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Tuesday, June 9, 2009

Polling Update: Governor 2009 - VA; Senate 2010 - AL, FL; Governor 2010 - FL

Virginia Governor 2009

A WDBJ-TV/WJLA-TV poll; conducted 6/5-7 by Survey USA (IVR); surveyed 1,685 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.4%. Subsample of 535 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2 (release, 6/8). Party ID Breakdown: 36%D, 34%R, 27%I. Tested: ex-DNC Chair Terry McAuliffe (D), state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D), ex-Del. Brian Moran (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom Wht Blk 6/2 5/19 4/27
C. Deeds 42% 44% 40% 47% 32% 29% 26% 22%
T. McAuliffe 30 30 30 28 37 35 37 38
B. Moran 21 23 20 19 21 26 22 22
Other/undec 7 3 10 6 11 11 14 18

General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom GOP Dem Ind Wht Blk 6/2 5/19 4/27
B. McDonnell 47% 57% 37% 88% 11% 44% 53% 21% 44% 46% 44%
C. Deeds 43 35 50 7 80 42 37 67 43 40 39
Undec 11 8 13 5 10 14 10 12 13 15 17

- All Men Wom GOP Dem Ind Wht Blk 6/2 5/19 4/27
B. McDonnell 48% 58% 39% 89% 12% 48% 55% 22% 47% 46% 46%
T. McAuliffe 41 33 48 8 78 38 35 64 40 40 39
Undec 11 9 12 3 11 14 10 14 12 13 15

- All Men Wom GOP Dem Ind Wht Blk 6/2 5/19 4/27
B. McDonnell 49% 59% 40% 89% 14% 48% 56% 20% 48% 47% 46%
B. Moran 38 31 43 6 71 37 32 61 37 37 34
Undec 13 10 17 5 15 15 13 18 15 16 19


Senate 2010

Alabama

A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 6/2-5; surveyed 667 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 6/9). Party ID Breakdown: 41%R, 38%D, 21%I.

Shelby As Sen.
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
Approve 48% 53% 44% 22% 72% 50% 60% 22%
Disapprove 35 36 34 59 16 30 26 56

Sessions As Sen.
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
Approve 50% 51% 49% 25% 74% 50% 61% 24%
Disapprove 33 38 30 58 13 31 24 54



Florida


A FL Chamber of Commerce poll; conducted 5/27-29 by Public Opinion Strategies (R); surveyed 800 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 6/8).

Crist As Gov.
Approve 70%
Disapprove 24

Direction Of FL
Right dir. 36%
Wrong dir. 53


Florida Governor 2010

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/2-7; surveyed 1,245 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 6/9). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
A. Sink 38% 5% 72% 27% 37% 39%
B. McCollum 34 72 11 32 39 30
Other 1 1 1 1 1 1
Not vote 2 1 1 4 3 1
Undec 25 21 16 37 21 29

Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 1/19 11/16
B. McCollum 40%/13% 59%/ 4% 27%/21% 39%/11% 40%/14% na
A. Sink 25 / 7 16 /14 35 / 3 24 / 6 24 / 5 27%/13%

McCollum As AG
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 4/13 2/16 1/19 11/16 6/08
Approve 51% 64% 42% 51% 54% 48% 48% 48% 51% 51% 52%
Disapprove 16 7 22 16 18 14 18 17 16 17 20

Sink As CFO
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 4/13 2/16 1/19 11/16 6/08
Approve 39% 29% 49% 38% 41% 38% 33% 32% 39% 35% 33%
Disapprove 17 25 11 19 19 16 22 22 18 21 25

The Way Things Are Going In FL Today
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 4/13 2/16 1/19 11/16
Satisfied 51% 62% 45% 45% 52% 50% 46% 43% 46% 47%
Dissatisfied 48 35 53 54 46 49 53 55 54 53

FL Has Had GOP Govs. Since '98; Do You Think GOP Rule Has Been Good/Bad For FL?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
Good 50% 84% 25% 52% 52% 47%
Bad 37 4 61 35 35 38

If Sink Is Elected Gov., She Would Be FL's First Woman Gov.; Does This Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Her?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
More likely 11% 5% 22% 5% 9% 13%
Less likely 3 7 2 2 4 3
No difference 81 85 70 90 84 78

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