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Wednesday, July 16, 2008

Weds 7/16/08

PRESIDENTIAL

CALIFORNIA
A Field Poll; conducted 7/8-14; surveyed 672 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 7/16). "Oba" and "Cli" columns represent responses among Dem primary supporters of Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, respectively.


WH '08 General Election Matchup

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Cli 5/08 1/08

B. Obama 54% 78% 16% 64% 51% 56% 47% 89% 64% 80% 52% 47%

J. McCain 30 9 65 18 35 27 37 5 21 8 35 40

Oth/und 16 13 19 18 14 17 16 6 15 12 13 13
Fav/Unfav

- Now 5/08 1/08

B. Obama 63%/26% 62%/29% 59%/23%

M. Obama 49 /24 na na

J. McCain 48 /38 46 /45 50 /28

C. McCain 35 /18 na na



SENATE

GA SEN Dem primary

DeKalb Co. CEO Vernon Jones (D) and '06 LG nominee/ex-state Rep. Jim Martin (D) led the balloting 7/15 and will head to an 8/5 runoff. They defeated ex-TV investigative reporter Dale Cardwell (D), eco-businessman Rand Knight (D) and Vietnam vet/ex-Sen. Talmadge aide Josh Lanier (D). The winner will face Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R) on 11/4. Results, with 99.71% reporting (AP, 7/16):

Votes %age

Jones 195,253 40.32%

Martin 166,444 34.37

Cardwell 77,453 16.00

Knight 25,428 5.25

Lanier 19,630 4.05

TOTAL: 484,208


IOWA

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on July 10, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Harkin 52%
Reed 36%

SOUTH DAKOTA
This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on July 9, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Johnson 60%
Dykstra 35%

HOUSE
AL 02 GOP Runoff

In last p.m.'s runoff, state Rep. Jay Love (R) defeated state Sen. Harri Anne Smith (R). Love will take on Montgomery Mayor Bobby Bright (D) in the fall. Results, with 99% of the precincts reporting.

votes %age

Love 25,124 53%

Smith 22,404 47



AL 05 GOP Runoff

'94/'96 nominee/Ad exec. Wayne Parker (R) blasted atty Cheryl Baswell Guthrie (R) in the runoff, and will take on state Sen. Parker Griffith (D) in the fall. Results, with 97% of the precincts reporting.

votes %age

Parker 16,028 79%

Guthrie 4,330 21



GA 05 Dem Primary

Rep. John Lewis (D) defeated state Rep. "Able" Mable Thomas (D) and minister Markel Hutchins (D), and will face no general election opposition. Results with 99% of the precincts reporting (AP, 7/16).

votes %age

Lewis 34,573 69%

Hutchins 7,897 16

Thomas 7,695 15



GA 08 Dem Primary

Rep. Jim Marshall (D) easily dispatched of music teacher Robert Nowak (D), and will face ret. USAF Maj. Gen. Rick Goddard (R) in the general. Results with 98% of the precincts reporting (AP, 7/16).

votes %age

Marshall 44,031 86%

Nowak 7,354 14



GA 10 GOP Primary

Rep. Paul Broun (R) defeated state Rep. Barry Fleming (R) and will be challenged by Iraq vet Bobby Saxon (D) in the general. Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 7/16).

votes %age

Broun 44,726 71%

Fleming 18,250 29

GA 12 Primary
Rep. John Barrow (D) easily turned back state Sen. Regina Thomas (D), and will face ex-Rep. Burns (R) spokesperson John Stone (R) in the fall. Stone defeated ex-WH candidate Ray McKinney (R) and personal trainer Ben Crystal (R). Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 7/16).

GA 12 Dem Primary GA 12 GOP Primary

votes %age votes %age

Barrow 43,533 76% Stone 9,457 57%

Thomas 13,907 24 McKinney 5,332 32

Crystal 1,915 11




GA 13 Dem Primary

Rep. David Scott (D) crushed ex-state Sen/'02/'06 candidate Donzella James (D), and will face '06 nominee Deborah Honeycutt (R) in the fall. Results with 99% of the precincts reporting (AP, 7/16).

votes %age

Scott 28,212 64%

James 16,068 36



NJ-07
A Nat'l Research (R) poll; conducted 6/24-25 for state Sen. Leonard Lance (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 7/15). Tested: Lance and '06 nominee/Assemb. Linda Stender (D).

General Election Matchup
L. Lance 42%
L. Stender 35

Fav/Unfav
L. Stender 20%/29%

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