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Thursday, May 20, 2010

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/19). Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R) and Tucson vice mayor Rodney Glassman (D).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 4/13
J. McCain 57% 54%
R. Glassman 28 32
Other 9 8
Undec 7 6

-              Now 4/13
J.D. Hayworth 49% 48%
R. Glassman 33 39
Other 9 7
Undec 9 7

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     4/13    11/18
J. McCain 53%/45% 52%/46% 54%/43%
J.D. Hayworth 45 /44 43 /49 n/a
R. Glassman 28 /41 32 /34 n/a

California
A Public Policy Institute Of CA poll; conducted 5/9-16; surveyed 2,002 adults; margin of error +/- 2.2%. Subsample of 1,168 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Further subsample of 411 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/20). Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom 3/16 1/19
C. Fiorina 25% 29% 21% 24% 16%
T. Campbell 23 25 20 23 27
C. DeVore 16 17 14 8 8
Other -- -- 1 1 1
Undec 36 29 44 44 48

General Election Matchups (LVs)
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/16 1/19
B. Boxer 46% 77% 8% 48% 42% 51% 43% 45%
T. Campbell 40 14 79 35 44 37 44 41
Undec 14 9 13 17 14 12 13 14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/16 1/19
B. Boxer 50% 84% 9% 48% 45% 55% 46% 47%
C. DeVore 39 9 80 35 43 34 40 39
Undec 11 7 11 17 12 11 14 14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/16 1/19
B. Boxer 48% 82% 9% 44% 44% 53% 44% 48%
C. Fiorina 39 11 78 33 44 34 43 40
Undec 13 7 13 23 12 13 13 12

Boxer As Sen.
-            All LVs Dem GOP Ind 1/19 9/2 3/09
Approve 50% 50% 77% 13% 53% 49% 51% 52%
Disapprove 38 44 14 79 39 44 39 28

Kentucky
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/20). Tested: AG Jack Conway (D) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

General Election Matchup
-          Now 4/28 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul 59% 47% 50% 46% 47% 46% 38%
J. Conway 34 38 36 38 39 38 42
Other 4 4 3 4 3 4 4
Undec 3 10 11 12 11 12 15

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     4/28    3/31    3/2     2/2     1/6
R. Paul 69%/28% 56%/31% 53%/33% 57%/26% 54%/26% 57%/25%
J. Conway 44 /45 47 /36 44 /39 40 /33 47 /32 46 /36

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