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Friday, February 26, 2010

House 2010

FL-25
A Hill Research (R) poll; conducted 2/21-22; surveyed 300 GOP voters; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 2/24).

Fav/Unfav
A. Diaz de la Portilla  39%/ 9%
J. Martinez 34 /17
D. Rivera 24 / 5
C. Curbelo 11 / 5
C. Gimenez 11 / 5
M. Pizzi 10 / 3

NM-01
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18-20; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 2/25). Party ID breakdown: 52%D, 31%R, 17%I. Tested: Rep. Martin Heinrich (D) and atty Jon Barela (R).

General Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
M. Heinrich 45% 73% 6% 31% 42% 48% 41% 50% 50% 45%
J. Barela 36 11 74 44 44 29 39 17 33 38
Undec 19 16 21 25 14 23 20 33 17 17

Heinrich As Rep.
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve 40% 60% 12% 29% 39% 41% 38% -- 45% 34%
Disapprove 38 16 66 51 48 28 42 17 33 45

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
J. Barela 13%/15% 13%/16% 16%/11% 8%/18% 17%/21% 9%/ 9%

Obama As POTUS
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve 47% 75% 12% 28% 42% 52% 41% 67% 54% 45%
Disapprove 47 17 86 63 51 43 55 17 40 38

NM-02
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18-20; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 2/25). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 40%R, 13%I. Tested: Rep. Harry Teague (D) and '08 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Steve Pearce (R).

General Election Matchup
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
S. Pearce 43% 18% 72% 51% 43% 44% 63% 40% 23% 58%
H. Teague 41 64 14 41 47 35 27 40 58 23
Undec 16 19 14 9 10 21 11 20 20 19

Teague As Rep.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve 41% 54% 26% 41% 40% 42% 31% 60% 52% 35%
Disapprove 36 24 50 41 41 32 49 40 24 32

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
S. Pearce 43%/31% 26%/46% 66%/14% 34%/32% 40%/33% 45%/30%

Obama As POTUS
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve 44% 72% 14% 33% 43% 45% 24% 60% 65% 26%
Disapprove 49 20 82 57 50 49 71 40 26 71

NM-03
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18-20; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 2/25). Party ID breakdown: 54%D, 33%R, Tested: Rep. Ben Ray Luján (D), Iraq vet/anti-war activist Adam Kokesh (R) and engineer Tom Mullins (R).

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
B. Luján 39% 64% 5% 26% 35% 42% 34% 31% 49% 41%
A. Kokesh 33 12 72 19 37 29 38 -- 26 24
Undec 28 24 23 55 27 29 27 69 25 35

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
B. Luján 40% 66% 4% 34% 37% 44% 36% 59% 49% 45%
T. Mullins 38 14 81 29 45 33 44 31 28 35
Undec 21 21 15 36 18 24 21 10 23 20

Luján As Rep.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve 29% 47% 4% 22% 26% 32% 26% 14% 34% 39%
Disapprove 42 24 71 42 48 38 45 72 38 31

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
T. Mullins 10%/ 9% 5%/10% 17%/ 8% 13%/10% 11%/ 8% 10%/10%
A. Kokesh 5 /18 5 /20 4 /15 6 /17 5 /21 4 /15

Obama As POTUS
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve 45% 73% 5% 35% 44% 46% 41% 45% 48% 61%
Disapprove 47 17 91 54 50 44 52 41 39 39

SD-AL
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/25). Tested: Tested: Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D), state Sen. Blake Curd (R), Sec/State Chris Nelson (R) and state Rep. Kristi Noem (R).

General Election Matchups
S. Herseth Sandlin  51%
B. Curd 33
Other 5
Undec 12

S. Herseth Sandlin  45%
C. Nelson 38
Other 6
Undec 11

S. Herseth Sandlin  49%
K. Noem 34
Other 4
Undec 13

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