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Thursday, July 24, 2008

Thurs 7/24

PRESIDENTIAL

COLORADO

A Quinnipiac Univ./Wall Street Journal/washingtonpost.com poll; conducted 7/14-22; surveyed 1,425 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 7/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-           All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His Union 6/26
J. McCain 46% 87% 7% 39% 55% 39% 51% 29% 40% 44%
B. Obama 44 7 86 47 37 50 41 57 50 49
Other 3 2 1 4 3 2 2 4 4 2
Undec 7 5 5 10 5 9 6 10 6 5


Fav/Unfav
-           All     GOP     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
J. McCain 54%/30% 78%/12% 29%/52% 53%/29% 60%/28% 49%/32%
B. Obama 51 /35 21 /66 83 / 7 57 /26 45 /41 57 /29
M. Obama 30 /26 11 /47 53 / 6 31 /21 24 /31 36 /21
C. McCain 29 / 9 43 / 3 19 /16 24 / 8 30 / 7 29 /10


Regardless Of Your WH '08 Choice, Which Candidate Has The Best Program For Helping To Solve The Energy Crisis And Making The U.S. Less Dependent On Foreign Oil?

-           All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His Union
B. Obama 33% 7% 62% 36% 28% 38% 32% 40% 37%
J. McCain 33 60 6 28 40 26 35 26 25
Undec 34 34 32 35 32 35 34 34 38


Would You Rather The Next POTUS Focus On Developing New Sources Of Oil/Natural Gas/Nuclear Power That Could Be A Risk To The Enviro, Or Focus More On Wind/Solar/Biofuels That Could Take Longer To Produce Significant Amounts Of Energy?

-                   All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His Union
Wind/solar/bio 55% 36% 76% 58% 45% 65% 55% 56% 63%
Oil/gas/nuclear 36 55 18 32 47 26 37 34 33


Would You Rather The Next POTUS Focus More On Development Of New Sources Of Oil/Natural Gas, Or Focus More On Conserving Energy?

-               All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His Union
Conserving 49% 34% 64% 53% 43% 55% 49% 55% 57%
Oil/gas 44 60 32 39 49 39 44 40 39


Is A Candidate's Position On Energy Policy Or The War In Iraq More Important To Your WH '08 Choice?

-               All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His Union
Energy policy 50% 46% 51% 54% 53% 47% 52% 38% 50%
War in Iraq 39 42 39 37 38 39 37 51 41



MICHIGAN

A Quinnipiac Univ./Wall Street Journal/washingtonpost.com poll; conducted 7/14-22; surveyed 1,684 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.4% (release, 7/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup

-           All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union 6/26
B. Obama 46% 8% 84% 41% 42% 50% 40% 90% 52% 48%
J. McCain 42 85 9 44 47 38 48 4 36 42
Other 2 1 1 4 4 1 2 -- 3 1
Undec 9 6 6 11 7 11 10 7 9 8


Fav/Unfav

-           All     GOP     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Obama 54%/29% 21%/60% 79%/ 7% 55%/28% 50%/35% 58%/24%
J. McCain 53 /30 82 / 9 27 /50 59 /26 58 /29 49 /30
M. Obama 33 /17 13 /31 50 / 5 33 /18 29 /18 36 /16
C. McCain 24 / 9 37 / 1 18 /14 24 /10 26 / 9 23 / 9


Regardless Of Your WH '08 Choice, Which Candidate Has The Best Program For Helping To Solve The Energy Crisis And Making The U.S. Less Dependent On Foreign Oil?

-           All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union
B. Obama 35% 6% 60% 33% 32% 37% 30% 66% 41%
J. McCain 28 57 8 29 37 21 32 3 26
Undec 37 37 32 38 31 42 38 31 33


Would You Rather The Next POTUS Focus On Developing New Sources Of Oil/Natural Gas/Nuclear Power That Could Be A Risk To The Enviro, Or Focus More On Wind/Solar/Biofuels That Could Take Longer To Produce Significant Amounts Of Energy?


- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union
Wind/solar/bio 58% 40% 70% 60% 52% 64% 59% 54% 66%
Oil/gas/nuclear 33 51 22 33 41 27 33 33 27


Would You Rather The Next POTUS Focus More On Development Of New Sources Of Oil/Natural Gas, Or Focus More On Conserving Energy?

