A Talk Business poll; conducted 4/13 by Zata3 (D) (IVR); surveyed 1,167 Dems and 1,357 GOPers; margins of error +/- 2.9% and 2.7%, respectively (releases, 4/14-15). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), farm loan originator D.C. Morrison (D), Univ. of AR housing dir. Randy Alexander (R), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Food Corp. CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R), '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R), businessman Fred Ramey (R) and ret. Army Col./ind. security contractor Conrad Reynolds (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
B. Lincoln 38%
B. Halter 31
D.C. Morrison 10
Undec 20
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
J. Boozman 46%
G. Baker 14
J. Holt 8
C. Coleman 5
C. Reynolds 3
K. Hendren 3
R. Alexander 3
F. Ramey 1
Undec 17
A Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 4/5-7 for Lincoln; surveyed 650 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 4/14). Tested: Lincoln, Halter and Morrison.
Primary Election Matchups
B. Lincoln 53%
B. Halter 35
D.C. Morrison 4
Undec 8
B. Lincoln 54%
B. Halter 40
Undec 6
Fav/Unfav
B. Lincoln 57%/38%
B. Halter 51 /28
Florida
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/8-13; surveyed 1,250 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 497 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/15). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17). (Note: Crist was tested as an indie in the three-way general election matchup.)
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7
M. Rubio 56% 63% 49% 47% 35% 26% 23%
C. Crist 33 28 39 44 50 55 54
Other 1 1 -- -- 1 1 1
Not vote -- 1 -- -- 1 1 1
Undec 10 7 12 8 12 18 21
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18
C. Crist 48% 27% 75% 49% 51% 46% 48% 51%
K. Meek 34 63 9 26 30 36 36 31
Other 2 -- 2 3 2 1 1 1
Not vote 3 1 3 4 3 3 3 2
Undec 14 10 12 17 14 13 12 14
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18
M. Rubio 42% 8% 82% 43% 48% 36% 44% 33%
K. Meek 38 76 4 32 33 43 35 36
Other 1 1 -- 2 1 1 1 2
Not vote 1 2 -- 1 1 1 2 2
Undec 17 14 13 22 16 19 19 28
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Crist 32% 27% 30% 38% 30% 34%
M. Rubio 30 5 64 29 36 25
K. Meek 24 55 -- 15 21 27
Other -- -- -- 1 1 --
Not vote 1 -- -- 1 1 --
Undec 13 12 6 16 11 14
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 1/24 10/18
C. Crist 48%/35% 50%/30% 49%/42% 48%/33% 52%/36% 58%/30%
M. Rubio 36 /22 13 /34 67 / 7 32 /21 32 /14 24 /11
K. Meek 18 / 8 34 / 4 5 /17 15 / 7 18 / 8 20 / 8
Crist As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7 4/09
Approve 49% 52% 49% 50% 52% 47% 50% 59% 60% 62% 66%
Disapprove 39 37 42 37 39 39 38 31 30 28 23
Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign? (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 1/24
M. Rubio 54% 59% 48% 43%
C. Crist 30 29 31 42
No diff 6 8 4 5
Undec 11 5 17 10
Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values? (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 1/24
M. Rubio 56% 60% 51% 45%
C. Crist 32 32 32 40
No diff 2 2 1 2
Undec 11 6 16 13
Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You See As More Consistently Conservative? (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 1/24
M. Rubio 59% 68% 49% 48%
C. Crist 27 22 32 34
No diff 1 1 -- 1
Undec 14 8 19 17
North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 4/8-11; surveyed 742 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 4/14). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 35%R, 17%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr 43% 14% 80% 45% 53% 35% 43% 44% 45% 45%
C. Cunningham 35 62 7 18 33 37 32 32 36 36
Undec 22 23 13 37 15 28 25 24 19 20
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr 43% 14% 82% 42% 54% 34% 43% 44% 46% 43%
K. Lewis 35 62 6 21 35 35 32 31 34 37
Undec 22 24 13 37 11 31 25 25 20 21
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr 43% 15% 82% 43% 54% 35% 41% 43% 44% 42%
E. Marshall 37 66 4 23 32 35 36 33 37 37
Undec 20 19 14 34 14 24 23 23 18 21
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr 43% 14% 83% 41% 52% 35% 41% 42% 45% 42%
Generic Dem 38 69 2 24 34 41 39 35 36 41
Undec 19 17 15 35 14 24 20 23 20 17
Burr As Sen.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
Approve 32% 15% 57% 31% 45% 23% 35% 35% 36% 35%
Disapprove 41 58 18 43 42 41 37 35 33 37
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 3/15
E. Marshall 19%/11% 29%/ 9% 7%/13% 16%/14% 17%/12%
K. Lewis 7 /10 9 /12 3 / 7 8 /19 5 / 9
C. Cunningham 5 / 8 7 / 9 4 / 6 4 / 8 4 /10
Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/8; surveyed 620 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 4/15). Tested: Sen. Bob Bennett, '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater, ex-Rep. Merrill Cook, WebsTarget marketing VP Cherilyn Eagar and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee.
Primary Election Matchup
B. Bennett 37%
M. Lee 14
T. Bridgewater 14
M. Cook 6
C. Eagar 4
Other 3
Undec 21
Fav/Unfav
B. Bennett 52%/43%
M. Lee 38 /14
T. Bridgewater 36 /16
M. Cook 26 /53
C. Eagar 25 /21
Obama As POTUS
Approve 9%
Disapprove 91
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