Polling Update: Governor 2009:VA Senate 2010:HA,PA Governor 2010:NM

Governor 2009

Virginia

A Daily Kos poll; conducted 6/15-17 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/18). Party ID Breakdown: 39%D, 32%R, 29%I. Tested: ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R) and state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D).

General Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 6/3 5/20 4/8
B. McDonnell  45% 49% 41% 13% 84% 47% 59%  5% 46% 45%  38%
C. Deeds      44  40  48  74   7  44  34  71  34  32   31
Undec         11  11  11  13   9   9   7  24  20  23   31
 
Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     6/3    5/20
B. McDonnell 55%/36% 36%/58% 81%/10% 53%/35% 56%/34% 53%/33%
C. Deeds     47 /35  72 /12  17 /64  46 /34  41 /39  35 /36

Senate 2010

Hawaii

A Daily Kos poll; conducted 6/15-17 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/18). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 23%R, 33%I. Tested: Sen. Daniel Inouye (D) and Gov. Linda Lingle (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Asn Oth His 12/17
D. Inouye   52% 49% 55% 80%  7% 46% 48% 54% 57% 54% 53%
L. Lingle   40  44  36  12  86  45  45  38  35  37  42
Undec        8   7   9   8   7   9   7   8   8   9   5
 
Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/17
D. Inouye   56%/38% 69%/24% 30%/64% 57%/39% 58%/37%
L. Lingle   51 /43  38 /56  79 /16  49 /44  53 /41

Pennsylvania

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 6/18). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak(D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchups

A. Specter  50%                 J. Sestak   41%
P. Toomey   39                  P. Toomey   35
Other        4                  Other        7
Undec        7                  Undec       18
 
Fav/Unfav
A. Specter  53%/43%
P. Toomey   50 /35
J. Sestak   42 /32

Governor 2010

New Mexico

A Harstad Strategic Research, Inc. (D) poll; conducted 5/31-6/4 for the DGA; surveyed 613 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/18). Tested: LG Diane Denish (D), '08 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Steve Pearce (R) and '08 SEN candidate/ex-Rep. Heather Wilson (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Wht His Men Wom CD1
D. Denish   57% 50% 70% 50% 61% 53%
H. Wilson   35  41  25  41  31  40
Undec        8   9   5   9   8  na
 
-           All Wht His Men Wom
D. Denish   57% 50% 70% 53% 60%
S. Pearce   35  43  24  37  34
Undec        8   7   6  10   6