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Tuesday, June 30, 2009

Polling Update: Governor 2009:NJ Senate 2010:NH Governor 2010:MA, NH

Governor 2009
New Jersey

A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 6/27-29; surveyed 1,094 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 6/30). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 30%R, 27%I. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D) and ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R).

General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His
C. Christie 51% 61% 42% 16% 93% 60% 60% 15% 27%
J. Corzine 41 33 48 75 3 26 33 63 67
Undec 9 7 10 9 4 13 7 23 6

Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
C. Christie 43%/33% 52%/26% 34%/38% 18%/52% 76%/ 8% 46%/28%
J. Corzine 36 /56 30 /63 42 /50 65 /24 6 /89 24 /70



Senate 2010:
New Hampshire

An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 6/27-29; surveyed 558 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/30). Tested: Rep. Paul Hodes (D-02) and ex-Sen. John Sununu (R).

General Election Matchup
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 3/30
P. Hodes 40% 5% 81% 33% 32% 46% 42%
J. Sununu 34 77 3 30 33 35 36
Undec 26 18 16 37 35 19 22



Governor 2010:
Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/30). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).

General Election Matchups
C. Mihos 41% D. Patrick 41%
D. Patrick 40 C. Baker 36
Other 10 Other 12
Undec 9 Undec 11

Fav/Unfav
D. Patrick 48%/51%
C. Mihos 46 /35
C. Baker 37 /27

Patrick As Gov.
- Now 4/16 2/10
Approve 42% 34% 48%
Disapprove 57 65 51



New Hampshire
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 6/27-29; surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 558 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/30).
Lynch As Gov.

- All RVs GOP Dem Ind 3/30 12/08 9/08 6/08 3/08
Approve 35% 36% 23% 58% 27% 47% 51% 53% 48% 55%
Disapprove 31 29 41 16 30 20 19 18 24 21

Lynch Handling Economy
- All RVs GOP Dem Ind 3/30 12/08 9/08 6/08 3/08
Approve 30% 31% 18% 52% 24% 38% 50% 47% 39% 42%
Disapprove 41 39 55 29 36 24 18 21 30 26

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