A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/12-14 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/15). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), AR Tea Party org. pres. Tom Cox (R) and state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R). (Ed. note: Daily Kos has endorsed Halter and is encouraging its readers to support his campaign.)
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom Wht Blk 3/24 12/2
B. Lincoln 45% 48% 42% 48% 30% 44% 42%
B. Halter 33 29 37 32 35 31 26
Other 6 9 3 7 1 n/a n/a
Undec 16 14 18 13 34 25 32
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2 9/10
G. Baker 48% 16% 84% 50% 52% 44% 49% 41% 37%
B. Lincoln 41 75 6 36 36 46 41 42 44
Undec 11 9 10 14 12 10 10 17 19
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24
J. Boozman 50% 18% 85% 53% 56% 44% 49%
B. Lincoln 43 78 7 38 38 48 42
Undec 7 4 8 9 6 8 9
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2 9/10
C. Coleman 46% 13% 82% 49% 51% 41% 47% 39% 37%
B. Lincoln 43 78 5 39 38 48 44 44 45
Undec 11 9 13 12 11 11 9 17 18
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2 9/10
T. Cox 46% 11% 84% 49% 50% 42% 47% 31% 29%
B. Lincoln 43 78 5 39 38 38 43 45 46
Undec 11 11 11 12 12 10 10 24 25
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2 9/10
K. Hendren 49% 17% 84% 52% 53% 45% 48% 30% 28%
B. Lincoln 42 77 6 36 39 45 43 46 47
Undec 9 6 10 12 8 10 9 24 25
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2
G. Baker 45% 10% 83% 48% 50% 40% 46% 42%
B. Halter 43 78 7 38 39 47 44 34
Undec 12 12 10 14 11 13 10 24
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24
J. Boozman 48% 15% 84% 50% 53% 43% 48%
B. Halter 41 76 5 37 37 45 40
Undec 11 9 11 13 10 12 12
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2
B. Halter 44% 82% 5% 39% 39% 49% 45% 35%
C. Coleman 43 7 82 46 49 37 44 40
Undec 13 11 13 15 12 14 11 25
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2
B. Halter 44% 81% 5% 40% 40% 48% 45% 36%
T. Cox 43 8 81 45 50 36 43 32
Undec 13 11 14 15 10 16 12 32
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2
K. Hendren 46% 12% 845 50% 50% 42% 45% 31%
B. Halter 43 78 6 38 39 47 44 36
Undec 11 10 10 12 11 11 11 33
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 3/24 12/2
B. Halter 47%/30% 69%/11% n/a 46%/30% 46%/27% 36%/25%
J. Boozman 45 /31 17 /52 77 / 9 45 /29 44 /30 n/a
B. Lincoln 43 /53 65 /31 20 /74 41 /57 42 /52 41 /50
G. Baker 37 /30 15 /50 64 / 8 36 /27 36 /28 31 /25
K. Hendren 36 /28 14 /48 63 / 7 35 /26 34 /27 30 /24
C. Coleman 35 /30 15 /50 60 / 9 33 /27 34 /29 29 /24
T. Cox 33 /25 12 /43 57 / 7 33 /22 32 /26 28 /23
Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 4/13-14 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 4/16). Party ID breakdown: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), Tea Party candidate/businessman Scott Ashjian, Navy vet/aircraft engineer/businessman Tim Fasano (IAP), Michael Harris (I), Jesse Holland (I), Jeffrey Reeves (I) and Will Stand (I). (Ed. note: The NV Sec/State's office reports that a "Michael Haines" has filed for an indie bid, but not a "Michael Harris," as appears in the poll.)
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/7
S. Lowden 47% 15% 84% 49% 52% 42% 46%
H. Reid 37 70 4 27 30 44 38
T. Fasano 3 2 2 6 4 2 n/a
S. Ashjian 2 2 2 3 2 2 5
M. Harris -- -- -- -- -- -- n/a
J. Holland -- -- -- -- -- -- n/a
J. Reaves -- -- -- -- -- -- n/a
W. Stand -- -- -- -- -- -- n/a
None 3 3 1 5 5 1 n/a
Undec 8 8 7 10 7 9 11
Fav/Unfav
- Now 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8
S. Lowden 45%/23% 40%/24% 36%/17% 32%/17% 33%/13% 31%/15%
H. Reid 33 /54 34 /56 33 /51 33 /52 38 /49 38 /50
T. Fasano 5 /11 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
M. Harris 3/ 1 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
S. Ashjian 2 /19 1 /13 n/a n/a n/a n/a
J. Reaves 2 / 2 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
J. Holland 1 / 3 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
W. Stand 1 / 2 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
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