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Monday, July 14, 2008

Mon 7/14/08

PRESIDENTIAL
LOUISIANA
This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 9, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
McCain 54%
Obama 34%

MICHIGAN
This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on July 10, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
Obama 47%
McCain 39%

MISSOURI
A St. Louis Post-Dispatch/KMOV-TV poll; conducted 7/7-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 7/11). Party ID Breakdown: 40%D, 36%R, 24%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk Union NonUnion

B. Obama 48% 44% 52% 84% 8% 47% 40% 88% 62% 44%
J. McCain 43 49 37 9 81 43 51 3 29 47\
Undec 9 7 11 7 11 10 9 9 9 9

Fav/Unfav
B. Obama 54%/37%
J. McCain 49 /43
G. Bush 31 /69


NEW YORK
A Siena College poll; conducted 7/7-10; surveyed 626 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 7/14).

WH '08 General Election Matchup
Now 6/11 5/08 4/08 2/08 1/08 6/07 5/07 4/07 3/07

B. Obama 50% 51% 49% 45% 47% 44% 49% 50% 50% 47%
J. McCain 37 33 38 40 40 42 35 33 37 39
Undec 13 17 14 15 13 15 16 18 13 14
Fav/Unfav
- Now 6/11 5/08 4/08 3/08 2/08
B. Obama 57%/32% 58%/30% 55%/34% 54%/34% 56%/32% 60%/30%
H. Clinton 55 /38 56 /38 52 /43 48 /46 52 /43 53 /43
J. McCain 45 /42 42 /47 49 /39 54 /35 54 /34 55 /34


WASHINGTON
A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted 7/9-10; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 7/14). Party ID Breakdown: 45%D, 38%R, 13%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama 47%
J. McCain 37
Neither 5
Undec 11


SENATE

ILLINOIS
This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on July 8, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Durbin 61%
Sauerberg 27%

NEW JERSEY
This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on July 7, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Lautenberg 49%
Zimmer 36%

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