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Wednesday, July 1, 2009

Florida - Senate (2010), Governor (2010)

Senate (2010)

A Club for Growth poll; conducted 6/13-14 by Basswood Research (R); surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (McArdle, Roll Call, 6/30). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

Primary Election Matchup
C. Crist 51%
M. Rubio 31
Governor (2010)
A Ron Sachs Comm. poll; conducted 6/24-26 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 300 Dem primary LVs and 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error for each +/- 5.7% (release, 6/30). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I. Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R), CFO Alex Sink (D) and developer/artist/urban planner/author Michael Arth (D).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
A. Sink 49%
M. Arth 4
Undec 47

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
B. McCollum 53%
P. Dockery 4
Undec 43

General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 5/18
B. McCollum 41% 46% 36% 16% 71% 41% 40%
A. Sink 35 32 38 66 4 27 34
Undec 24 22 26 18 25 32 26

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
A. Sink 43% 41% 45% 67% 18% 37%
P. Dockery 18 22 14 4 35 14
Undec 39 37 41 29 47 49

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP 5/18
B. McCollum 29%/13% na 39%/ 4% 29%/12%
A. Sink 24 / 9 40%/ 6% na 24 / 3
P. Dockery 3 / 2 na 8 / 3 na
M. Arth 1 /-- 1 /-- na na

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