Senate 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 442 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 2/22). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio.

Primary Election Matchup

-           Now 1/27 12/14 10/20 8/17
M. Rubio    54% 49%  43%   35%   31%
C. Crist    36  37   43    49    53
Other        4   3    5     4     5
Undec        7  11    9    12    11

Crist As Gov.
Fav/Unfav

-           Now     1/27    12/14   10/20   8/17
M. Rubio    67%/15% 67%/14% 64%/15% 55%/22% 53%/19%
C. Crist    54 /44  62 /37  61 /38  67 /32  75 /23

Iowa
A Des Moines Register poll; conducted 1/31-2/3 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 805 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 2/21).

Grassley As Sen.

-           Now 11/11 9/16 4/1 1/09
Approve     54% 57%   57%  66% 75%
Disapprove  28  32    30   20  12

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 2/14-19; surveyed 805 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 2/22).

Re-Elect Schumer?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Re-elect him    55% 71% 33% 48% 51% 58%
Prefer another  36  23  57  40  43  30
Undec            9   7  10  11   6  12

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/9    11/12
C. Schumer  61%/29% 80%/16% 27%/69% 57%/40% 60%/28% 60%/30%

A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 2/14-19; surveyed 805 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 377 Dems; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 2/22). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '06 TN SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Harold Ford Jr. (D), '06 candidate Jonathan Tasini (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Gov. George Pataki (R) and Daily News owner Mort Zuckerman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              All Men Wom Wht Blk His 1/14
K. Gillibrand  42% 39% 44% 50% 30% 24% 41%
H. Ford        16  21  13  15  19  17  17
J. Tasini       4   6   2   3   4   7   5
Undec          38  34  40  45  34  27  37

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18
G. Pataki      47% 30% 74% 55% 54% 40% 51%  43%  44%   46%
K. Gillibrand  41  57  16  32  36  45  38   46   45    41
Undec          13  13  10  13  10  15  11   12   12    13

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  51% 69% 25% 44% 45% 55%
B. Blakeman    24  12  49  26  32  18
Undec          25  20  26  31  23  27

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  49% 65% 24% 43% 43% 53%
M. Zuckerman   29  14  57  30  38  22
Undec          22  21  19  27  20  25

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/14
G. Pataki      48% 33% 73% 55% 56% 42% 54%
H. Ford        34  49  13  27  28  39  32
Undec          17  18  14  18  15  19  14

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
H. Ford        41% 60% 14% 32% 39% 43%
B. Blakeman    23   9  49  26  30  18
Undec          36  31  37  42  31  40

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
H. Ford        40% 59% 12% 31% 35% 43%
M. Zuckerman   26  12  56  25  35  19
Undec          34  29  33  44  30  38

Elect Gillibrand?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/14 12/9 11/12
Elect her      30% 36% 23% 27% 28% 32% 29%  30%  33%
Prefer another 40  31  55  44  47  35  45   34  38
Undec          30  33  22  28  25  33  26   35   29

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/14
G. Pataki      56%/34% 53%/38% 62%/29% 58%/33% 55%/34%
K. Gillibrand  34 /28  41 /18  21 /44  36 /30  30 /32
H. Ford        25 /19  19 /19  20 /20  22 /19  21 /16
M. Zuckerman   18 /18  17 /20  16 /16  21 /17   n/a
B. Blakeman     5 /11   5 /11   6 / 9   4 /11   n/a

Governor 2010 - Vermont

Vermont
A WCAX-TV poll; conducted 2/14-16 by Research 2000; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 2/17). Tested: State Sen. Susan Bartlett (D), Google community affairs mgr./'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Matt Dunne (D), Sec/State Deb Markowitz (D), '02 nominee/state Sen./ex-LG Doug Racine (D), '02 LG nominee/state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Peter Shumlin (D), LG Brian Dubie (R) and '00 Prog. nominee/'08 indie candidate Anthony Pollina (Prog.).

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Dubie      48% 16% 85% 55% 53% 43%
S. Bartlett   30  48   5  29  26  34
Undec         16  25   8  12  15  17

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Dubie      44% 14% 83% 48% 48% 40%
M. Dunne      36  57   6  35  33  39
Undec         20  29  11  17  19  21

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Markowitz  43% 63% 10% 45% 40% 46%
B. Dubie      41  12  82  43  45  37
Undec         16  25   8  12  15  17

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Dubie      43% 14% 83% 46% 47% 39%
D. Racine     38  59   7  37  34  42
Undec         19  27  10  17  19  19

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Dubie      45% 15% 84% 49% 49% 41%
P. Shumlin    35  55   6  34  32  38
Undec         20  30  10  17  19  21

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Dubie      44% 12% 85% 48% 48% 40%
S. Bartlett   26  48   4  19  19  33
A. Pollina    13  20   5  12  17  19
Undec         17  20   6  21  16  18

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Dubie      38%  8% 84% 38% 43% 33%
M. Dunne      31  54   5  26  26  36
A. Pollina    12  18   5  11  16   8
Undec         19  20   6  25  15  23

