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Thursday, March 25, 2010

Senate 2010

California
A Public Policy Institute Of CA poll; conducted 3/9-16; surveyed 1,102 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsample of 410 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 3/25). Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom 1/19
C. Fiorina 24% 25% 24% 16%
T. Campbell 23 28 19 27
C. DeVore 8 10 7 8
Other 1 1 2 1
Undec 44 36 48 48

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/19
T. Campbell 44% 10% 81% 48% 51% 38% 41%
B. Boxer 43 79 8 32 36 50 45
Undec 13 11 11 20 13 12 14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/19
B. Boxer 46% 79% 11% 41% 39% 53% 47%
C. DeVore 40 9 78 35 47 34 39
Undec 14 12 11 24 14 13 14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/19
B. Boxer 44% 79% 8% 35% 36% 51% 48%
C. Fiorina 43 9 82 41 49 37 40
Undec 13 12 10 24 15 12 12

In General, Would You Say Your Are Satisfied/Not Satisfied With Your Choice Of Candidates In The 6/8 Primary?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Satisfied 55% 63% 53% 46% 55% 54%
Not satisfied 28 24 27 38 30 27

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/24). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 2/23 1/27
R. Burr 51% 51% 50%
C. Cunningham 32 29 34
Other 7 6 5
Undec 11 14 11

-              Now 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr 51% 50% 47% 48%
E. Marshall 35 34 37 38
Other 6 4 6 3
Undec 8 12 10 11

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     2/23    1/27    9/15
R. Burr 60%/26% 60%/28% 56%/32% 58%/26%
E. Marshall 38 /39 44 /32 41 /36 37 /34
C. Cunningham 29 /32 34 /34 34 /29 n/a

Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/20-21; surveyed 630 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 3/23). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 39%R, 19%I. Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman 38% 12% 67% 37% 41% 35%
J. Brunner 37 68 10 25 36 39
Undec 24 20 22 38 23 26

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman 41% 9% 77% 37% 46% 37%
L. Fisher 36 67 8 25 34 38
Undec 23 24 15 38 20 26

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
L. Fisher 22%/24% 33%/15% 13%/30% 15%/28% 23%/29% 20%/19%
R. Portman 16 /19 10 /25 24 /10 12 /23 17 /25 15 /13
J. Brunner 15 /22 24 /16 8 /29 12 /23 16 /28 15 /17

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