A Capitol Weekly/Probolsky Research (R) poll; conducted 5/30-6/1; surveyed 750 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/3). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina. (Note: Each candidate is ID by his/her ballot designation: Campbell is "Economist/Business Educator"; DeVore is "Assemblyman/Military Reservist"; and Fiorina is "Business Executive".)
Primary Election Matchup
- All Men Wom 4/13
C. Fiorina 40% 39% 43% 17%
T. Campbell 25 27 20 31
C. DeVore 13 16 10 15
Other 1 2 -- 1
Undec 20 15 25 35
Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/31-6/2 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D), atty/ex-state Sen. Tom Fiegen (D) and ex-state Rep. Bob Krause (D).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom
R. Conlin 48% 45% 51%
B. Krause 13 14 12
T. Fiegen 12 10 14
Undec 27 31 23
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
C. Grassley 50% 12% 87% 55% 58% 42% 49% 56%
R. Conlin 42 79 6 37 35 49 40 35
Undec 8 9 7 8 7 9 11 9
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Grassley 56% 18% 88% 65% 62% 50%
T. Fiegen 33 62 5 29 27 39
Undec 11 20 7 6 11 11
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Grassley 55% 17% 88% 63% 60% 50%
B. Krause 35 67 5 30 29 41
Undec 10 16 7 7 11 9
Fav/Unfav
- Now 5/5 2/17
C. Grassley 56%/39% 58%/37% 59%/35%
R. Conlin 48 /36 45 /35 41 /36
B. Krause 32 /29 n/a n/a
T. Fiegen 28 /27 n/a n/a
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 1,277 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.7% (release, 6/4). Party ID breakdown: 38%R, 37%D, 26%I. Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R), Conlin, Fiegen and Krause.
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Grassley 57% 25% 88% 57% 57% 56%
R. Conlin 31 61 5 27 33 30
Undec 12 13 8 17 10 14
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Grassley 56% 23% 88% 55% 57% 54%
T. Fiegen 28 56 4 23 31 25
Undec 17 22 8 22 12 21
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Grassley 56% 23% 90% 54% 59% 54%
B. Krause 26 54 2 22 29 24
Undec 17 23 7 23 12 22
Grassley As Sen.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve 46% 27% 68% 42% 46% 46%
Disapprove 37 56 17 38 40 34
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Conlin 19%/29% 38%/15% 3%/43% 14%/27% 21%/34% 17%/23%
B. Krause 6 /14 10 /17 2 /11 6 /13 7 /18 5 / 9
T. Fiegen 5 /13 10 /15 2 /13 2 /13 6 /18 4 /10
Missouri
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/2; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/3). Tested: Rep. Roy Blunt (R-07) and Sec/State Robin Carnahan (D).
General Election Matchup
- Now 5/3 4/6 3/9 2/10 1/19 12/17 9/21
R. Blunt 45% 50% 48% 47% 49% 49% 44% 46%
R. Carnahan 44 42 42 41 42 43 46 46
Other 4 4 3 4 3 3 4 2
Undec 6 4 7 8 6 5 6 5
Fav/Unfav
- Now 5/3 4/6 3/9 2/10 1/19
R. Blunt 54%/38% 56%/36% 49%/43% 56%/37% 54%/40% 56%/34%
R. Carnahan 52 /40 48 /47 47 /46 47 /48 49 /45 49 /46
Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/31-6/2 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), ex-NV GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), '04 state Senate nominee/'06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R) and Tea Party candidate Scott Ashjian.
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 4/28
S. Angle 34% 36% 32% 13%
S. Lowden 25 26 24 38
D. Tarkanian 24 22 26 28
Other 5 6 4 12
Undec 12 10 14 9
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 4/28
H. Reid 43% 79% 7% 35% 37% 49% 36% 80% 68% 41%
S. Angle 37 6 72 35 44 30 44 3 11 44
S. Ashjian 2 0 4 3 2 2 2 0 0 5
Other 3 3 2 6 3 3 4 0 0 2
None 6 6 5 7 6 6 7 0 0 2
Undec 7 5 7 12 6 8 5 17 20 6
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 4/28
H. Reid 42% 78% 6% 35% 36% 48% 35% 80% 67% 41%
S. Lowden 38 5 75 36 45 31 45 3 14 45
S. Ashjian 2 0 4 3 2 2 2 0 0 4
Other 3 3 2 6 3 3 4 0 0 2
None 7 7 6 8 7 7 8 0 0 2
Undec 8 7 7 12 7 9 6 17 19 6
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 4/28
H. Reid 43% 79% 7% 35% 37% 49% 36% 80% 68% 41%
D. Tarkanian 39 7 75 37 46 32 46 3 12 43
S. Ashjian 2 0 4 3 2 2 2 0 0 6
Other 3 3 2 6 3 3 4 0 0 2
None 6 6 5 7 6 6 4 0 0 2
Undec 7 5 7 12 6 8 5 17 20 6
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 4/28 1/20
D. Tarkanian 40%/38% 19%/59% 65%/16% 36%/35% 44%/33% 48%/31%
S. Lowden 39 /40 12 /64 69 /15 36 /37 42 /34 45 /26
S. Angle 38 /41 16 /68 63 /13 36 /38 41 /29 n/a
H. Reid 40 /52 68 /27 12 /76 34 /59 37 /53 34 /55
S. Ashjian 8 /30 4 /41 12 /17 8 /33 7 /27 n/a
Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/2; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/4). Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and ex-Rep./ex-Club for Growth Pres. Pat Toomey (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 5/19 5/6 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11
P. Toomey 45% 42% 42% 47% 42% 43% 43% 44% 37% 43%
J. Sestak 38 46 40 36 37 35 35 38 38 35
Other 5 3 10 5 7 7 6 6 6 5
Undec 12 9 9 12 15 15 16 13 19 18
Fav/Unfav
- Now 5/19 5/6 4/12 3/15 2/8
P. Toomey 55%/30% 56%/25% 51%/36% 54%/29% 53%/33% 57%/28%
J. Sestak 49 /40 52 /33 50 /37 38 /39 40 /38 33 /42
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