-               All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union
Conserving 49% 35% 56% 52% 48% 49% 49% 53% 47%
Oil/gas 44 58 38 41 45 43 44 39 48


Is A Candidate's Position On Energy Policy Or The War In Iraq More Important To Your WH '08 Choice?

-               All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Union
Energy policy 50% 48% 54% 49% 55% 46% 51% 49% 52%
War in Iraq 40 43 39 40 36 44 39 45 40


MINNESOTA

A Quinnipiac Univ./Wall Street Journal/washingtonpost.com poll; conducted 7/14-22; surveyed 1,261 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 7/24).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-           All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Union 6/26
B. Obama 46% 5% 86% 40% 42% 51% 45% 54% 54%
J. McCain 44 90 7 48 49 38 45 36 37
Other 2 1 -- 3 3 -- 2 2 1
Undec 8 4 6 9 6 10 8 8 8


Fav/Unfav

-           All     GOP     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Obama 55%/26% 30%/49% 85%/ 6% 48%/29% 53%/30% 58%/23%
J. McCain 51 /27 79 / 6 30 /51 54 /21 57 /25 45 /30
M. Obama 32 /17 15 /32 52 / 5 30 /18 26 /22 39 /13
C. McCain 21 / 8 32 / 2 14 /15 21 / 8 19 / 9 22 / 8


Regardless Of Your WH '08 Choice, Which Candidate Has The Best Program For Helping To Solve The Energy Crisis And Making The U.S. Less Dependent On Foreign Oil?

-           All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Union
B. Obama 34% 7% 58% 31% 32% 35% 33% 39%
J. McCain 26 48 5 30 32 20 27 26
Undec 40 45 36 39 36 45 41 35


Would You Rather The Next POTUS Focus On Developing New Sources Of Oil/Natural Gas/Nuclear Power That Could Be A Risk To The Enviro, Or Focus More On Wind/Solar/Biofuels That Could Take Longer To Produce Significant Amounts Of Energy?

-                   All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Union
Wind/solar/bio 61% 39% 77% 61% 54% 68% 61% 62%
Oil/gas/nuclear 31 55 17 29 37 26 31 31


Would You Rather The Next POTUS Focus More On Development Of New Sources Of Oil/Natural Gas, Or Focus More On Conserving Energy?

-               All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Union
Conserving 52% 35% 66% 54% 48% 57% 53% 59%
Oil/gas 42 59 28 40 47 36 41 35


Is A Candidate's Position On Energy Policy Or The War In Iraq More Important To Your WH '08 Choice?

-               All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Union
Energy policy 49% 53% 42% 52% 51% 46% 49% 45%
War in Iraq 41 38 48 38 39 42 41 45


This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 22, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

General Election Matchup
McCain 37%
Obama 49

NEW HAMPSHIRE

This telephone survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on July 23, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

General Election Matchup
McCain 41%
Obama 47

WISCONSIN

A Quinnipiac Univ./Wall Street Journal/washingtonpost.com poll; conducted 7/14-22; surveyed 1,094 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 7/24).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-           All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Union 6/26
B. Obama 50% 12% 86% 47% 43% 56% 48% 55% 52%
J. McCain 39 82 6 38 49 31 42 34 39
Other 1 1 1 3 1 2 2 -- 1
Undec 9 5 7 12 7 11 9 10 8


Fav/Unfav

-           All     GOP     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Obama 55%/28% 28%/58% 80%/ 5% 54%/28% 53%/33% 57%/24%
J. McCain 52 /28 83 / 8 24 /50 56 /24 62 /25 44 /31
M. Obama 31 /14 12 /30 49 / 4 30 /13 25 /15 37 /13
C. McCain 21 / 9 32 / 2 13 /18 21 / 6 21 / 8 20 / 9


Regardless Of Your WH '08 Choice, Which Candidate Has The Best Program For Helping To Solve The Energy Crisis And Making The U.S. Less Dependent On Foreign Oil?

-           All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Union
B. Obama 34% 9% 64% 30% 32% 37% 33% 39%
J. McCain 29 62 6 25 39 21 30 26
Undec 37 28 30 45 30 42 37 36


Would You Rather The Next POTUS Focus On Developing New Sources Of Oil/Natural Gas/Nuclear Power That Could Be A Risk To The Enviro, Or Focus More On Wind/Solar/Biofuels That Could Take Longer To Produce Significant Amounts Of Energy?

