Gillibrand As Sen.
-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13
Approve 44% 60% 27% 39% 45% 44% 47% 42% 40% 32% 33%
Disapprove 27 11 48 33 30 24 25 28 21 20 19

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/11
K. Gillibrand 37%/23% 50%/ 7% 22%/50% 35%/27% 37%/23%
B. Blakeman 8 / 5 3 / 9 20 / 1 8 / 3 7 / 6
D. Malpass 7 / 3 5 / 3 11 / 3 6 / 2 n/a

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/15-20; surveyed 1,592 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 6/22).

Do You Feel Schumer Deserves To Be Re-Elected?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1
Yes/deserves 52% 70% 29% 48% 52% 52% 53% 54%
No/does not 33 15 60 37 36 30 32 33

Schumer As Sen.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13
Approve 60% 78% 35% 56% 57% 63% 61% 58% 62% 62% 58%
Disapprove 28 9 55 33 34 22 26 30 27 24 27

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