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Dubie      37%  8% 81% 37% 39% 35%
D. Markowitz  35  55   7  33  31  39
A. Pollina    11  12   6  14  15   7
Undec         17  25   6  16  15  19

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Dubie      38%  9% 82% 38% 41% 35%
D. Racine     32  54   6  27  28  36
A. Pollina    12  18   5  11  16   8
Undec         18  19   7  24  15  21

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Dubie      39%  9% 83% 40% 43% 35%
P. Shumlin    31  54   5  26  27  35
A. Pollina    12  18   5  11  16   8
Undec         18  19   7  23  14  22

Fav/Unfav

D. Markowitz  48%/28%
B. Dubie      46 /33
D. Racine     38 /30
A. Pollina    38 /31
M. Dunne      34 /19
P. Shumlin    33 /21
S. Bartlett   26 /11

Senate 2010

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/16-17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/18). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R), state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R), Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08) and Rep. Baron Hill (D-09).

General Election Matchups

D. Coats       46%            D. Coats       48%
B. Ellsworth   32             B. Hill        32
Other           7             Other           6
Undec          15             Undec          14

J. Hostettler  46%            J. Hostettler  49%
B. Ellsworth   27             B. Hill        31
Other           7             Other           5
Undec          19             Undec          15

M. Stutzman    40%            M. Stutzman    41%
B. Ellsworth   30             B. Hill        33
Other           9             Other           7
Undec          21             Undec          19

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     1/24
D. Coats       54%/27%  n/a
J. Hostettler  48 /22  44%/27%
B. Hill        39 /35   n/a
M. Stutzman    35 /25  31 /26
B. Ellsworth   35 /29   n/a

Kentucky
A Garin-Hart-Yang (D) poll; conducted 2/2-4 for '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D); surveyed 655 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 2/17). Tested: Mongiardo, AG Jack Conway, author/ex-Border Patrol agent Darlene Fitzgerald Price and cattle farmer/ex-Louisville NAACP pres. Maurice Sweeney.

Primary Election Matchup

D. Mongiardo         43%
J. Conway            25
D. Fitzgerald Price   2
M. Sweeney            1
Undec                29

Governor 2010

Nevada
A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 1/31 for the NV State Educ. Assn; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/16). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

General Election Matchups

R. Reid      49%
J. Gibbons   33
Undec        19
B. Sandoval  44%
R. Reid      35
Undec        21

Gibbons As Gov.

Excellent/good   20%
Only fair/poor   75

Fav/Unfav

B. Sandoval  30%/11%
R. Reid      29 /31
J. Gibbons   25 /54

Oregon
A Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Assoc. (D) poll; conducted 2/4-9 for ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D); surveyed 554 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 2/16). Tested: Kitzhaber, '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D) and Soloflex founder Jerry Wilson (D).

Primary Election Matchup

J. Kitzhaber  55%
B. Bradbury   21
J. Wilson      2
Undec         22

Fav/Unfav

J. Kitzhaber  69%/16%
B. Bradbury   54 /13

Senate 2010

Illinois
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 2/9-14 for Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/2). Tested: Giannoulias and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

-               Now 10/28 8/2
A. Giannoulias  49% 46%   45%
M. Kirk         45  43    40

Nevada
A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 1/31 for the NV State Educ. Assn; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/16).

Reid As Sen.

Excellent/good 34%
Only fair/poor 63

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 2/12-15; surveyed 788 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 2/17). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
R. Burr        44% 17% 80% 38% 51% 38% 45%  45%   44%   46%
C. Cunningham  32  56   6  26  30  33  36   36    31    27
Undec          24  27  14  36  19  28  19   20    25    27

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
R. Burr        44% 16% 80% 37% 51% 37% 46%  43%   45%   44%
K. Lewis       31  57   5  24  29  34  34   37    32    30
Undec          25  27  16  40  20  30  20   21    23    26

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
R. Burr        43% 16% 79% 38% 51% 36% 44%  42%   45%   44%
E. Marshall    33  60   6  25  31  36  37   37    34    32
Undec          23  24  16  37  18  28  18   21    21    24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
R. Burr        42% 15% 79% 35% 50% 35% 45%  42%   44%   45%
Generic Dem    35  63   5  26  33  37  36   41    40    34
Undec          23  22  16  39  17  28  20   17    16    22

Burr As Sen.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
Approve        35% 16% 57% 35% 39% 31% 36%  35%   40%   36%
Disapprove     35  50  17  35  37  33  33   37    31    35

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/18
E. Marshall    19%/10% 28%/ 8% 10%/13% 13%/10% 19%/12%
K. Lewis        7 /10   7 /10   4 /11  10 / 8   7 /10
C. Cunningham   6 / 9   8 / 9   3 / 9   7 / 7   6 / 8

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/17). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup

R. Wyden    49%
J. Huffman  35
Other        7
Undec        9

Fav/Unfav

R. Wyden    55%/36%
J. Huffman  33 /24