A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 7/13-16; surveyed 623 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Subsamples of 293 Dems and 155 GOPers; margins of error +/- 5.7% and +/- 7.9%, respectively (release, 7/20). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Wht Blk His 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23
A. Cuomo 65% 72% 50% 63% 69% 70% 64% 67% 53% 33%
D. Paterson 23 16 45 10 16 19 11 17 27 35
Undec 13 12 5 27 15 11 25 17 20 33
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 2/18
R. Giuliani 75% 78% 72% 77%
R. Lazio 14 13 16 10
Undec 11 9 12 13
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 6/18 5/21
R. Giuliani 57% 42% 82% 61% 62% 53% 64% 20% 35% 57% 59%
D. Paterson 34 50 9 32 29 39 27 69 53 27 31
Undec 9 8 9 8 9 9 8 11 13 15 10
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 6/18 5/21
A. Cuomo 49% 67% 21% 45% 45% 53% 44% 81% 58% 49% 53%
R. Giuliani 44 27 70 48 48 40 49 16 34 40 41
Undec 7 5 9 6 7 7 7 3 7 11 6
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 2/18 1/23
D. Paterson 41% 56% 16% 39% 37% 43% 33% 78% 57% 46% 52%
R. Lazio 39 27 64 39 43 36 46 11 20 28 22
Undec 20 17 21 22 20 21 21 11 23 26 26
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 2/18 1/23
A. Cuomo 65% 78% 37% 70% 63% 66% 62% 92% 68% 66% 61%
R. Lazio 20 9 45 17 26 15 23 2 16 16 17
Undec 15 13 18 13 10 19 15 6 16 18 22
Elect Paterson In '10?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18
Elect him 17% 23% 14% 11% 18% 16% 15% 15% 12% 14%
Prefer another 69 61 80 72 70 69 70 71 71 67
Undec 13 16 6 16 12 15 15 15 17 19
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 6/18 5/21
A. Cuomo 63%/21% 70%/13% 53%/33% 60%/23% 71%/17% 66%/20%
R. Giuliani 61 /34 50 /48 77 /14 64 /30 62 /33 61 /35
D. Paterson 36 /56 41 /50 30 /65 35 /56 31 /57 27 /60
R. Lazio 25 /22 23 /26 28 /18 27 /16 na na
R. Ravitch 19 /19 25 /14 13 /24 13 /23 na na
Paterson As Gov.
- Now 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23 12/11 11/13
Excellent/good 22% 20% 18% 18% 19% 28% 51% 55% 55%
Fair/poor 77 78 81 81 78 69 45 40 41
Direction Of NY
- Now 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23 12/11 11/13 10/21
Right dir. 23% 24% 33% 27% 30% 31% 39% 37% 39% 39%
Wrong dir. 64 63 52 57 52 53 42 44 43 41
Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For Gov.?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 6/18 5/21
For Gov. 45% 54% 36% 37% 45% 44% 45% 61% 35% 46% 47%
Reelect as AG 31 28 35 34 29 32 31 30 31 35 33
Did Paterson Act Appropriately/Overstep His Legal Authority When He Appointed Ravitch LG?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Acted appropriately 51% 59% 43% 47% 47% 55% 52% 57% 46%
Overstepped authority 34 26 44 37 37 32 35 26 37
Ravitch As LG Choice
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Excellent/good 28% 35% 16% 28% 29% 28% 29% 31% 18%
Fair/poor 50 48 55 52 53 48 48 63 54
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