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Monday, March 8, 2010

Governor 2010

Maryland
A Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) poll; conducted 2/10-13 for Gov. Martin O'Malley (D); surveyed 604 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Wagner, "Maryland Politics," Washington Post, 3/5). Tested: O'Malley and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom
M. O'Malley 51% 47% 53%
B. Ehrlich 41 45 38

Nebraska
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/5). Tested: Gov. Dave Heineman (R) and agribusiness investment exec. Mark Lakers (D).

General Election Matchup
D. Heineman  61%
M. Lakers 23
Other 2
Undec 14

Heineman As Gov.
Approve      69%
Disapprove 29

Fav/Unfav
D. Heineman  71%/27%
M. Lakers 30 /24

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/7). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

General Election Matchups
-             Now 2/3
R. Reid 44% 44%
J. Gibbons 36 35
Other 15 13
Undec 4 8

-             Now 2/3
M. Montandon 42% 36%
R. Reid 37 40
Other 13 14
Undec 8 10

-             Now 2/3
B. Sandoval 53% 45%
R. Reid 35 33
Other 7 11
Undec 5 12

Gibbons As Gov.
-             Now 2/2 1/11 12/9
Approve 37% 39% 35% 35%
Disapprove 61 59 63 61

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     2/3
B. Sandoval 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid 43 /48 40 /52
M. Montandon 39 /30 39 /29
J. Gibbons 33 /61 35 /63

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 3/7; surveyed 712 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 3/8). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

General Election Matchup
-         All Dem GOP Ind 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17
A. Cuomo 63% 83% 37% 55% 63% 66% 68% 67% 66% 64%
R. Lazio 25 9 56 26 26 24 22 22 21 18
Undec 11 8 6 20 11 10 10 11 14 18

Fav/Unfav
-         All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/19    1/14
A. Cuomo 63%/25% 68%/19% 57%/33% 62%/29% 66%/21% 67%/21%
R. Lazio 30 /29 20 /39 43 /21 36 /23 31 /26 27 /30

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?
-              All Dem GOP Ind 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18
For GOV 58% 68% 48% 49% 51% 53% 50% 52% 49%
Reelect as AG 29 24 37 33 33 30 31 28 36

Should Cuomo Publicly Declare Now Whether He's Running For AG Or For GOV, Or Does He Have Time To Wait Several Months Before Publicly Announcing?
-              All Dem GOP Ind 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
Declare now 38% 40% 38% 36% 41% 37% 35% 33%
Time to wait 52 53 53 53 43 49 51 52

Paterson Asked Cuomo To Conduct An Investigation To Determine If The Gov. Or Any Of His Staff Acted Illegally Or Unethically In Dealing With A Domestic Violence Charge Leveled Against A Top Aide To The Gov. By That Aide's Then-Girlfriend. Do You Think Cuomo's Investigation Will Be Conducted Fairly And Impartially, Or Do You Think It Will Be Unduly Influenced By Political Concerns?
-                              All Dem GOP Ind
Fair/impartial 57% 59% 60% 51%
Unduly influenced by politics 38 37 37 44

Do You Think This Investigation Of Paterson And His Staff Is Best Conducted By Cuomo, Or Do You Think It Would Be Better If It Was Conducted By An Independent, Outside Prosecutor?
-                      All Dem GOP Ind
Outside prosecutor 68% 68% 67% 70%
A. Cuomo 27 28 28 24

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/8). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup
-              Now 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich 49% 47% 47% 48% 46%
T. Strickland 38 41 40 39 45
Other 6 5 4 3 3
Undec 7 8 8 11 7

Strickland As Gov.
-              Now 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve 43% 46% 43% 48% 47%
Disapprove 53 53 54 50 50

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     2/6     12/7    9/23
J. Kasich 48%/29% 47%/30% 45%/24% 47%/25%
T. Strickland 46 /48 44 /51 46 /46 48 /46

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