A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/11). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).
Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
M. Whitman 52% 49% 55%
S. Poizner 19 23 15
Undec 29 28 30
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12
J. Brown 45% 76% 7% 41% 41% 49% 42%
M. Whitman 41 10 83 40 47 35 36
Undec 14 14 10 19 12 16 22
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12
J. Brown 48% 79% 8% 46% 44% 52% 43%
S. Poizner 33 5 73 30 39 27 34
Undec 19 16 19 24 17 21 23
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 8/12
J. Brown 52%/40% 80%/15% 16%/77% 50%/37% 48%/37%
M. Whitman 51 /35 29 /55 79 /11 53 /32 41 /30
S. Poizner 37 /40 17 /55 64 /21 37 /40 35 /27
Minnesota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/10; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/11). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), state Sen. Tom Bakk (D) ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Rukavina (D), Minneapolis Mayor R.T. Rybak (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R), state House Min. Leader Marty Seifert (R) and PR exec Tom Horner (IP).
General Election Matchups
T. Emmer 37% M. Seifert 39%
M. Anderson Kelliher 34 M. Anderson Kelliher 35
T. Horner 10 T. Horner 8
Undec 18 Undec 19
T. Emmer 36% M. Seifert 37%
T. Bakk 29 T. Bakk 30
T. Horner 8 T. Horner 9
Undec 27 Undec 24
M. Dayton 38% M. Seifert 39%
T. Emmer 35 M. Dayton 38
T. Horner 7 T. Horner 7
Undec 20 Undec 16
T. Emmer 37% M. Seifert 38%
M. Entenza 28 M. Entenza 30
T. Horner 8 T. Horner 9
Undec 26 Undec 23
T. Emmer 38% M. Seifert 39%
T. Rukavina 29 T. Rukavina 30
T. Horner 7 T. Horner 9
Undec 25 Undec 22
R.T. Rybak 38% M. Seifert 38%
T. Emmer 35 R.T. Rybak 38
T. Horner 9 T. Horner 8
Undec 18 Undec 16
Fav/Unfav
R.T. Rybak 49%/37%
M. Dayton 44 /45
M. Seifert 41 /33
M. Anderson Kelliher 39 /41
T. Emmer 38 /26
T. Bakk 27 /22
T. Rukavina 27 /27
M. Entenza 27 /31
Pennsylvania
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/12). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 14%I. Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Tony Williams (D) and AG Tom Corbett (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom
D. Onorato 19% 17% 21%
J. Hoeffel 12 14 10
J. Wagner 10 11 9
T. Williams 3 3 3
Undec 56 55 57
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett 41% 8% 81% 39% 46% 36%
J. Hoeffel 31 56 5 23 28 34
Undec 28 36 14 38 26 30
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett 40% 8% 79% 39% 44% 36%
D. Onorato 34 61 5 27 31 37
Undec 26 31 16 34 25 27
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett 41% 8% 80% 41% 45% 37%
J. Wagner 32 57 5 25 29 35
Undec 27 35 15 34 26 28
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett 47% 13% 84% 55% 53% 41%
T. Williams 19 33 3 18 16 22
Undec 34 54 13 27 31 37
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett 39%/12% 10%/18% 76%/ 5% 32%/10% 43%/10% 35%/14%
D. Onorato 32 /15 47 / 8 14 /24 32 /14 30 /18 34 /12
J. Wagner 30 /14 47 / 6 11 /23 30 /13 28 /17 32 /11
J. Hoeffel 29 /15 44 / 8 11 /24 29 /13 27 /18 31 /12
T. Williams 9 / 3 12 / 2 5 / 5 8 / 2 9 / 4 9 / 2
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