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Wednesday, July 8, 2009

Ohio - Senate (2010), Governor (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/26-7/1; surveyed 1,259 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsamples of 445 GOPers and 483 Dems; margins of error +/- 4.6% and +/- 4.5%, respectively (release, 7/7). Tested: ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R), car dealer Tom Ganley (R), LG Lee Fisher (D) and Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2
L. Fisher 24% 31% 20% 20% 18% 18%
J. Brunner 21 26 18 16 14 16
Other 2 -- 2 5 19 14
Not vote 3 1 4 1 2 --
Undec 51 42 56 59 46 53

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 5/4
R. Portman 33% 39% 25% 29%
T. Ganley 10 11 9 8
Other 1 1 1 9
Not vote 2 3 -- 1
Undec 55 46 65 54

General Election Matchups
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2
L. Fisher 37% 5% 76% 28% 33% 40% 42% 41% 42%
R. Portman 33 72 4 31 41 27 31 33 27
Other 2 -- -- 3 2 1 1 1 1
Not vote 2 -- 1 3 2 1 -- 2 1
Undec 26 22 19 35 21 31 26 24 29

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2
J. Brunner 35% 5% 71% 26% 31% 39% 40% 39% 38%
R. Portman 34 72 5 32 42 27 32 34 28
Other 1 -- -- 2 2 -- -- 1 1
Not vote 1 -- -- 1 2 1 -- 2 1
Undec 29 23 23 39 24 33 27 25 31

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
L. Fisher 36% 5% 73% 26% 32% 39%
T. Ganley 30 65 4 29 38 24
Other 1 -- -- 2 2 1
Not vote 2 1 1 1 2 1
Undec 31 28 22 42 26 36

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
J. Brunner 35% 6% 71% 23% 31% 38%
T. Ganley 31 67 4 30 38 25
Other 1 -- -- 2 2 1
Not vote 2 2 1 2 3 1
Undec 31 25 23 44 26 35

Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 5/4 3/15
L. Fisher 29%/17% 14%/32% 49%/ 6% 24%/15% 37%/13% 32%/13%
J. Brunner 27 /16 9 /31 46 / 4 24 /14 31 /12 31 /14
R. Portman 21 / 6 35 / 1 8 / 9 23 / 6 22 / 9 25 / 7
T. Ganley 12 / 4 19 / 2 6 / 7 11 / 3 6 / 4 na

Fisher As LG
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4
Approve 39% 26% 58% 32% 38% 40% 49%
Disapprove 24 36 10 23 30 18 17

Brunner As Sec/State
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2 12/8 8/11
Approve 38% 22% 60% 32% 37% 39% 45% 41% 44% 39% 38%
Disapprove 25 42 7 27 32 18 20 19 16 28 12

Voinovich As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2 12/8 8/11
Approve 52% 60% 53% 46% 49% 55% 55% 52% 55% 51% 51%
Disapprove 29 28 23 35 39 21 30 32 29 31 32

Brown As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2 12/8 8/11
Approve 41% 29% 58% 37% 36% 46% 52% 48% 51% 48% 51%
Disapprove 29 32 12 32 39 19 24 25 22 26 23

Governor (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/26-7/1; surveyed 1,259 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 445 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 7/3). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D), ex-Sen. Mike DeWine (R), ex-Rep. John Kasich (R) and state Sen. Kevin Coughlin (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2
J. Kasich 35% 42% 27% 23% 27% 22%
M. DeWine 32 29 34 35 32 37
K. Coughlin 3 5 1 2 2 3
Other 1 1 -- 2 2 --
Not vote 2 3 -- 1 1 --
Undec 29 21 37 37 37 37

General Election Matchups
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2
T. Strickland 43% 10% 83% 34% 38% 47% 51% 51% 56%
J. Kasich 38 76 7 36 45 32 32 31 26
Other 2 1 1 2 3 1 1 1 1
Not vote 1 -- -- 1 2 -- 1 2 1
Undec 16 12 9 26 12 20 16 15 16

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2
T. Strickland 41% 10% 78% 35% 37% 45% 48% 50% 54%
M. DeWine 40 77 12 37 45 35 36 34 32
Other 2 2 -- 3 2 1 1 1 1
Not vote 2 1 1 4 3 1 1 2 1
Undec 15 10 9 22 11 18 14 12 11

Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 5/4 3/15
T. Strickland 42%/37% 20%/64% 70%/11% 39%/40% 53%/25% 54%/26%
M. DeWine 39 /22 62 /12 26 /27 33 /26 39 /28 40 /25
J. Kasich 26 / 7 43 / 3 11 /10 25 / 7 22 / 7 21 / 6
K. Coughlin 5 / 3 8 / 1 3 / 4 4 / 4 3 / 3 4 / 2

Strickland As Gov.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2 12/8 8/11
Approve 46% 26% 70% 42% 44% 48% 57% 56% 63% 54% 60%
Disapprove 42 63 20 45 47 38 29 30 25 25 25

OH Legislature Job Approval
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 12/8 8/11 11/07 9/07
Approve 31% 26% 39% 26% 30% 32% 36% 46% 42% 41% 38%
Disapprove 49 55 39 53 55 43 40 35 41 32 37

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2 12/8 8/11 6/08
Yes 34% 19% 53% 31% 35% 34% 44% 46% 46% 44% 47% 46%
No 40 56 23 44 44 38 32 30 27 26 31 3

Strickland Handling Economy
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2
Approve 33% 17% 52 30% 34% 33% 43% 39% 44%
Disapprove 53 73 32 57 57 50 43 45 37

Strickland Handling OH Budget
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2 12/8
Approve 32% 15% 51% 27% 31% 32% 43% 44% 48% 41%
Disapprove 53 73 32 58 58 49 40 36 30 31

Do You Support/Oppose Legalized Casino Gambling In OH?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 8/11
Support 60% 54% 65% 60% 65% 56% 61%
Oppose 36 43 32 33 33 38 34

Would You Support/Oppose A Law That Would Allow
Same-Sex Couples To Get Married?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+
Support 33% 16% 47% 35% 24% 42% 46% 32% 28%
Oppose 60 82 46 56 70 52 52 61 65

Would You Support/Oppose A Law That Would Allow
Civil Unions For Same-Sex Couples?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+
Support 46% 33% 53% 50% 40% 51% 59% 45% 39%
Oppose 47 62 40 39 53 40 37 49 51

Do You Think Same-Sex Couples Should Be Allowed Legally To Marry,
Should Be Allowed Legally To Form Civil Unions But Not Marry,
Or Should Not Be Allowed To Obtain Legal Recognition
Of Their Relationships?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ 8/07
Marry 28% 13% 42% 27% 20% 35% 42% 27% 21% 23%
Civil unions 29 31 23 34 29 28 27 29 29 29
No recognition 36 50 28 30 42 30 28 38 39 37

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