-                   All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Union
Wind/solar/bio 62% 49% 77% 60% 51% 73% 61% 62%
Oil/gas/nuclear 32 47 18 33 44 21 32 34


Would You Rather The Next POTUS Focus More On Development Of New Sources Of Oil/Natural Gas, Or Focus More On Conserving Energy?

-               All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Union
Conserving 54% 39% 66% 56% 52% 56% 54% 57%
Oil/gas 40 53 29 38 44 35 39 37


Is A Candidate's Position On Energy Policy Or The War In Iraq More Important To Your WH '08 Choice?

-               All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Union
Energy policy 52% 52% 46% 57% 54% 50% 53% 53%
War in Iraq 41 43 47 36 41 41 41 40


SENATE

COLORADO

A Quinnipiac Univ./Wall Street Journal/washingtonpost.com poll; conducted 7/14-22; surveyed 1,425 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 7/24). Tested: Rep. Mark Udall (D-02) and '04 candidate/CO Bd. of Ed. member/ex-Rep. Bob Schaffer (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His Union 6/26
M. Udall 44% 10% 83% 46% 37% 50% 41% 61% 49% 48%
B. Schaffer 44 82 7 38 54 35 48 32 38 38
Other 1 -- -- 1 1 -- 1 -- 1 1
Undec 11 8 9 15 8 15 11 7 11 12


MINNESOTA

A Quinnipiac Univ./Wall Street Journal/washingtonpost.com poll; conducted 7/14-22; surveyed 1,261 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 7/24). Tested: Sen. Norm Coleman (R) and entertainer Al Franken (D).

General Election Matchup
-           All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Union 6/26
N. Coleman 52% 94% 19% 55% 58% 48% 54% 44% 51%
A. Franken 38 3 73 32 35 41 37 47 41
Other 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1
Undec 8 2 7 11 5 10 7 8 6


This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 22, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

General Election Matchup
N. Coleman 44%
A. Franken 43

NEW JERSEY

A Monmouth Univ./Gannett New Jersey Poll; conducted 7/17-21; surveyed 874 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 698 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 7/24). Tested: Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D) and '96 nominee/ex-Rep. Dick Zimmer (R).
General Election Matchup

-          All LVs
F. Lautenberg 44% 45%
D. Zimmer 34 37
Other 7 6
Not vote 1 1
Undec 13 11


Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     Ind     GOP     4/08
F. Lautenberg 34%/27% 54%/ 9% 26%/33% 16%/51% 43%/30%
D. Zimmer 18 /11 12 /13 20 /10 29 / 7 9 /10


Lautenberg As Sen.

-           All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ 4/08
Approve 45% 66% 37% 22% 43% 47% 42% 44% 49% 48%
Disapprove 33 14 37 59 38 28 29 32 36 31


HOUSE

MD-01

An Arthur Finkelstein & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 7/15 for state Sen. Andy Harris (R); surveyed 300 RVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (Kurtz, Roll Call, 7/24). Tested: Harris and Queen Anne's Co. State's Atty Frank Kratovil (D).

General Election Matchup
A. Harris 44%
F. Kratovil 28
Undec 27

Fav/Unfav
A. Harris 37%/12%
F. Kratovil 14 /14

MO-09

A Momentum Analysis (D) poll; conducted 6/2-4 for state Rep. Judy Baker (D); surveyed 400 Dem LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Murray, Roll Call, 7/24). Tested: Baker, ex-state House Speaker Steve Gaw (D), ex-state Sen. Ken Jacob (D) and Marion Co. commis. Lyndon Bode (D).

Primary Election Matchup
J. Baker 20%
S. Gaw 14
K. Jacob 9
L. Bode 6

1 comment:

D.S. said...

I also believe only someone like Gaw has the integrity and experience to actually make a difference in Congress in many areas rather than being strong in one as is the case with Judy Baker. I have also been concerned about Baker's ethics. Do some of her personal clients also receive money from the Missouri government where she may be an active member of the committee that extends these monies? Maybe someone can answer for me.

 
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