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Thursday, July 24, 2008

Weds 7/23

PRESIDENTIAL
COLORADO
This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 21, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
General Election Matchup
McCain 42%
Obama 49

FLORIDA
This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 22, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
General Election Matchup
McCain 45%
Obama 46

NEW JERSEY
A Monmouth Univ./Gannett New Jersey Poll; conducted 7/17-21; surveyed 874 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 698 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 7/23). Party ID Breakdown (RVs): 42%D, 25%R, 33%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All LVs 4/28
B. Obama 48% 50% 56%
J. McCain 34 36 32
Other 3 2 1
Neither -- -- 4
Undec 14 12 7

Fav/Unfav
- All LVs Dem Ind GOP 4/28
B. Obama 56%/19% 59%/21% 73%/ 8% 53%/20% 33%/39% 58%/27%
J. McCain 48 /25 51 /27 30 /41 49 /20 83 / 9 39 /45


SENATE
COLORADO
This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 21, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
General Election Matchup
Bob Schaffer 43%
Mark Udall 47

NEW HAMPSHIRE
A Granite State Poll; conducted 7/11-20 by UNH; surveyed 475 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 7/23). Tested: ex-Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D) and Sen. John Sununu (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 4/30 2/08 9/07 7/07
J. Shaheen 46% 84% 42% 11% 35% 56% 52% 55% 54% 54%
J. Sununu 42 9 26 82 53 32 40 37 38 38
Other 1 1 4 -- 1 2 1 1 1 1
Undec 10 7 27 7 11 10 7 7 7 7

Have You Decided Who To Vote For In The Sen. Election?
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
Definitely decided 22% 24% 5% 24% 28% 17%
Leaning 6 9 2 6 6 6
Trying to decide 72 67 93 70 66 78

Fav/Unfav
- Now 4/30 2/08 9/07 7/07 4/07
J. Gregg 53%/23% 52%/27% 50%/25% 49%/26% 48%/27% 53%/23%
J. Shaheen 53 /31 56 /29 57 /23 56 /25 60 /24 na
J. Sununu 52 /33 48 /37 46 /35 40 /37 43 /35 49 /30



HOUSE
NH-01
A Granite State Poll; conducted 7/11-20 by UNH; surveyed 235 LVs; margin of error +/- 6.4% (release, 7/23). Tested: Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D), ex-Rep. Jeb Bradley (R) and ex-NH Commis. of Health/Human Services John Stephen (R).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 4/30
J. Bradley 46% 8% 40% 84% 56% 36% 45%
C. Shea-Porter 40 80 26 6 34 46 39
Other 1 1 2 -- 1 1 2
Undec 14 11 31 9 10 17 13


- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 4/30
C. Shea-Porter 42% 79% 25% 10% 36% 48% 43%
J. Stephen 36 3 30 71 48 24 35
Other 1 3 -- 1 2 1 2
Undec 21 15 45 17 14 27 20

Fav/Unfav
- Now Dem Ind GOP 4/30
J. Bradley 48%/27% 26%/49% 27%/42% 73%/ 2% 43%/23%
C. Shea-Porter 35 /32 66 / 8 25 /27 9 /59 39 /28
J. Stephen 19 /11 17 /16 18 / 7 22 / 9 19 / 9


NH-02
A Granite State Poll; conducted 7/11-20 by UNH; surveyed 240 LVs; margin of error +/- 6.3% (release, 7/23). Tested: Rep. Paul Hodes (D), state Sen. Bob Clegg (R) and radio host Jennifer Horn (R).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 4/30
P. Hodes 43% 69% 40% 15% 37% 47% 52%
J. Horn 23 3 11 48 29 19 25
Other 2 1 -- 4 2 2 2
Undec 32 27 49 33 32 32 22


- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 4/30
P. Hodes 44% 75% 36% 13% 34% 52% 51%
B. Clegg 25 4 17 50 32 19 24
Other 3 1 -- 4 2 3 2
Undec 29 20 47 33 32 27 23

Fav/Unfav
- Now Dem Ind GOP 4/30 2/08
P. Hodes 42%/16% 61%/ 8% 43%/ 7% 20%/28% 38%/18% 37%/18%
B. Clegg 14 /12 17 /13 14 /14 10 / 9 10 /12 na
J. Horn 9 / 4 6 / 4 3 / 7 13 / 4 7 / 2 na

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