Governor 2010

California
A Field Poll; conducted 5/27-6/2; surveyed 511 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/4). Tested: Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman.

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 3/15 1/17
M. Whitman  51% 51% 50% 63%  45%
S. Poizner  25  27  24  14   17
Other/undec 24  22  26  23   38

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/15    1/17    10/5
M. Whitman  62%/24% 56%/16% 34%/ 8% 29%/10%
S. Poizner  40 /39  20 /34  18 /19  24 /16

Which Candidate Has The Better Chance Of Defeating Brown In The General Election?

M. Whitman  61%
S. Poizner  21
Undec       18

A Capitol Weekly/Probolsky Research (R) poll; conducted 5/30-6/1; surveyed 750 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/3). Tested: Poizner and Whitman. (Note: Each candidate is ID by his/her ballot designation: Poizner is "Businessman" and Whitman is "Businesswoman".)

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 4/13
M. Whitman  54% 54% 55% 47%
S. Poizner  24  23  23  19
Other        4   4   3  n/a
Undec       16  17  17  31

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/3). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 5/4 4/1 2/1               Now 5/4 4/1 2/1
N. Lamont  43% 48% 41% 41%    T. Foley   38% 35% 44% 37% 
M. Fedele  34  28  38  33     N. Lamont  36  42  37  40
Other       4   9   9   8     Other       9  11   7   9
Undec      19  15  12  18     Undec      17  13  13  14

-          Now 5/4 4/1 2/1               Now 5/4 4/1 2/1
D. Malloy  42% 44% 40% 36%    D. Malloy  44% 38% 35% 37%
M. Fedele  28  27  37  35     T. Foley   35  35  44  36
Other       4  10   7   9     Other       5  11   8  10
Undec      25  20  16  21     Undec      17  16  14  18

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/4     4/1     2/1
D. Malloy  52%/27% 46%/24% 47%/29% 43%/29%
N. Lamont  45 /34  53 /31  43 /40  43 /35
T. Foley   40 /25  42 /24  45 /25  42 /22
M. Fedele  36 /26  38 /22  38 /26  39 /22

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/31-6/2 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                 All Men Wom
T. Branstad       44% 46% 42%
B. Vander Plaats  29  32  26
R. Roberts        12  11  13
Undec             15  11  19

General Election Matchups

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
T. Branstad       51% 15% 87% 56% 56% 46% 48% 54%
C. Culver         42  81   6  34  37  47  41  38
Undec              7   4   7  10   7   7  11   8

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
C. Culver         45% 83%  6% 41% 41% 49% 46% 48%
R. Roberts        35   6  70  34  40  30  36  26
Undec             20  11  24  25  19  21  18  26

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
C. Culver         43% 80%  6% 39% 39% 47% 44% 41%
B. Vander Plaats  42  10  83  39  48  36  40  38
Undec             15  10  11  22  13  17  16  21

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     5/5     2/17
T. Branstad       54%/36% 57%/33% 61%/24%
C. Culver         44 /47  46 /45  44 /43
B. Vander Plaats  41 /40  39 /38  36 /34
R. Roberts        28 /37  27 /35  13 /16

Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/31-6/2 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I. Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
B. Sandoval   48% 44% 52%
J. Gibbons    27  33  21
M. Montandon   6   7   5
Other          2   3   1
Undec         17  13  21

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
R. Reid       52% 85% 15% 55% 47% 57% 45% 83% 79%
J. Gibbons    31   4  62  27  38  24  37   2   7
Other          8   2  13  11  19   6  10   0   1
Undec          9   9  10   7   5  13   8  15  13

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
R. Reid       43% 78%  6% 40% 38% 48% 36% 80% 72%
M. Montandon  40   9  75  38  44  36  48   3  11
Other          7   3   8  13   7   7   8   0   1
Undec         10  10  11   9  11   9   8  17  16

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
B. Sandoval   51% 21% 84% 51% 56% 46% 59%  5% 26%
R. Reid       41  74   5  38  37  45  34  81  64
Other          5   3   6   9   5   5   6   0   0
Undec          3   2   5   2   2   4   1  14  10

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/28    9/2
B. Sandoval   47%/32% 24%/53% 74%/11% 43%/28%  n/a     n/a
R. Reid       42 /39  68 /16  14 /62  39 /46   n/a     n/a
M. Montandon  32 /30   9 /52  59 / 8  29 /26   n/a     n/a
J. Gibbons    19 /62   5 /88  37 /33  12 /64  21%/59% 17%/61%