Polling Update: Governor 2009 - VA; Senate 2010 - CA, FL; Governor 2010 - CA, FL, TX

Governor 2009
Virginia

A Daily Kos poll; conducted 6/1-3 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/4). Party ID Breakdown: 39%D, 32%R, 29%I. Tested: ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R), ex-Del. Brian Moran (D), ex-DNC Chair Terry McAuliffe (D) and state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk His NoVA Other 5/20 4/8

C. Deeds      30% 34% 27% 35% 19% 35% 22%  34%   13%  16%

B. Moran      27  26  28  25  32  27  42   20    22   24

T. McAuliffe  26  25  27  25  29  24  28   25    36   19

Undec         17  15  18  15  20  14   8   21    29   41


General Election Matchups

-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 5/20 4/8

B. McDonnell  43% 47% 39% 15% 78% 43% 55%  7% 21% 42%  37%

B. Moran      35  32  38  63   6  30  28  59  45  35   36

Undec         22  21  23  22  16  27  17  34  34  23   27


-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 5/20 4/8

B. McDonnell  46% 50% 42% 17% 82% 47% 59%  6% 21% 44%  40%

T. McAuliffe  33  31  35  60   4  28  26  56  43  34   33

Undec         21  19  23  23  14  25  15  38  36  22   27


-            All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 5/20 4/8

B. McDonnell  46% 50% 42% 16% 82% 48% 59%  6% 20% 45%  38%

C. Deeds      34  32  36  59   6  31  27  56  45  32   31

Undec         20  18  22  25  12  21  14  38  35  23   31


Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     5/20    4/8

B. McDonnell 56%/34% 37%/54% 79%/11% 54%/33% 53%/33% 48%/41%

C. Deeds     41 /39  62 /20  15 /65  38 /40  35 /36  34 /30

B. Moran     37 /38  60 /16  13 /62  33 /41  35 /36  36 /33

T. McAuliffe 37 /43  62 /21  11 /68  32 /45  37 /40  35 /36

Senate 2010

California

A Capitol Weekly poll; conducted 5/25-29 by Probolsky Research LLC; surveyed 751 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 2/6).

Would You Say Boxer Deserves To Be Reelected,
Or Is It Time To Give Someone Else A Chance?
Reelect Boxer           31%
Time for someone else   52
Undec                   16

Florida

A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 5/29-31; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 468 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/5). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           Now 2/8

C. Crist    59% 54%

M. Rubio    22   4

Other       na  33

Undec       19   9


General Election Matchups

-           Now 2/8

C. Crist    59% 60%

K. Meek     29  26

Undec       12  14

-           Now 2/8

M. Rubio    31% 26%

K. Meek     30  24

Undec       39  50


Crist As Gov.

-          Now 2/8 11/2 10/22 10/8 9/22 8/24 6/29 1/08 12/07

Approve    62% 62% 58%  58%   57%  56%  59%  58%  60%  60%

Disapprove 34  25  32   33    35   32   30   34   33   30


Nelson As Sen.

-          Now 2/8 11/2 10/22 10/8 9/22 8/24 6/29 1/08 12/07

Approve    55% 54% 55%  54%   55%  53%  55%  54%  54%  52%

Disapprove 33  35  37   35    37   37   35   35   39   33


Martinez As Sen.

-          Now 2/8 11/2 10/22 10/8 9/22 8/24 6/29 1/08 12/07

Approve    45% 45% 47%  47%   47%  48%  48%  47%  44%  46%

Disapprove 40  40  41   40    41   40   40   41   37   40

Governor 2010

California

A Capitol Weekly poll; conducted 5/25-29 by Probolsky Research LLC; surveyed 751 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Subsamples of 294 GOPers and 371 Dems; margins of error +/- 5.7% and +/- 5.1%, respectively (release, 2/6). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), S.F. Mayor Gavin Newsom (D), L.A. Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa (D), LG John Garamendi (D), Supt. of Public Instruction Jack O'Connell (D), '06 candidate/ex-Cont. Steve Westly (D), '00 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), ex-eBay exec. Meg Whitman (R), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and Ventura Co. Supervisor Peter Foy (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              Now 1/25

J. Brown        24% 14

G. Newsom       16   9

A. Villaraigosa 15   9

J. Garamendi     7   4

J. O'Connell     5   3

S. Westly        3   1

Other           na  36

Undec           28  22



Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              Now 1/25

T. Campbell     13% 15%

M. Whitman      10  14

S. Poizner       8   4

P. Foy           1   1

Undec           65  62


Direction Of CA

-              Now 1/25

Right dir.      19% 25%

Wrong dir.      69  61

Florida

A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 5/29-31; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 468 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/5). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

B. McCollum     44%

P. Dockery      28

Undec           28

General Election Matchups

B. McCollum     41%

A. Sink         39

Undec           20



A. Sink         40%

P. Dockery      34

Undec           26

Texas

A TX Credit Union poll; conducted 4/23 and 4/25-26 by Public Opinion Strategies (R)/Hamilton Campaigns (D); surveyed 800 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 6/3).

Perry As Gov.

-          All GOP

Approve    52% 67%

Disapprove 40  25


Hutchison As Sen.

-           All GOP

Approve     66% 74%

Disapprove  18  12


Direction Of TX

Right dir.      55%

Wrong dir.      31