A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/25). Party ID breakdown: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), AR Tea Party org. pres. Tom Cox (R) and state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom Wht Blk 12/2
B. Lincoln 44% 48% 42% 47% 30% 42%
B. Halter 31 28 33 31 30 26
Undec 25 24 25 22 40 32
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2 9/10
G. Baker 49% 17% 85% 51% 53% 45% 41% 37%
B. Lincoln 41 76 5 36 37 45 42 44
Undec 10 7 10 13 10 10 17 19
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Boozman 49% 17% 84% 52% 54% 44%
B. Lincoln 42 77 6 37 38 46
Undec 9 6 10 11 8 10
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2 9/10
C. Coleman 47% 14% 83% 50% 52% 42% 39% 37%
B. Lincoln 44 79 6 40 40 48 44 45
Undec 9 7 11 10 8 10 17 18
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2 9/10
T. Cox 47% 13% 84% 50% 51% 43% 31% 29%
B. Lincoln 43 78 5 39 39 47 45 46
Undec 10 9 11 11 10 10 24 25
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2 9/10
K. Hendren 48% 16% 83% 51% 52% 44% 30% 28%
B. Lincoln 43 78 6 38 40 46 46 47
Undec 9 6 11 11 8 10 24 25
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2
G. Baker 46% 11% 83% 50% 51% 41% 42%
B. Halter 44 80 7 39 39 49 34
Undec 10 9 10 11 10 10 24
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Boozman 48% 15% 84% 51% 52% 44%
B. Halter 40 74 5 36 37 43
Undec 12 11 11 13 11 13
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2
B. Halter 45% 82% 7% 40% 40% 50% 35%
C. Coleman 44 9 82 47 49 39 40
Undec 11 9 11 13 11 11 25
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2
B. Halter 45% 82% 7% 40% 40% 50% 36%
T. Cox 43 8 81 46 49 37 32
Undec 12 10 12 14 11 13 32
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2
K. Hendren 45% 12% 82% 49% 50% 40% 31%
B. Halter 44 79 7 39 40 48 36
Undec 11 9 11 12 10 12 33
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 12/2 9/10
B. Halter 46%/27% 68%/10% 21%/48% 45%/26% 36%/25% n/a
J. Boozman 44 /30 18 /50 75 / 9 43 /28 n/a n/a
B. Lincoln 42 /52 62 /34 21 /69 40 /56 41 /50 43%/49%
G. Baker 36 /28 16 /47 61 / 9 35 /25 31 /25 14 /13
K. Hendren 34 /27 13 /46 60 / 7 33 /25 30 /24 6 / 9
C. Coleman 34 /29 15 /48 58 / 9 32 /26 29 /24 12 /13
T. Cox 32 /26 11 /45 56 / 7 32 /23 28 /23 8 / 7
North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/26). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).
General Election Matchup
- Now 2/10
J. Hoeven 68% 71%
T. Potter 25 17
Other 2 4
Undec 5 8
Fav/Unfav
- Now 2/10 12/15
J. Hoeven 83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter 40 /29 37 /32 n/a
Washington
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/25). Party ID breakdown: 35%D, 26%R, 39%I. Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-WA GOP chair Don Benton (R), Rep. Dave Reichert (R-08) and 04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. Murray 55% 86% 9% 57% 50% 60% 54% 57% 58% 46%
P. Akers 28 7 62 25 32 24 29 27 25 34
Undec 17 7 29 18 18 16 17 16 17 20
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. Murray 54% 85% 8% 56% 48% 60% 54% 55% 58% 45%
D. Benton 35 7 77 33 40 30 36 35 31 41
Undec 11 8 15 11 12 10 10 10 11 14
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. Murray 51% 83% 8% 51% 47% 55% 49% 52% 54% 43%
D. Reichert 43 12 83 44 48 38 46 42 39 51
Undec 6 5 9 5 5 7 5 6 7 6
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. Murray 52% 84% 7% 53% 47% 57% 50% 53% 56% 43%
D. Rossi 41 10 84 41 47 35 44 40 37 49
Undec 7 6 9 6 6 8 6 7 7 8
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray 52%/41% 76%/19% 22%/71% 51%/40% 47%/47% 57%/35%
D. Rossi 47 /47 24 /70 80 /13 46 /49 53 /43 41 /51
D. Reichert 41 /33 23 /50 66 /10 40 /34 46 /30 36 /36
D. Benton 23 /35 9 /46 48 /14 20 /39 24 /33 22 /37
P. Akers 17 / 9 8 /14 32 / 5 15 / 7 19 / 8 15 /10
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