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Monday, March 15, 2010

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 497 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/15). Tested: Businessman Dan Maes (R), Littleton library board member/Korean translator Yoon Joo Mager (R), ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R) and Mark Vanderbilt (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom
S. McInnis 58% 60% 56%
D. Maes 8 13 3
Y. Mager 2 2 2
M. Vanderbilt 1 1 1
Undec 31 24 39

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Men     Wom
S. McInnis 50%/10% 50%/13% 49%/ 6%

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 849 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 3/12). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Crist 47% 33% 63% 43% 52% 44% 49% 28% 57% 50%
A. Sink 27 45 11 25 25 29 27 34 22 29
Undec 26 22 26 32 23 28 24 38 22 21

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
B. McCollum 44% 20% 69% 38% 50% 39% 49% 23% 43% 21%
A. Sink 31 55 11 25 26 35 29 42 30 38
Undec 25 25 20 36 24 26 22 35 26 42

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. McCollum 25%/26% 17%/31% 33%/20% 21%/27% 27%/31% 22%/21%
A. Sink 23 /27 34 /18 14 /36 21 /25 19 /31 26 /23

Wisconsin
A WI Policy Research Institute/UW Political Science poll; conducted 3/7-9; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 323 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.5% (release, 3/12). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 30%R, 28%D, 36%I. Tested: Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett (D), ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-           Now 9/29
S. Walker 46% 39%
S. Neumann 27 14
T. Michels n/a 4
Undec 27 43

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind
T. Barrett 34% 60% 18% 31%
S. Neumann 34 11 50 39
Undec 30 28 30 28

-           All Dem GOP Ind
S. Walker 36% 13% 57% 38%
T. Barrett 31 54 16 29
Undec 31 32 27 30

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/29
S. Walker 37%/16% 15%/27% 57%/ 7% 40%/16% 33%/16%
S. Neumann 36 /16 15 /27 53 / 7 39 /15 24 /12
T. Barrett 34 /18 44 / 7 25 /26 38 /19 36 /12

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