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Wednesday, April 7, 2010

Senate 2010

Illinois
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/1-5; surveyed 591 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/6). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 30%R, 28%I. Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/25 4/09
M. Kirk 37% 10% 77% 33% 43% 31% 34% 35%
A. Giannoulias 33 54 7 30 34 32 42 35
Undec 30 36 16 37 23 37 24 29

Fav/Unfav
-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/25
M. Kirk 24%/23% 8%/33% 44%/13% 25%/19% 27%/22%
A. Giannoulias 21 /28 28 /14 9 /48 24 /27 31 /19

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/31-4/5; surveyed 921 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 4/7). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup
-                       RVs--------------------->
- All Men Wom 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19 5/26
A. Specter 53% 53% 53% 53% 53% 44% 55% 50%
J. Sestak 32 37 28 29 30 25 23 21
Other -- -- 1 2 1 2 1 1
Not vote -- -- -- 2 1 1 2 2
Undec 15 10 18 14 15 28 19 27

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Men     Wom
A. Specter 60%/26% 60%/29% 60%/24%
J. Sestak 33 / 6 37 / 7 31 / 5

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?
-               All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
A. Specter 43% 42% 43% 53%
J. Sestak 26 34 22 25
No difference 6 7 6 4
Undec 25 18 29 17

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?
-               All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
A. Specter 42% 41% 43% 48%
J. Sestak 26 32 22 29
No difference 4 5 4 2
Undec 27 21 31 20

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You See As More Consistently Liberal?
-               All Men Wom
A. Specter 35% 37% 34%
J. Sestak 26 31 23
No difference 2 2 3
Undec 36 30 41

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Think Would Be More Likely To Win The Nov. General Election If Nominated?
-               All Men Wom
A. Specter 58% 59% 57%
J. Sestak 21 26 18
No difference 1 1 1
Undec 20 14 24

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