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Wednesday, July 8, 2009

New Hampshire - Senate (2010), Governor (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Granite State Poll; conducted 6/24-7/1 by the Univ. of NH Survey Center; surveyed 558 adults; margin of error +/- 4.1%. Subsample of 505 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/2). Tested: Rep. Paul Hodes (D), ex-Sen. John Sununu (R), AG Kelly Ayotte (R), multimillionaire investor Fred Tausch (R) and ex-Rep. Charles Bass (R). Note: Sununu announced 7/1 he will not be a SEN '10 candidate.
General Election Matchups (LVs)
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
P. Hodes 35% 61% 26% 12% 32% 39%
K. Ayotte 39 13 33 68 43 34
Other 2 1 6 2 3 1
Undec 24 24 35 19 22 26

- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
P. Hodes 40% 77% 22% 10% 34% 46%
C. Bass 38 6 34 73 46 31
Other 2 1 4 1 2 2
Undec 20 16 40 16 19 21

- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
P. Hodes 45% 79% 36% 14% 41% 49%
F. Tausch 25 1 10 56 29 21
Other 1 -- 3 -- 1 --
Undec 29 20 51 30 29 30

- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 4/22
P. Hodes 43% 81% 34% 9% 38% 48% 41%
J. Sununu 41 7 34 80 50 33 46
Other 1 -- 4 1 1 -- 2
Undec 14 12 28 10 10 18 11

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem Ind GOP 4/22 2/9
J. Gregg 53%/24% 32%/41% 60%/15% 73%/10% 57%/25% 64%/15%
J. Shaheen 50 /36 74 /11 53 /27 24 /66 47 /37 56 /32
K. Ayotte 45 / 8 44 / 9 41 / 7 49 / 7 na na
J. Sununu 43 /38 16 /64 32 /37 75 /12 47 /36 na
C. Bass 33 /23 20 /34 28 /18 49 /14 30 /24 na
P. Hodes 32 /23 48 /10 23 /20 20 /37 34 /22 36 /13
O. Lamontagne 10 / 6 9 / 9 6 / 4 13 / 5 na na
F. Tausch 5 / 4 1 / 4 1 / 3 11 / 4 na na

Governor (2010)

A Granite State Poll; conducted 6/24-7/1 by the Univ. of NH Survey Center; surveyed 558 adults; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 7/3).
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem Ind GOP 4/22 2/9
J. Lynch 62%/24% 81%/ 9% 61%/20% 44%/42% 72%/13% 76%/ 8%

Lynch As Gov.
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 4/22 2/9 9/21 7/20 4/08
Approve 63% 78% 61% 48% 61% 65% 70% 74% 75% 72% 74%
Disapprove 27 12 22 44 30 24 15 12 12 13 13

Direction Of NH
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 4/22 2/9 9/21 7/20 4/08
Right dir. 55% 72% 53% 38% 53% 57% 64% 60% 73% 70% 65%
Wrong dir. 38 20 36 57 41 34 27 28 17 21 27

Recently Lynch Signed A Law That Grants Same-Sex Couples
The Right To Marry In NH; As A Result Of This,
Would You Say You Are More/Less Likely To Vote For His Reelection?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
More likely 19% 38% 12% 2% 16% 22% 18% 16% 22% 17%
Less likely 28 10 24 49 31 26 27 23 29 35
No effect 52 52 62 48 53 51 55 60 49 46

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