A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 7/14-19; surveyed 1,173 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsamples of 511 GOPers and 512 Dems; margin of error for each +/- 4.3% (release, 7/22). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07), '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R) and '90 GOV candidate/'94/'98 Const. Party GOV nominee Margaret "Peg" Luksik (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom 5/26
A. Specter 55% 54% 56% 50%
J. Sestak 23 26 21 21
Other 1 1 1 1
Not vote 2 1 2 2
Undec 19 18 20 27
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 5/26
P. Toomey 47% 57% 34% 38%
P. Luksik 6 4 7 3
Other -- 1 -- 10
Not vote 3 3 2 2
Undec 45 35 56 47
General Election Matchups
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/26 5/3
A. Specter 45% 11% 79% 42% 39% 50% 46% 53%
P. Toomey 44 82 11 46 52 37 37 33
Other -- -- -- -- 1 -- 1 2
Not vote -- -- 1 -- -- -- 3 1
Undec 10 7 9 12 7 13 14 10
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/26
P. Toomey 39% 76% 9% 41% 49% 30% 35%
J. Sestak 35 7 67 28 32 38 37
Other 1 1 -- 1 2 -- 1
Not vote 1 1 1 -- 1 1 3
Undec 23 16 23 30 16 30 23
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
A. Specter 47% 12% 80% 43% 41% 52%
P. Luksik 40 75 10 42 48 33
Other -- -- -- -- -- --
Not vote 1 1 1 -- 1 1
Undec 12 11 9 15 10 14
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
J. Sestak 39% 9% 72% 33% 38% 40%
P. Luksik 30 62 5 30 35 26
Other 1 1 -- 1 1 1
Not vote 1 2 1 1 1 2
Undec 29 27 22 35 26 31
Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 5/26 5/3
A. Specter 45%/44% 17%/75% 73%/16% 41%/46% 46%/39% 52%/34%
P. Toomey 34 /10 60 / 2 14 /18 31 / 9 27 /11 20 /13
J. Sestak 23 / 7 13 / 9 30 / 3 26 /11 18 / 5 na
P. Luksik 13 / 5 20 / 2 5 / 6 16 / 6 6 / 4 na
Does Specter Deserve To Be Reelected?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/26 5/3 3/23 2/9
Yes, deserves 40% 15% 66% 35% 36% 44% 42% 49% 38% 40%
No, does not 49 78 23 53 58 42 43 41 41 43
Undec 11 7 11 12 6 14 15 10 20 17
Specter As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/26 5/3 3/23 2/9 11/26
Approve 47% 18% 75% 46% 42% 52% 51% 56% 52% 56% 62%
Disapprove 46 76 17 47 55 38 39 36 33 30 25
Casey As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/26 5/3 3/23 2/9 11/26
Approve 53% 33% 74% 52% 49% 57% 56% 55% 52% 54% 55%
Disapprove 25 41 10 26 32 20 21 21 23 23 20
Do You Think Specter Is Too Liberal/Too Conservative/About Right?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/26 6/04
Too liberal 31% 60% 7% 31% 41% 22% 30% 22%
Too conserv. 8 4 14 6 8 8 9 17
About right 46 22 70 42 39 52 45 45
Do You Think Toomey Is Too Liberal/Too Conservative/About Right?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/26
Too liberal 4% 4% 3% 6% 6% 2% 4%
Too conserv. 10 5 15 9 11 9 15
About right 38 56 25 36 44 32 32
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