Monday 8/4

PRESIDENTIAL

ALASKA

An Ivan Moore Research (D) poll; conducted 7/18-22; surveyed 504 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/1).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

J. McCain       47%

B. Obama        44

Undec            9

FLORIDA

A Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 7/20-28 for the FL Chamber of Commerce; surveyed 1,600 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (Deslatte, Orlando Senitel, 8/1).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

J. McCain       45%

B. Obama        40

Undec           15

IDAHO

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 7/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/31). Party ID Breakdown: 48%R, 23%D, 29%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+

J. McCain   53% 56% 50%  9% 79% 44% 49%   57%   51%   55%

B. Obama    37  35  39  85   7  48  40    34    38    36

Undec       10   9  11   6  14   8  11     9    11     9

KENTUCKY

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 7/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 7/31). Party ID Breakdown: 46%D, 38%R, 16%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 5/9

J. McCain   56% 59% 53% 28% 87% 64% 63%  4% 58%

B. Obama    35  34  36  64   4  26  29  85  33

Undec        9   7  11   8   9  10   8  11   9

NEW YORK

A Siena College poll; conducted 7/17-29; surveyed 671 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 8/1). Party ID Breakdown: 45%D, 26%R, 24%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His Men Wom 7/10 6/11

B. Obama    44% 66% 14% 38% 36% 80% 63% 44% 43% 50%  51%

J. McCain   26  12  55  25  33   5   8  29  24  37   33

R. Nader     3   2   5   3   4  --  --   3   3  na   na

B. Barr      2   1   3   2   2   1  --   2   1  na   na

Undec       25  20  23  31  25  14  29  22  29  13   17

NORTH CAROLINA

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 7/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/1). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 36%R, 20%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 4/30

J. McCain   47% 52% 42% 16% 85% 47% 64%  5% 50%

B. Obama    43  39  47  77   6  35  26  89  41

Undec       10   9  11   7   9  18  10   6   9

OKLAHOMA

An Oklahoma Poll; conducted 7/19-23 for Tulsa World/KOTV; surveyed 750 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 8/3).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

J. McCain 46%

B. Obama 24

Undec 20

Fav/Unfav

J. McCain 65%/25%

B. Obama 37 /51

SENATE

ALASKA

An Ivan Moore Research (D) poll; conducted 7/30-31; surveyed 413 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 8/1). Tested: Sen. Ted Stevens (R), '96 candidate/developer/ex-state Rep. David Cuddy (R) and Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D).

Primary Election Matchup

- Now 7/22

T. Stevens 59% 70%

D. Cuddy 19 21

Other 2 2

Undec 20 7

General Election Matchup

- Now 7/22

M. Begich 56% 51%

T. Stevens 35 43

Other 3 3

Undec 5 3

Pos./Neg.

- Now 7/22

T. Stevens 44%/48% 55%/38%

IDAHO

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 7/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/31). Tested: ex-Rep. Larry LaRocco (D), LG Jim Risch (R) and ex-elk rancher Rex Rammell (I).

General Election Matchup

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+

J. Risch 42% 45% 39% 5% 64% 35% 38% 46% 41% 43%

L. LaRocco 32 28 36 81 5 38 35 29 34 31

R. Rammell 5 6 4 2 7 4 4 4 6 6

Other 4 5 3 2 3 7 3 3 5 5

Undec 17 16 18 10 21 16 20 18 14 15

Fav/Unfav

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind

J. Risch 45%/26% 49%/24% 41%/28% 19%/50% 63%/14% 38%/28%

L. LaRocco 43 /22 38 /28 48 /16 79 /11 23 /30 48 /18

KENTUCKY

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 7/28-30 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 7/31). Tested: Senate Min. Leader Mitch McConnell (R) and '03/'07 GOV candidate/businessman Bruce Lunsford (D).

General Election Matchup

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 5/9

M. McConnell 49% 53% 45% 18% 86% 51% 55% 5% 48%

B. Lunsford 38 35 41 65 6 37 35 63 36

Undec 13 12 14 17 8 12 10 32 16

Fav/Unfav

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind

M. McConnell 49%/41% 54%/37% 44%/45% 27%/63% 77%/15% 48%/39%

B. Lunsford 44 /42 40 /47 48 /37 62 /20 25 /68 39 /47

OKLAHOMA

An Oklahoma Poll; conducted 7/19-23 for Tulsa World/KOTV; surveyed 750 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 8/3). Tested: Sen. Jim Inhofe (R) and state Sen. Andrew Rice (D).

General Election Matchup

-               All Dem 12/07

J. Inhofe       52% 35% 60%

A. Rice         30  46  19

Undec           18  na  na

HOUSE

IL-06

A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 7/20-22 for Rep. Peter Roskam (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 7/31). Tested: Roskam and Iraq war vet/ex-IL Deputy Homeland Sec. Dir. Jill Morgenthaler (D).

General Election Matchup

P. Roskam 59%

J. Morgenthaler 29

Fav/Unfav

P. Roskam 59%/20%

Name ID

J. Morgenthaler 31%

WH '08 General Election Matchup

B. Obama 49%

J. McCain 41