Senate 2010

California
A Los Angeles Times/USC College of Letters, Arts and Sciences poll; conducted 5/19-26 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)/American Viewpoint (R); surveyed 1,506 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 521 GOPers and unaffiliated voters who say they might vote in the GOP primary; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/30). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 28%R, 27%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Asseb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 3/30
C. Fiorina   38% 36% 40% 25%
T. Campbell  23  25  20  29
C. DeVore    16  17  14   9
Other         2   3   1   4
Undec        20  18  23  33

General Election Matchups (Split Samples)

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Campbell  45% 18% 79% 52% 52% 40%
B. Boxer     38  64   7  31  33  41
Other         3   2   3   3   4   2
Undec        13  15  10  14  10  16

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Boxer     46% 76% 12% 37% 45% 46%
C. DeVore    36  10  73  40  40  34
Other         6   5   5  10   5   8
Undec        10   8  10  13   8  13

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Boxer     44% 72% 11% 38% 46% 41%
C. Fiorina   38  12  76  39  39  38
Other         4   2   3   8   3   5
Undec        13  12   9  14  11  14

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/30    11/2
B. Boxer     40%/44% 64%/17% 11%/78% 34%/51% 46%/37% 49%/36%
C. Fiorina   22 /20  11 /29  39 /10  24 /18  11 /16   9 /12
T. Campbell  19 /14  12 /15  30 /12  21 /14  18 /12  17 / 8
C. DeVore    10 / 9   4 / 9  17 / 9  11 / 7   8 / 6   6 / 4

Re-Elect Boxer?

-                        All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Definitely re-elect her  18% 33%  3% 13% 18% 19%
Probably re-elect her    16  27   5  13  15  17
Probably someone else    13  11  17  13  13  11
Definitely someone else  36  10  67  41  47  38
Depends                   4   4   2   5   3   3
Undec                    12  14   6  14   7  10

Do You Want A Sen. Who Will Mostly Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?

-        All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Support  54% 86% 17% 46% 50% 58%
Oppose   35   5  75  39  41  29

Have You Seen Or Heard Any Radio Or TV Ads For Any SEN Or GOV Candidates?

-    All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes  77% 73% 84% 77% 79% 75%
No   21  25  14  21  20  23

Connecticut
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/28). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R) and ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom
L. McMahon     48% 54% 42%
R. Simmons     44  39  49
Undec           8   7   9

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/13
R. Blumenthal  52% 80%  9% 51% 49% 55% 56%
L. McMahon     33   7  77  32  37  29  34
Undec          15  13  14  17  14  16  10

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/13
R. Blumenthal  52% 79%  7% 48% 47% 53% 54%
R. Simmons     37   9  81  38  41  33  35
Undec          13  12  12  14  12  14  11

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/10
R. Blumenthal  53%/35% 77%/12% 16%/71% 52%/36%  n/a
R. Simmons     42 /35  20 /55  76 /10  43 /31  43%/17%
L. McMahon     31 /37   9 /53  69 /12  30 /36   n/a

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-              All     Men     Wom
L. McMahon     64%/12% 69%/10% 59%/14%
R. Simmons     62 /22  59 /26  65 /18

Iowa
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 406 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/1). Tested: '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D), atty/ex-state Sen. Tom Fiegen (D) and ex-state Rep. Bob Krause (D).

Primary Election Matchup

-          All Men Wom
R. Conlin  48% 46% 49%
B. Krause  13  13  13
T. Fiegen   8  11   5
Undec      31  29  32

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Men     Wom
R. Conlin  38%/15% 44%/17% 34%/14%
T. Fiegen  12 /16  14 /21  10 /12
B. Krause  11 /18  14 /26   9 /13

Kentucky
A Louisville Courier-Journal/WHAS-TV poll; conducted 5/25-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 569 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 5/28). Party ID breakdown: 54%D, 40%R, 5%I. Tested: AG Jack Conway (D) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

General Election Matchup

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/2 8/17
R. Paul    51% 29% 82% 47% 54% 48% 39%  38%
J. Conway  45  68  16  34  44  46  44   43
Undec       4   3   3  19   2   6  17   19

New Hampshire
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 505 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: AG Kelly Ayotte (R), businessman Jim Bender (R), businessman Bill Binnie (R) and '96 GOV nominee/atty/ex-NH Bd. of Ed. chair Ovide Lamontagne (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom 2/4
K. Ayotte      38% 36% 39% 37%
B. Binnie      29  31  28  23
O. Lamontagne   9  11   8  12
J. Bender       4   5   4  n/a
Undec          16  13  17  28

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     2/4
K. Ayotte      57%/16% 49%/11%
B. Binnie      52 /14  38 / 9
J. Bender      20 /15   n/a
O. Lamontagne  20 /17  26 /10