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Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Polling Update: Senate 2010:GA, NC, WI Governor 2010:GA

Senate 2010

Georgia

A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 6/12-14; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%.

Isakson As Sen.

- Now 4/19 11/2 10/22 10/7 9/9 6/08 5/08 12/07

Approve 56% 55% 50% 50% 51% 56% 58% 57% 58%

Disapprove 35 37 38 39 38 33 31 30 33

Chambliss As Sen.

- Now 4/19 11/2 10/22 10/7 9/9 6/08 5/08 12/07

Approve 50% 48% 49% 48% 49% 53% 53% 54% 53%

Disapprove 40 41 40 40 41 36 33 32 34

North Carolina

A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 6/12-14; surveyed 784 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 6/17). Party ID Breakdown: 45%D, 37%R, 18%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R).

General Election Matchup

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 3/15

Generic Dem 41% 45% 37% 71% 10% 32% 31% 76% 38%

R. Burr 38 38 38 9 73 39 48 5 42

Undec 21 16 24 20 17 29 21 19 20

Reelect Burr?

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk

Another term 29% 32% 26% 11% 49% 34% 34% 10%

Someone else 49 52 46 66 26 52 43 67

Undec 22 16 28 23 26 14 23 24

Burr As Sen.

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 5/10 4/11 3/15 2/15 1/18

Approve 34% 36% 32% 14% 57% 35% 36% 35% 35% 41% 33%

Disapprove 35 42 28 49 15 40 32 31 32 34 30

Wisconsin

A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 6/9-10; surveyed 580 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/16). Party ID Breakdown: 42%D, 32%R, 26%I. Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D) and Rep.Paul Ryan (R-01).

General Election Matchup

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-45 46-65 65+

R. Feingold 51% 50% 51% 88% 8% 45% 62% 48% 48% 51%

P. Ryan 39 43 35 3 85 38 31 42 37 43

Undec 11 7 14 9 7 17 8 10 15 6

Fav/Unfav

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind

R. Ryan 42%/24% 47%/26% 38%/21% 16%/46% 72%/ 3% 49%/13%

Feingold As Sen.

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-45 46-65 65+

Approve 53% 55% 51% 80% 20% 50% 54% 51% 54% 54%

Disapprove 36 39 32 12 66 37 31 44 35 32

Kohl As Sen.

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-45 46-65 65+

Approve 50% 50% 51% 74% 19% 50% 46% 45% 52% 55%

Disapprove 36 42 29 10 68 37 35 44 34 29

Governor 2010

Georgia

A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 6/12-14; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsamples of 368 GOPers and 328 Dems; margins of error +/- 5.1% and +/- 5.4%, respectively (release, 6/17). Tested: Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R), activist Ray McBerry (R), state Rep. Austin Scott (R), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D) and state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

- Now 4/19

J. Oxendine 35% 33%

K. Handel 13 14

N. Deal 12 na

E. Johnson 4 na

R. McBerry 2 2

A. Scott 2 2

Other na 24

Undec 32 25

Primary Election Matchups (Dems)

- Now 4/19

R. Barnes 49% 56%

T. Baker 30 29

D. Poythress 5 4

D. Porter 2 2

Undec 14 9

Direction Of GA

- Now 4/19

Right dir. 49% 49%

Wrong dir. 44 43

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