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Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Polling Update: Senate 2010: NY Governor 2010: NY

Senate 2010
New York

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/16-21; surveyed 2,477 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.0%. Subsample of 1,048 Dems; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 6/24). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-14), '06 candidate/labor activist Jonathan Tasini (D) and Rep. Peter King (R-03).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

- All Men Wom
C. Maloney 27% 26% 28%
K. Gillibrand 23 25 22
J. Tasini 4 5 3
Other 1 1 1
Not vote 1 1 2
Undec 44 41 46

General Election Matchups
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 4/5 2/15
K. Gillibrand 44% 13% 67% 38% 41% 46% 39% 68% 53% 40% 42%
P. King 28 63 8 31 34 22 32 6 20 28 26
Other 1 -- 1 1 1 1 1 -- -- 1 2
Not vote 2 -- 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 2
Undec 26 24 23 28 21 30 26 23 25 28 28

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
C. Maloney 42% 8% 67% 36% 38% 45% 35% 72% 56%
P. King 26 64 5 28 33 19 31 7 16
Other 1 -- 1 1 1 1 1 -- --
Not vote 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 1 2
Undec 30 28 25 34 25 34 31 19 26

Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 4/5 2/15
K. Gillibrand 25%/10% 18%/16% 29%/ 8% 27%/11% 24%/11% 24%/ 9%
C. Maloney 24 / 8 9 /15 34 / 2 23 / 9 na na
P. King 22 /11 44 / 2 11 /15 24 /11 22 /11 21 /10

Gillibrand As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 4/5 2/15
Approve 37% 26% 45% 39% 37% 37% 37% 37% 41% 33% 28%
Disapprove 15 23 10 15 19 11 15 9 16 13 10

Schumer As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 4/5 2/15 1/12 12/21 8/6
Approve 63% 43% 78% 62% 64% 63% 61% 64% 57% 63% 61%
Disapprove 23 44 9 26 30 17 25 24 24 22 23


Governor 2010
New York

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/16-21; surveyed 2,477 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.0%. Subsample of 1,048 Dems; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 6/24). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D) and ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)


- All Men Wom 5/11 4/5 2/15
A. Cuomo 57% 57% 57% 62% 61% 55%
D. Paterson 20 25 17 17 18 23
Other 1 2 1 1 1 1
Not vote 1 2 1 1 3 1
Undec 20 14 23 18 17 20

General Election Matchups
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 5/11 4/5 2/15
R. Giuliani 52% 90% 28% 57% 55% 50% 62% 6% 41% 54% 53% 43%
D. Paterson 34 4 60 25 34 34 25 77 48 32 32 43
Other 3 1 2 5 3 3 3 3 1 3 2 2
Not vote 4 1 4 5 3 4 3 4 3 3 4 2
Undec 7 4 6 9 5 10 7 10 6 8 9 10

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 5/11 4/5 2/15
A. Cuomo 51% 12% 79% 45% 49% 52% 45% 83% 52% 47% 53% 51%
R. Giuliani 39 78 16 40 43 35 45 8 35 41 36 37
Other 1 1 -- 3 2 1 1 2 4 1 -- 1
Not vote 1 -- 1 1 1 1 1 1 -- 1 2 2
Undec 8 9 4 10 5 11 8 7 8 9 9 9

Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 5/11 4/5
A. Cuomo 63%/15% 47%/33% 75%/ 4% 63%/16% 51%/13% 63%/17%
R. Giuliani 55 /36 87 / 7 33 /56 56 /34 56 /32 55 /35
D. Paterson 28 /54 13 /72 40 /43 22 /57 24 /55 27 /55

Paterson As Gov.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 5/11 4/5 2/15
Approve 28% 16% 36% 24% 29% 27% 23% 52% 33% 28% 28% 45%
Disapprove 61 76 52 64 64 58 66 35 54 61 60 41

Cuomo As AG
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 5/11 4/5 2/15
Approve 73% 58% 82% 77% 74% 73% 74% 79% 65% 68% 75% 76%
Disapprove 12 24 6 11 16 10 12 8 17 12 14 11

Do You Feel Paterson Deserves To Be Elected To A Full Four-Year Term As Gov.?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 5/11 4/5
Yes, deserves 22% 11% 31% 19% 23% 22% 17% 47% 32% 21% 22%
No, does not 64 79 56 67 67 62 70 37 57 64 63

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