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Monday, June 22, 2009

Polling Update: Senate 2010: NV Governor 2010: NY,NV

Senate 2010

Nevada

A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 6/18-19 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/21). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 36%R, 20%I.

Reid As Sen.

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind

Excellent/good 43% 37% 49% 74% 8% 38%

Only fair/poor 55 62 48 23 91 59

Ensign As Sen.

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind

Excellent/good 48% 51% 45% 35% 68% 43%

Only fair/poor 45 44 46 60 23 48

Fav/Unfav

- Now 5/14

J. Ensign 39%/37% 53%/18%

H. Reid 34 /46 38 /50

Governor 2010

New York

A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 6/15-18; surveyed 626 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Subsample of 299 Dems; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 6/22). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AGAndrew Cuomo (D) and ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

- All Men Wom Wht Blk His 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23

A. Cuomo 69% 67% 71% 78% 50% 58% 70% 64% 67% 53% 33%

D. Paterson 16 20 13 12 27 15 19 11 17 27 35

Other/undec 15 12 16 9 23 27 11 25 17 20 33

General Election Matchups

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 5/21 4/15

R. Giuliani 57% 44% 80% 60% 62% 53% 66% 18% 36% 59% 56%

D. Paterson 27 43 9 18 24 30 21 63 34 31 29

Undec 15 13 11 22 14 17 13 19 31 10 15

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 5/21 4/15

A. Cuomo 49% 69% 24% 38% 42% 54% 43% 76% 66% 53% 53%

R. Giuliani 40 21 62 52 47 35 47 12 20 41 39

Undec 11 10 13 9 11 11 10 12 14 6 8

Elect Paterson In '10?

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/21 4/15 3/18

Elect him 15% 17% 13% 13% 16% 13% 15% 12% 14%

Prefer another 70 66 74 73 68 71 71 71 67

Undec 15 18 13 14 15 16 15 17 19

Fav/Unfav

- All Dem GOP Ind 5/21 4/15

A. Cuomo 71%/17% 78%/14% 62%/20% 67%/18% 66%/20% 66%/18%

R. Giuliani 62 /33 53 /43 78 /17 61 /30 61 /35 55 /41

D. Paterson 31 /57 38 /52 23 /61 28 /65 27 /60 27 /63

Paterson As Gov.

- Now 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23 12/11 11/13 10/21

Excellent/good 20% 18% 18% 19% 28% 51% 55% 55% 55%

Fair/poor 78 81 81 78 69 45 40 41 40

Direction Of NY

- Now 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23 12/11 11/13 10/21

Right dir. 24% 33% 27% 30% 31% 39% 37% 39% 39%

Wrong dir. 63 52 57 52 53 42 44 43 41

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For Gov.?

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 5/21

For Gov. 46% 56% 37% 40% 43% 50% 46% 48% 48% 47%

Reelect as AG 35 28 38 41 39 32 37 35 20 33


Nevada

A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 6/18-19 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/21). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 36%R, 20%I.

Fav/Unfav

- Now 5/14

J. Gibbons 10%/57% 17%/52%

Gibbons As Gov.

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind

Excellent/good 14% 22% 6% 5% 25% 14%

Only fair/poor 82 76 88 90 74 81

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