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Thursday, July 23, 2009

Connecticut - Senate (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 7/16-20; surveyed 1,499 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsamples of 612 Dems and 384 GOPers; margins of error +/- 4.0% and +/- 5.0%, respectively (release, 7/23). Tested: Sen. Chris Dodd (D), businessman/ex-USAF officer Merrick Alpert (D), ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R), ex-Amb. Thomas Foley (R), state Sen. Sam Caligiuri (R) and businessman Peter Schiff (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom 5/25
C. Dodd 52% 50% 53% 44%
M. Alpert 18 25 14 24
Other 2 1 2 1
Not vote 1 1 1 2
Undec 27 24 29 30

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 5/25
R. Simmons 42% 52% 32% 48%
S. Caligiuri 5 7 4 10
T. Foley 5 7 4 na
P. Schiff -- -- -- na
Other 1 -- 2 1
Not vote 1 1 2 2
Undec 45 33 56 39

General Election Matchups
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/25 3/31 3/8
R. Simmons 48% 87% 16% 56% 56% 42% 45% 50% 43%
C. Dodd 39 7 74 27 33 44 39 34 42
Other -- -- -- 1 1 -- 2 2 1
Not vote 2 -- 2 3 1 2 1 2 1
Undec 10 5 8 14 9 11 13 12 12

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/25 3/31 3/8
C. Dodd 42% 10% 74% 34% 38% 46% 41% 37% 47%
S. Caligiuri 40 81 12 43 46 36 39 41 34
Other 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 3 2
Not vote 1 -- 1 2 1 2 2 2 2
Undec 15 7 12 21 15 15 17 17 16

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 3/31
T. Foley 42% 82% 11% 46% 49% 37% 43%
C. Dodd 42 9 75 32 38 45 35
Other 1 1 1 1 1 1 3
Not vote 1 1 1 2 1 2 2
Undec 14 7 11 19 12 15 16

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
C. Dodd 43% 12% 77% 32% 39% 47%
P. Schiff 38 76 11 41 44 33
Other 1 1 1 1 1 1
Not vote 2 1 1 3 2 2
Undec 16 9 12 23 15 17

Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 5/25 3/31
C. Dodd 40%/50% 13%/80% 70%/23% 31%/56% 37%/51% 30%/58%
R. Simmons 39 /12 57 / 2 24 /21 41 / 9 34 /12 39 /12
T. Foley 17 / 5 23 / 2 11 / 7 20 / 3 na 12 / 6
S. Caligiuri 12 / 4 20 / 1 6 / 5 11 / 4 9 / 3 8 / 3
P. Schiff 7 / 3 10 / 1 4 / 6 8 / 3 na na
M. Alpert 3 / 1 1 /-- 4 / 2 3 / 1 4 / 2 na

Dodd As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/25 3/31 3/8 2/8 12/17
Approve 42% 13% 72% 33% 37% 46% 38% 33% 49% 41% 47%
Disapprove 52 83 24 60 60 47 53 58 44 48 41

Lieberman As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/25 3/31 3/8 2/8 12/17
Approve 46% 62% 33% 49% 50% 42% 46% 46% 46% 45% 38%
Disapprove 46 29 62 42 44 48 44 47 46 48 54

Would You Say Dodd ___?
- Now 5/25 3/31
- Yes No Yes No Yes No
Has strong leadership qualities 62% 32% 56% 35% 50% 43%
Shares your views on key issues 45 49 37 48 na na
Is honest and trustworthy 35 55 35 49 32 54


If Obama Actively Campaigns For Dodd, Would That Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Dodd?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
More likely 14% 2% 25% 11% 11% 16%
Less likely 15 33 4 16 17 13
No difference 71 64 71 73 71 71

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